The coaching carousel appears to be done spinning, and it's time to move beyond who landed where and look instead at just how good these teams are going to be in 2016-17. It won't surprise you to learn that I'm not picking any of these teams to go to the 2017 Final Four -- that's not, shall we say, the typical profile for a program that's undergoing a coaching transition. Nevertheless, it wouldn't be too surprising to see two, three or possibly even four of these teams make the tournament next March.
This is how I see next season playing out for the first-year head coaches in the major conferences. (For the purposes of this piece, I'm not considering Greg Gard a true first-year coach at Wisconsin.) I've listed the coaches in the order in which I expect their teams to finish 2016-17, from strongest to weakest: