ESPN

What makes a Super Bowl contender? When Pro Football Focus analyzed the 28 teams that played in the conference championship games for the 2007 to 2013 seasons, it found that, on average, 40 percent of those rosters were composed of good/elite players (you had to play 250-plus snaps to qualify). Using that methodology, PFF determined how many above-average players stood between your team and contending for this year's Super Bowl.

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1

Dallas

Cowboys

2014 Record: 12-4, Lost In Divisional Round

How close were the Cowboys to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

0Above-Average Players Away
Elite

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Cowboys' 30 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 4
    • WR Dez Bryant
    • RB DeMarco Murray
    • TE Jason Witten
    • C Travis Frederick
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 8
    • G Zack Martin
    • CB Orlando Scandrick
    • OT Tyron Smith
    • DT Tyrone Crawford
    • ILB Rolando McClain
    • QB Tony Romo
    • CB Sterling Moore
    • DT Henry Melton
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 16
    • OT Jermey Parnell
    • OT Doug Free
    • DE Jeremy Mincey
    • G Ronald Leary
    • TE James Hanna
    • TE Gavin Escobar
    • DE Anthony Spencer
    • OLB Justin Durant
    • WR Cole Beasley
    • DT Terrell McClain
    • S Barry Church
    • WR Terrance Williams
    • DE George Selvie
    • OLB Anthony Hitchens
    • OLB Bruce Carter
    • S J.J. Wilcox
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 2
    • CB Brandon Carr
    • DT Nick Hayden
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    4
    • WR Dez Bryant
    • RB DeMarco Murray
    • TE Jason Witten
    • C Travis Frederick
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    8
    • G Zack Martin
    • CB Orlando Scandrick
    • OT Tyron Smith
    • DT Tyrone Crawford
    • ILB Rolando McClain
    • QB Tony Romo
    • CB Sterling Moore
    • DT Henry Melton
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    16
    • OT Jermey Parnell
    • OT Doug Free
    • DE Jeremy Mincey
    • G Ronald Leary
    • TE James Hanna
    • TE Gavin Escobar
    • DE Anthony Spencer
    • OLB Justin Durant
    • WR Cole Beasley
    • DT Terrell McClain
    • S Barry Church
    • WR Terrance Williams
    • DE George Selvie
    • OLB Anthony Hitchens
    • OLB Bruce Carter
    • S J.J. Wilcox
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    2
    • CB Brandon Carr
    • DT Nick Hayden
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Todd Archer, ESPN.com

Dez Bryant

WR Dez Bryant: His skills are beyond question. So are his stats. He's put up three straight 1,000-yard seasons and had a team-record 16 touchdown catches. Like Murray, he is set to be a free agent, but if the Cowboys don't reach a long-term deal with Bryant, they will use the franchise tag on him. Bryant has improved each year, but he still struggles at times with press coverage despite his physical prowess. In the red zone, however, he might be the most dynamic receiver in the NFL. Since 2013, Bryant has 21 red zone catches; 18 of those have gone for touchdowns.

DeMarco Murray

RB DeMarco Murray: After missing games with ankle, foot and knee injuries in his first three years, it all came together for Murray in 2014, when he led the NFL in rushing with 1,845 yards. He did not miss a game, even playing with a broken hand. He showed the ability to make the big run, with a league-leading 45 carries of 10 yards or more, but perhaps more importantly, Murray became more efficient in picking up the "dirty yards," as coach Jason Garrett calls them. Murray is set to become an unrestricted free agent and offers up an interesting case study for the Cowboys. Is he a premier back worthy of big money? Or is he the product of an elite offensive line? Lately, teams have shied away from giving large contracts to running backs because of how quickly they seem to wear down, but are the Cowboys really going to let one of the key cogs in their 12-4 season sign elsewhere?

Zack Martin

G Zack Martin: Truth be told, if Ryan Shazier were available when the Cowboys picked in the first round of the 2014 draft, the linebacker would have been the choice, not Martin. The best decisions sometimes involve luck. Martin was named to the Pro Bowl and became the first Cowboys rookie since 1969 to earn All-Pro honors. But he brought more than just accolades. He solidified Dallas' line, especially the interior where Tony Romo, like all quarterbacks, hates pressure up the middle. Martin was a tackle at Notre Dame and RTs Doug Free and Jermey Parnell are both free agents, but Martin is too good to move out of the right guard spot.

Tyrone Crawford

DTs Tyrone Crawford and Henry Melton: The best move the Cowboys made this year was putting Crawford in at the 3-technique early in the season when Melton was battling through leg injuries. Crawford had just three sacks, but he compiled 29 QB pressures and the coaches credited him with 37 tackles. He is the prototype 3-technique and was miscast as a defensive end. Melton's first and likely only year with the Cowboys looks OK because he had five sacks, but he was saved twice from being inactive because of injuries to other players. The coaches were not always enamored with his effort, but Melton insists he was never 100 percent after tearing his ACL in 2013.

Rolando McClain

ILB Rolando McClain: It was a pretty innocuous trade: The Cowboys gave Baltimore a 2015 sixth-round pick and received McClain and a 2015 seventh-rounder. The linebacker turned out to be the Cowboys' best defender for a good portion of the season. He missed three games, but still managed 108 tackles, a sack, nine tackles for loss, two interceptions, five quarterback pressures, five pass breakups and a forced fumble. He looked like the player the Oakland Raiders thought they were drafting in 2010 with the eighth overall pick. McClain will be a free agent this spring, so it will be interesting to see whether he believes more in his fit with the Cowboys than how much money he can make.

Tony Romo

QB Tony Romo: What does a quarterback have to do to be elite? Romo had his best season in 2014: He completed 69.9 percent of his passes, threw 34 touchdowns to just 8 interceptions and led the NFL in Total QBR (82.7). His 3,705 yards were the fewest he's had in a full season, but that was a direct result of how much the Cowboys ran the ball in 2014. One thing is for sure: Romo displayed a toughness that statistics cannot capture by playing through torn rib cartilage and two transverse process fractures. The question is, how many more years can he play at this level? Romo turns 35 in April.

James Hanna

TEs James Hanna and Gavin Escobar: Hanna arrived in Arlington known for his speed, but he's made his mark as an effective blocker in the Cowboys' zone scheme. Escobar has the misfortune of being a second-round pick and playing behind Jason Witten. Opportunities will be limited, especially with the way Hanna has blocked. Escobar has shown some ability in the red zone -- three of his four touchdowns in 2014 came inside the 20 -- but the Cowboys had to be expecting more than just 18 catches in his first two seasons.

Justin Durant

OLB Justin Durant: When Sean Lee was lost for the year, the Cowboys looked first to Durant as a replacement, before giving the job to Rolando McClain. Durant's best spot, however, is weak-side linebacker. Before suffering a season-ending biceps injury in Week 8, Durant made an impact, putting up double-digit tackles in four of his six games, while adding four tackles for loss. He will be a free agent this spring, and if he comes in at the right price, the Cowboys would like to bring him back.

Anthony Hitchens

OLB Anthony Hitchens: The Cowboys drafted Hitchens to serve as Sean Lee's backup and learn the middle linebacker position from one of the game's best. But the Iowa product ended up starting 11 games at all three linebacker spots, and the coaches credited him with 100 tackles. He has the instincts for the position, as evidenced by two fourth-down tackles that stopped drives. He also displayed toughness playing through a high ankle sprain. The Cowboys have decisions to make at linebacker -- Bruce Carter, Justin Durant and Rolando McClain are all free agents -- but they now know they can plug Hitchens in at any spot and not have a problem.

Brandon Carr

CB Brandon Carr: Since signing a free-agent deal that guaranteed him $26.5 million in 2012, Carr has failed to live up to expectations. He did not have an interception all year and will forever be remembered for giving up Odell Beckham's one-handed grab. If you're looking for a positive, Carr was much more aggressive in all facets of his game since the Beckham catch. Still, his 2015 cap number is $12.7 million, and the Cowboys will either part ways with him or look to get him to accept a pay cut.

Nick Hayden

DT Nick Hayden: The Cowboys coaches would vigorously disagree with Hayden being in this category. He is not a world-beater, but he led the defensive line in tackles with 52 and had four tackles for loss and eight quarterback hurries. Hayden is counted on to do the dirty work in Rod Marinelli's scheme, and while he's not a cornerstone player, his reliability makes him one of Marinelli's favorites.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Run-stop percentage

Good News: The Cowboys looked in real trouble when they lost Sean Lee again for the year before the season began. At the time, bringing in Rolando McClain reeked of desperation, but McClain had a fine season, proving why he was such a highly touted prospect out of Alabama. He notched a run stop on 15.2 percent of his run snaps, second among all inside linebackers and almost double the league average. And he showed well on the blitz, too, earning 15 total pressures on just 39 rushes.

Bad News: One of the reasons the Cowboys were so good this year? There wasn't a whole lot to hate on their roster. Top cornerback Brandon Carr continued to struggle, surrendering a 116.6 passer rating when targeted, tied for ninth-worst in the league. Carr and Morris Claiborne allowed nine combined passing touchdowns; no other Dallas CBs gave up any. Amazingly, Claiborne, who played just 151 snaps on the year, accounted for three of those by himself, before going down with a season-ending knee injury.

Run-stop percentage

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- RB DeMarco Murray: A third-round pick in 2011, Murray rushed for an NFL-high 1,845 yards in 2014, despite making a base salary of just $1.4 million in the final season of his original deal. (Adrian Peterson, who has only one career season of 1,800-plus yards, earned seven times what Murray did in 2014 despite his suspension.) Murray's 392 carries were 70 more than the next-best workhorse, and his 13 touchdowns tied Marshawn Lynch for the league lead. Because contract values for veteran free-agent running backs have dropped so low, the Cowboys probably can re-sign Murray this offseason at a reasonable price.

2014 Salary

Worst -- CB Brandon Carr: Carr was the Cowboys' highest-paid defensive player in 2014 ($7.5 million). Even worse? His $12.7 million cap number on a cap-strapped team. For that, the Cowboys didn't get a single interception. Carr started all 16 games but amazingly finished with just eight passes defended. So it's no surprise that PFF gave Carr a "bad" grade for this project and ranked him as its No. 90 -- yes! -- cornerback in the NFL. According to PFF, opposing quarterbacks had a 116.6 passer rating against him. Terence Newman, whom the Cowboys released in favor of Carr in 2012, made 26 percent of Carr's salary this year, but had better production for the Bengals.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Tony Romo's 2013 contract extension has paid him just north of $40 million over the past two seasons, in exchange for reasonable salary-cap figures under $12 million each year. Romo earned that payday in 2014, leading the NFL in QBR and taking the Cowboys to the playoffs. It will get tricky this offseason, however. Romo's cap number balloons to a league-high $27.8 million. The Cowboys will either need to swallow it for a year, or renegotiate and increase his cap numbers in future years. Based on Romo's 2014 performance, though, it's a good problem to have.

Positional Needs

by Todd Archer, ESPN.com

Defensive line: In three of the last four drafts, the Cowboys rebuilt their offensive line with first-round investments in Tyron Smith, Travis Frederick and Zack Martin. They have to make a similar effort on the defensive line. Jeremy Mincey, who led the Cowboys in sacks with just six during the regular season, is the only regular in the DE rotation under contract next season besides 2014 second-rounder DeMarcus Lawrence. Anthony Spencer and George Selvie could be stopgap free agents as the Cowboys look to revamp the group up front. At tackle, they will not keep Henry Melton at the $9 million option, but they found a keeper in Tyrone Crawford.

Cornerback: Morris Claiborne is going into the last year of his contract, coming off major knee surgery and has yet to live up to his potential as the No. 6 overall pick in 2012. Brandon Carr carries a $12.7 million salary-cap figure in 2015, and, despite his improved play down the stretch, is still a candidate to be released. Orlando Scandrick continues to play at a high level, but the Cowboys need depth -- and quality depth at that -- in the secondary. As much as the Cowboys overachieved defensively in 2014, they can't bank on it happening again.

Running back: This will depend on what the Cowboys do with free-agent to-be DeMarco Murray. If Murray re-signs, then the Cowboys will not look at a runner. If he doesn't, then they will need to find an every-down back, or somebody to pair with Joseph Randle. The Cowboys like Randle's potential, but he still has a lot to learn.

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2

Baltimore

Ravens

2014 Record: 10-6, Lost In Divisional Round

How close were the Ravens to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

2Above-Average Players Away
Elite

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Ravens' 33 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • G Marshal Yanda
    • OLB Pernell McPhee
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 10
    • G Kelechi Osemele
    • RB Justin Forsett
    • OLB Terrell Suggs
    • ILB Daryl Smith
    • OLB Elvis Dumervil
    • DT Brandon Williams
    • S Will Hill
    • ILB C.J. Mosley
    • CB Jimmy Smith
    • OT Ricky Wagner
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 18
    • DE Haloti Ngata
    • S Jeromy Miles
    • QB Joe Flacco
    • FB Kyle Juszczyk
    • C Jeremy Zuttah
    • TE Crockett Gillmore
    • S Darian Stewart
    • DE Timmy Jernigan
    • WR Torrey Smith
    • TE Owen Daniels
    • WR Steve Smith
    • WR Marlon Brown
    • WR Kamar Aiken
    • DE Chris Canty
    • OLB Courtney Upshaw
    • DE DeAngelo Tyson
    • CB Lardarius Webb
    • OT Eugene Monroe
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 3
    • OT James Hurst
    • CB Asa Jackson
    • S Matt Elam
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • G Marshal Yanda
    • OLB Pernell McPhee
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    10
    • G Kelechi Osemele
    • RB Justin Forsett
    • OLB Terrell Suggs
    • ILB Daryl Smith
    • OLB Elvis Dumervil
    • DT Brandon Williams
    • S Will Hill
    • ILB C.J. Mosley
    • CB Jimmy Smith
    • OT Ricky Wagner
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    18
    • DE Haloti Ngata
    • S Jeromy Miles
    • QB Joe Flacco
    • FB Kyle Juszczyk
    • C Jeremy Zuttah
    • TE Crockett Gillmore
    • S Darian Stewart
    • DE Timmy Jernigan
    • WR Torrey Smith
    • TE Owen Daniels
    • WR Steve Smith
    • WR Marlon Brown
    • WR Kamar Aiken
    • DE Chris Canty
    • OLB Courtney Upshaw
    • DE DeAngelo Tyson
    • CB Lardarius Webb
    • OT Eugene Monroe
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    3
    • OT James Hurst
    • CB Asa Jackson
    • S Matt Elam
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Jamison Hensley, ESPN.com

Marshal Yanda

G Marshal Yanda: Former offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak called Yanda the best lineman he's ever been around. "I'm so impressed with the technician that he is, how hard he plays, how tough he is, the things he plays through," Kubiak said. Yanda simply doesn't have any holes in his game. He allowed just two sacks this season, and he's an even better run blocker. The Ravens rushed for an NFL-best 728 yards when running toward the right guard, 153 more yards than any other team. Perhaps most impressive, Yanda dominated this season despite dealing with nagging foot and knee issues. The respect for Yanda around the building is palpable: QB Joe Flacco said he's one of the toughest players he's ever been around. And when the Ravens lost both of their starting tackles this season, Yanda volunteered to move outside so rookie John Urschel didn't have to play his first game at tackle since high school.

Pernell McPhee

OLB Pernell McPhee: There's no question that McPhee was among the league's most consistent pass rushers (21 quarterback hits and 35 hurries), but it's a stretch to put him in the elite category. The third-best pass rusher on his team, McPhee benefited from playing with Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil. In fact, 4.5 of McPhee's 7.5 sacks -- and his lone forced fumble -- occurred when playing with both Suggs and Dumervil.

Justin Forsett

RB Justin Forsett: Patience and vision are what keyed Forsett's career season at the age of 29, as he finished fifth in the NFL with 1,266 rushing yards. The former journeyman had never gained more than 619 yards in any of his previous six seasons. But then again, he'd never played behind an offensive line this adept at creating running lanes. Forsett averaged 3.8 yards before contact per rush, tops among RBs, the result of the line opening holes and Forsett finding them. After being an average player his entire NFL career, Forsett compiled a borderline elite season, thanks to how he fits in this system.

Elvis Dumervil

OLB Elvis Dumervil: Some might argue that Dumervil, who finished third overall with 17 sacks, should be in the elite category. The only knock against that: He again proved to be a bit of a one-trick pony, playing just 56 percent of the defense's snaps and finishing six separate games with one or fewer tackle. But part-time player or not, Dumervil was an undeniable difference-maker, especially in passing situations. He compiled eight sacks on third downs, third in the NFL.

C.J. Mosley

ILB C.J. Mosley: The coaching staff repeatedly said you would never know Mosley was a rookie by watching the film. As inside linebackers coach Don "Wink" Martindale said: "The best compliment that I can give him is he's been here for months, and it seems like he's been here three years." What Mosley lacks in size (6-foot-2, 235 pounds), he makes up for with smarts and instincts. He finished the season as the only player to post at least 125 tackles, three sacks and two interceptions. One thing to keep an eye on in Year 2: How he hangs with speedy RBs like Le'Veon Bell and Giovani Bernard in space. Pass coverage was the one weak spot in the rookie's game.

Haloti Ngata

DE Haloti Ngata: This one is a little tricky. His numbers -- 32 tackles, two sacks, two interceptions, seven batted passes and two forced fumbles in 12 games -- suggest Ngata had another elite season. But his four-game suspension for violating the NFL's PED policy puts an asterisk next to everything Ngata did this season. On the film alone, he was once again a "game wrecker," as coach John Harbaugh calls him. Ngata single-handedly ended two goal-line tries this season -- one with a fourth-down tackle, the other with a forced fumble. And his presence is a major reason why the Ravens held teams to 3.6 yards per carry (third-best in the NFL). It would've been an impressive season, if not for that embarrassing smudge.

Joe Flacco

QB Joe Flacco: His playoff résumé is undeniable: Since 2012, Flacco's 84.9 postseason Total QBR ranks first among passers with at least three starts. That number dips to 53.2 in the regular season over the same span (18th overall). But remember: The Ravens wouldn't have been in the postseason if not for Flacco. When Baltimore needed to beat the Cleveland Browns in the regular-season finale to clinch a playoff berth, he was 8-of-9 for 161 yards and two touchdowns in the fourth quarter.

Matt Elam

S Matt Elam: The 2013 first-round pick is getting closer and closer to that "bust" label. Elam was benched from his starting strong safety spot midway through the season, and he struggled when pressed into playing nickelback. He allowed 16.3 yards per catch on the season, ninth-most among safeties according to PFF. Elam could go down as the Ravens' worst first-round defensive player ever.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Pass-rush productivity

Good News: Baltimore currently has three top-level edge rushers, as Terrell Suggs, Elvis Dumervil and Pernell McPhee combined for 175 total pressures in 2014. McPhee led the trio -- and ranked second among all 3-4 OLBs -- with a 14.4 pass-rush productivity score, a metric that evaluates a player's sacks, hits and hurries relative to how often he rushed the passer.

Bad News: Inconsistency plagued the Ravens' receiving corps this season. Torrey Smith and Steve Smith, the team's top two targets, combined for 18 dropped passes, and neither caught more than 61 percent of the passes sent their way, a figure bettered by 64 wideouts in 2014.

Pass-rush productivity

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- LG Kelechi Osemele: A former second-round pick, Osemele earned $694,170 for what PFF considered a near-elite, Pro Bowl-caliber season. The Ravens' starters at left tackle (Eugene Monroe) and right guard (Marshal Yanda) get more attention, but Osemele was a big reason why the Ravens finished eighth in the NFL in rushing yards, despite handing over running back duties to first-time workhorse Justin Forsett.

2014 Salary

Worst -- CB Lardarius Webb: Webb has been one of the NFL's better cornerbacks this decade, as evidenced by his $7.5 million salary. But he missed three games in 2014 with a lower back injury and spent most of the season struggling to return to previous form. (Webb went without an interception until the season finale.) Compare that to the 49ers' Perrish Cox, who made a paltry $695,000 in 2014, while leading all CBs with five interceptions. Webb, who graded out as an average player according to PFF, is scheduled to make $24.5 million over the next three seasons.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Joe Flacco's 67.3 QBR this season was by far the best of his career, which showed in his career-best yardage (3,986) and touchdown totals (27). This season also marked the first time his completion percentage (62.1) wasn't in the 50s since 2010. This all suggests Flacco took a significant step forward this season, but his massive contract -- $51 million guaranteed over six seasons -- demands a little more. In 2016, his cap number jumps to $28.6 million, meaning he'll need to restructure his deal just three years after signing his last one.

Positional Needs

by Jamison Hensley, ESPN.com

Cornerback: When listing the Ravens' top three needs, you could put cornerback down twice. The team will be in decent shape if Jimmy Smith comes back strong from a season-ending foot injury, and the team decides to bring back Lardarius Webb ($12 million cap number in 2015). The problem is, Smith and Webb have extensive injury histories, missing 11 games combined this season. The Ravens' top priority this offseason needs to be finding a third cornerback who can step into a starting role if called upon. The lack of depth in the secondary cost Baltimore in the AFC divisional playoff loss in New England.

Running back: The Ravens are hopeful they can re-sign free-agent-to-be Justin Forsett, but there's no guarantee the NFL's fifth-leading rusher will be back. The only running backs under contract for 2015: Lorenzo Taliaferro, Bernard Pierce and Fitzgerald Toussaint. Taliaferro, a rookie fourth-round pick, showed flashes (four TDs in 68 carries) before suffering a season-ending foot injury. It's unknown whether he can withstand the wear-and-tear of a full season if given a bigger role. Pierce had a second straight disappointing season, which could push the Ravens to upgrade.

Wide receiver: Torrey Smith (49 catches) is an unrestricted free agent, and Steve Smith (79 catches) turns 36 before the season starts. No other Ravens receiver had more than 25 catches this season. Even if the Ravens re-sign Torrey Smith, they need to add a young wideout who can make an immediate impact.

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4

Denver

Broncos

2014 Record: 12-4, Lost In Divisional Round

How close were the Broncos to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

2Above-Average Players Away
Elite

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Broncos' 31 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 6
    • OLB Von Miller
    • CB Chris Harris Jr.
    • RB C.J. Anderson
    • WR Demaryius Thomas
    • WR Emmanuel Sanders
    • DE Malik Jackson
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 5
    • OLB Brandon Marshall
    • CB Aqib Talib
    • G Orlando Franklin
    • DT Terrance Knighton
    • TE Virgil Green
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 18
    • TE Julius Thomas
    • QB Peyton Manning
    • C Will Montgomery
    • DE DeMarcus Ware
    • S T.J. Ward
    • ILB Nate Irving
    • TE Jacob Tamme
    • OT Louis Vasquez
    • S Rahim Moore
    • DT Marvin Austin Jr.
    • OT Ryan Clady
    • DE Derek Wolfe
    • OT Paul Cornick
    • CB Bradley Roby
    • G Manny Ramirez
    • OT Chris Clark
    • WR Wes Welker
    • DT Sylvester Williams
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 2
    • DE Quanterus Smith
    • RB Ronnie Hillman
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    6
    • OLB Von Miller
    • CB Chris Harris Jr.
    • RB C.J. Anderson
    • WR Demaryius Thomas
    • WR Emmanuel Sanders
    • DE Malik Jackson
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    5
    • OLB Brandon Marshall
    • CB Aqib Talib
    • G Orlando Franklin
    • DT Terrance Knighton
    • TE Virgil Green
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    18
    • TE Julius Thomas
    • QB Peyton Manning
    • C Will Montgomery
    • DE DeMarcus Ware
    • S T.J. Ward
    • ILB Nate Irving
    • TE Jacob Tamme
    • OT Louis Vasquez
    • S Rahim Moore
    • DT Marvin Austin Jr.
    • OT Ryan Clady
    • DE Derek Wolfe
    • OT Paul Cornick
    • CB Bradley Roby
    • G Manny Ramirez
    • OT Chris Clark
    • WR Wes Welker
    • DT Sylvester Williams
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    2
    • DE Quanterus Smith
    • RB Ronnie Hillman
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Jeff Legwold, ESPN.com

Chris Harris Jr.

CB Chris Harris Jr.: His versatility makes him the rarest of finds in the league, especially for an undrafted player. Whereas many of the league's best corners line up on the same side of the formation no matter what the offense does, Harris moves all over the field with regularity, and the result is rarely good for the opposition: Of the 33 cornerbacks to play more than 500 coverage snaps this season, Harris was the only one to not allow a touchdown, according to PFF.

C.J. Anderson

RB C.J. Anderson: Third on the depth chart earlier this season, Anderson gained 894 total yards and scored nine TDs in seven regular-season starts. His tackle-shedding, 7-yard run on a fourth-down conversion in the Broncos' playoff loss was one of the team's best plays all season. Not bad for a guy whose roster spot was in jeopardy last year after he came into offseason workouts too heavy and tumbled down the depth chart. To be an elite player, Anderson has to return to the offseason program as if he plans to be the starter.

Demaryius Thomas

WR Demaryius Thomas: Set to be an unrestricted free agent, Thomas is clearly the team's alpha at the position. Big and powerful with close-the-deal speed, the 2010 first-rounder is the only wide receiver in the league to eclipse 1,300 yards in each of the past three seasons. But Thomas had far too many drops in 2014 for a receiver of his caliber -- eight in total, including four in the first three games of the season. (He also added two more drops in the Broncos' playoff loss.) Thomas' stock could vault even higher if he cleans up his technique. Many of his drops have come on potential catch-and-run plays on which he has his back to the defense and looks upfield too quickly.

Malik Jackson

DE Malik Jackson: As was the case in 2013, Jackson proved to be one of the Broncos' most efficient players. He played just 53 percent of the team's defensive snaps during the regular season yet was third in tackles for loss (eight), second in QB hits (20) and ninth in tackles (42) -- which led all of the team's defensive linemen. The Broncos kept him a rotational player because that was defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio's way -- none of the defensive linemen played more than 69 percent of snaps in 2014. We'll see if that changes with a new coaching staff in town.

Brandon Marshall

OLB Brandon Marshall: If he improves as much between 2014 and 2015 as he did over the past year, Marshall is headed for elite status. The former practice squad member went from playing in just one game in 2013 to ranking as PFF's fourth-ranked 4-3 OLB in 2014. An every-down linebacker, Marshall has the lower-body explosiveness necessary to make tackles in the run game and the quickness to cover tight ends and running backs down the field. The Broncos used him in the base, nickel and dime packages, and before getting hurt in Week 15, Marshall had played 95 percent of the team's defensive snaps.

Orlando Franklin

G Orlando Franklin: The Broncos moved Franklin from right tackle to left guard this season in hopes he would improve Peyton Manning's protection up the middle. Even though he committed a team-high 10 penalties, Franklin allowed just one sack, per PFF, and helped propel the Broncos run game. Denver averaged 5.4 yards per carry on run plays over his left guard spot in the final six games of 2014. Several personnel executives said in recent weeks that Franklin was playing near an All-Pro level over the season's final month. He'll draw plenty of interest as a guard in free agency.

Julius Thomas

TE Julius Thomas: He was anything but average in the first 10 weeks of the season, as he led the league with 12 touchdown catches. Defensive coordinators considered him far more difficult to deal with when lined up in the slot or out wide as opposed to on the line. Their school of thought: It was easier to slow him down at the line of scrimmage if Thomas was coming out of a three-point stance. They also believed they could muscle him off the spot in pass protection and shed him in the run game. In space, with a large catch radius and top-end ball skills, Thomas is close to an elite pass-catcher, but the rest of his game still lags behind.

Peyton Manning

QB Peyton Manning: He wasn't quite himself over the last half of the season, especially after suffering a thigh injury in Week 15, but an average player doesn't finish second in the league in touchdown passes (39) at age 38. Manning had eight games with at least three touchdowns, was fourth in the league in passing yards (4,727) and fifth in yards per attempt (7.9). Physically, he isn't the player he was, and he can't overcome personnel deficiencies around him as easily as he once did. But as an opposing defensive coordinator said, "He's still the guy who can beat you with his brain. If they protect him better, the rest isn't an issue.''

DeMarcus Ware

DE DeMarcus Ware: The Broncos tried to monitor Ware's snap count to get the most out of the 32-year-old. He ended up playing 69 percent of the defense's snaps -- the highest among defensive linemen -- and the wear seemed to take its toll down the stretch. Ware had just one of his 10 sacks in the season's final six games. Inside the building there's some thought that if they dial it back just a bit, they'll get a little more return on the back end of the season. A lot depends on the new staff's approach, but Ware may become more of a situational player in 2015.

Louis Vasquez

G/T Louis Vasquez: An All-Pro guard, Vasquez moved to right tackle out of necessity midway through the season. He spent the final eight games of the regular season there, allowing four sacks, according to PFF. As a pro personnel director from another AFC team said: "[The Broncos] took their best lineman and moved him out of position because he was still their best option at his second-best position." Vasquez is expected to move back inside next season if the Broncos refurbish their line, as expected.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Yards allowed per coverage snap

Good News: Denver had the best cornerback in football this season. Coming off an ACL injury, Harris allowed just 0.57 yards per coverage snap. That was a full 0.2 better than Richard Sherman, the next closest qualified CB. And when quarterbacks dared to target Harris, they had a passer rating of just 47.8. That was second in the league among starters.

Bad News: Of the six Broncos offensive linemen to play more than 450 snaps this season, just two (Franklin and Montgomery) had positive PFF grades. This comes a year after four of the five regulars up front had plus-ratings. Left tackle Ryan Clady, coming off a major foot injury, fell from the fifth-ranked tackle in 2012 to 41st overall this season.

Yards allowed per coverage snap

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- WR Emmanuel Sanders: His $6 million salary did fall within the top 20 for wide receivers, but Sanders ranked fifth in the NFL in both catches (101) and yards (1,404) while starting all 16 games. That production -- by far a career high -- came after signing a three-year, $15 million deal in 2014. In fact, the total value of Sanders' deal is equivalent to the guaranteed money former Broncos receiver Eric Decker got from the Jets this past offseason.

Total Guaranteed Money

Worst -- RT Ryan Clady: Generally speaking, the Broncos' talent, production and pay scale match up as well as any team's in the league. But Clady did not play to his history in 2014, based on PFF's reckoning, while earning $8 million and consuming $8.6 million of the salary cap. PFF graded him as average for this project and ranked him 41st overall among NFL tackles. To put that in perspective, fellow Bronco Orlando Franklin earned just $969,000 in 2014 but ranked as PFF's 13th-best guard.

Total Guaranteed Money

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Peyton Manning's numbers dipped in the second half of the season, but it's not exactly clear why. Age? A hidden injury? An adjustment by opposing defenses? Whatever it was, Manning's 63.3 Total QBR in Denver's final eight games ranked 11th in the NFL, and his 10 interceptions matched his total from all of last season. Manning wants to play in 2015 -- and it's assumed the Broncos want him back -- but his contract structure allows the team to part ways with minimal cap damage after the season. There is no evidence that backup Brock Osweiler is ready to take over.

Positional Needs

by Jeff Legwold, ESPN.com

Offensive line: Two starters -- Franklin and Montgomery -- are prospective free agents this offseason. Franklin will likely attract a bigger offer elsewhere and Montgomery isn't expected to be re-signed, so it's clear they'll have to expend a premium pick, or two, to find some reinforcements up front. Ideally, the Broncos would come out of free agency and the draft with a swing tackle, guard and center.

Tight end: The top three players on the depth chart -- Julius Thomas, Green and Tamme -- are all scheduled to be unrestricted free agents. It's likely, assuming the Broncos use the franchise tag on Demaryius Thomas, that Julius Thomas will get a bigger offer to play elsewhere. He's looking to be among the highest-paid tight ends (Jimmy Graham signed a four-year, $40 million deal last offseason). The Broncos would like to sign Green, but will he fit into the new coach's plans? Tamme wants to be back, but he had a $1.25 million base salary this season to go with a $450,000 roster bonus. The Broncos likely wouldn't go that high.

Wide receiver: The Broncos are going to try hard to sign as many of their own free agents as possible, including Demaryius Thomas. But it's tough to see Wes Welker coming back unless he's willing to play at a lower rate than the two-year, $12 million deal he signed in 2012. Welker had 49 catches this season, his lowest since 2005. The Broncos rave about the athleticism of Cody Latimer, a 2014 second-rounder, and think he'll be ready for a far bigger role in '15. Still, they'll have to look to get a little more size and speed in the formation this offseason.

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3

Green Bay

Packers

2014 Record: 12-4, Lost In NFC Championship Game

How close were the Packers to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

2Above-Average Players Away
Elite

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Packers' 31 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 6
    • WR Jordy Nelson
    • RB Eddie Lacy
    • QB Aaron Rodgers
    • WR Randall Cobb
    • G T.J. Lang
    • G Josh Sitton
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 5
    • CB Casey Hayward
    • OLB Julius Peppers
    • S Morgan Burnett
    • C Corey Linsley
    • OT Bryan Bulaga
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 18
    • DE Mike Daniels
    • OLB Clay Matthews
    • CB Tramon Williams
    • CB Davon House
    • TE Andrew Quarless
    • DE Datone Jones
    • ILB Jamari Lattimore
    • OLB Nick Perry
    • ILB Sam Barrington
    • OT David Bakhtiari
    • S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
    • CB Sam Shields
    • DE Josh Boyd
    • DT Letroy Guion
    • S Micah Hyde
    • RB James Starks
    • TE Richard Rodgers
    • ILB A.J. Hawk
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 2
    • WR Davante Adams
    • OLB Mike Neal
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    6
    • WR Jordy Nelson
    • RB Eddie Lacy
    • QB Aaron Rodgers
    • WR Randall Cobb
    • G T.J. Lang
    • G Josh Sitton
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    5
    • CB Casey Hayward
    • OLB Julius Peppers
    • S Morgan Burnett
    • C Corey Linsley
    • OT Bryan Bulaga
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    18
    • DE Mike Daniels
    • OLB Clay Matthews
    • CB Tramon Williams
    • CB Davon House
    • TE Andrew Quarless
    • DE Datone Jones
    • ILB Jamari Lattimore
    • OLB Nick Perry
    • ILB Sam Barrington
    • OT David Bakhtiari
    • S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
    • CB Sam Shields
    • DE Josh Boyd
    • DT Letroy Guion
    • S Micah Hyde
    • RB James Starks
    • TE Richard Rodgers
    • ILB A.J. Hawk
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    2
    • WR Davante Adams
    • OLB Mike Neal
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Rob Demovsky, ESPN.com

Eddie Lacy

RB Eddie Lacy: Coach Mike McCarthy was more judicious with how he used Lacy this season, and the result was 38 fewer carries but a better rushing average (4.6 this season, compared to 4.1 in 2013). Lacy broke 24 tackles, second in the league among running backs, behind the Steelers' Le'Veon Bell. He's the first Packers running back to post 1,000 yards in each of his first two seasons since John Brockington in 1971-72. The question with Lacy: How long can he stay in the elite category, considering the beating he takes?

Randall Cobb

WR Randall Cobb: After posting career bests in catches (91), touchdowns (12) and yards (1,287), Cobb more than earned his elite rating. (And for the record, he almost certainly would've been there last year had he not missed 10 games with a fractured lower leg.) Cobb is headed for free agency, but he won't get there. A league executive said at midseason that everyone around the NFL knows Ted Thompson won't let a young, homegrown talent like Cobb hit free agency. The Packers will lock him up, and it may cost them in the neighborhood of $8 million-plus per season.

Josh Sitton

G Josh Sitton: The last time Sitton allowed a sack was all the way back on Sept. 22, 2013, against the Bengals. It's a streak that spans 32 games, including the playoffs. So it's no wonder that Sitton ranked as PFF's best pass-blocking guard for the second time in as many years. Since moving to left guard in 2013, he's taken his run-blocking to another level. The Packers have averaged 5.3 yards per carry on runs off left guard over that span, the second-highest mark in the league.

Casey Hayward

CB Casey Hayward: The third-year pro spent most of the season as the dime defensive back, meaning he played only when the Packers employed six defensive backs, usually in third-and-long situations. As a result, Hayward saw the field for just 39 percent of the defensive snaps even though he didn't miss a single game. And yet, he tied Tramon Williams for the team lead with three interceptions while allowing only two touchdown passes this season. PFF graded him as its No. 9 cornerback overall, even though he allowed a 65 percent completion rate when teams threw at him, the second-highest percentage among PFF's top nine corners.

Morgan Burnett

S Morgan Burnett: If this weren't a one-year assessment, it would be hard to justify a good rating for Burnett. But after a woeful 2013 season in which PFF ranked him as the 63rd safety out of 86 qualifiers, Burnett rebounded to finish 16th this season, thanks to his No. 1 overall grade vs. the run. Burnett also added an interception and a forced fumble after failing to come up with either in 2013.

Clay Matthews

OLB Clay Matthews: Maybe PFF downgraded Matthews for playing more than one position, but the decision to split his snaps between inside and outside linebacker may have been what saved the Packers' defense. It was abysmal against the run before the move -- it ranked dead last through Week 8 (153.5 YPG) -- and closed out the season allowing just 86.4 yards per game (seventh overall). As defensive coordinator Dom Capers said: "Every time I looked, [people were saying], 'How smart are they, taking their best pass-rusher and dropping him into coverage?' But we ended up starting to win." Matthews still thrived as a pass-rusher, managing his fourth double-digit sack season (11) in six years. No way is he an average player.

Ha Ha Clinton-Dix

First-round picks: The Packers' past three first-round picks -- Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, Datone Jones and Nick Perry -- all fell into the average category, and only Clinton-Dix looks like he's trending up. He took over early on as a full-time starter at safety, and although he still misses too many tackles (15 for the season), he did not allow a touchdown in coverage. Meanwhile, Jones and Perry have played two and three seasons, respectively, and have offered no indication that they will be better-than-average players.

A.J. Hawk

ILB A.J. Hawk: He was a reliable player for eight years, but Hawk's ninth season will probably be his last in Green Bay. His limited athleticism in coverage -- he allowed a 74 percent completion rate when he was thrown at -- was never more apparent than this season. Just watch the play on which he tried to cover Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph, who ran away from Hawk for a 23-yard gain in Week 12 at Minnesota. It's why, by season's end, he played only in the base 3-4 defense and not in any sub packages. His play this season deserved to fall under the bad category.

Davante Adams

WR Davante Adams: Anyone who watched the Packers' Week 13 win over the Patriots would probably quibble with Adams' bad rating. He caught six passes for 121 yards in that game, and finished with 38 for 446 and three touchdowns on the season. After disappearing late in the season (just four catches for 29 yards in the final four games combined), the rookie second-rounder re-emerged with a monster game in the playoffs -- seven catches for 117 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Slot receiving yards

Good News: The Packers had two of the nine best wide receivers this season in Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb, according to PFF's grades. Cobb stood out for his production from the slot, where he compiled 1,067 yards. That's 200 more than the next-closest receiver (Philadelphia rookie Jordan Matthews), and the highest total by a wideout since Wes Welker and Victor Cruz topped 1,200 yards from the slot in 2011.

Bad News: Cobb and Nelson are fantastic weapons, but what do the Packers have behind those two at wide receiver? Rookie Davante Adams flashed potential (three TDs), but had four drops in 42 catchable passes thrown his way. Beyond Cobb, Nelson and Adams, the other wide receivers on the roster combined for just 43 yards.

Slot receiving yards

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- WR Jordy Nelson: He earned his $14.3 million salary in 2014, the third highest in the NFL for receivers, with an elite season. Nelson finished fourth in the league in yards (1,519) and tied for second with 13 touchdown catches. Over the past two seasons, he's compiled 183 catches, 2,833 yards and 21 TDs. Compare that to the Chiefs' Dwayne Bowe (117-1,427-5), who made nearly $8 million more than Nelson over that span. Nelson has a pretty reasonable contract the rest of the way, too. His salary drops to $2.3 million in 2015 and averages $8.7 million thereafter.

2013-14 Salary

Worst -- CB Sam Shields: He earned $15 million in 2014, and the contract he signed last March will pay him $21 million total over its first two years. That's elite money for a cornerback, but the Packers got a below-average season by Shields' standards. He managed just two interceptions and defended nine passes, his lowest totals since he was a part-time player as a rookie in 2010. Believe it or not, Patriots All-Pro Darrelle Revis (PFF's No. 4 CB) made $3 million less than Shields (No. 71) in 2014.

2013-14 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Aaron Rodgers is arguably the NFL's top quarterback, and he has one of its heftiest contracts, having received $50.9 million over the past two seasons. But the Packers structured his deal in a way that minimizes the salary-cap impact -- as much as is really possible with an elite QB. Each year from 2015 to 2019, Rodgers will count between $18 million and $21 million against the cap. Rodgers is just 31 and believes he has a decade or more left in his career.

Positional Needs

by Rob Demovsky, ESPN.com

Inside linebacker: The Packers would like to move Clay Matthews back to outside linebacker full-time, but they'll have to find another inside linebacker first. A.J. Hawk isn't likely to be back -- not at $3.5 million anyway -- and they've tried Jamari Lattimore and Brad Jones without much success. They like Sam Barrington for his ability to play the run, but they need more depth.

Receiver: Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson combined for 50 percent of the Packers' targets this season and 54.3 percent of their total receptions. So, Green Bay is lucky the duo stayed healthy all season. You can't count on that happening every year. Davante Adams emerged at the No. 3 spot after Jarrett Boykin proved to be a major disappointment. Boykin had as many drops (three) as he did catches (three for 23 yards). It looks like his 49-catch season of 2013 was a fluke. Perhaps Jared Abbrederis or Jeff Janis will develop, but the Packers might want to add some more bodies to the mix.

Outside linebacker: Julius Peppers had a resurgent season, with seven sacks, four forced fumbles and two interceptions. But his 2015 cap number is a steep $12 million -- $7 million of which would be wiped off the books if the Packers cut him loose. There's also a possibility Mike Neal won't be back. Green Bay gave Neal a two-year, $8 million contract last spring after he moved from defensive end to outside linebacker in 2013. He had 4.5 sacks but didn't do much else.

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2

Philadelphia

Eagles

2014 Record: 10-6, missed playoffs

How close were the Eagles to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

2Above-Average Players Away
Elite

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Eagles' 34 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 3
    • OT Jason Peters
    • G Evan Mathis
    • OLB Brandon Graham
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 9
    • ILB Mychal Kendricks
    • DE Fletcher Cox
    • TE Zach Ertz
    • WR Jeremy Maclin
    • OT Lane Johnson
    • S Malcolm Jenkins
    • CB Brandon Boykin
    • TE Brent Celek
    • C Jason Kelce
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 19
    • S Nate Allen
    • OLB Trent Cole
    • CB Nolan Carroll
    • RB Darren Sproles
    • DE Vinny Curry
    • ILB DeMeco Ryans
    • OLB Connor Barwin
    • DE Cedric Thornton
    • CB Cary Williams
    • DT Bennie Logan
    • C David Molk
    • WR Jordan Matthews
    • ILB Emmanuel Acho
    • G Andrew Gardner
    • QB Nick Foles
    • G Matt Tobin
    • QB Mark Sanchez
    • ILB Casey Matthews
    • G Todd Herremans
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 3
    • CB Bradley Fletcher
    • RB LeSean McCoy
    • WR Riley Cooper
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    3
    • OT Jason Peters
    • G Evan Mathis
    • OLB Brandon Graham
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    9
    • ILB Mychal Kendricks
    • DE Fletcher Cox
    • TE Zach Ertz
    • WR Jeremy Maclin
    • OT Lane Johnson
    • S Malcolm Jenkins
    • CB Brandon Boykin
    • TE Brent Celek
    • C Jason Kelce
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    19
    • S Nate Allen
    • OLB Trent Cole
    • CB Nolan Carroll
    • RB Darren Sproles
    • DE Vinny Curry
    • ILB DeMeco Ryans
    • OLB Connor Barwin
    • DE Cedric Thornton
    • CB Cary Williams
    • DT Bennie Logan
    • C David Molk
    • WR Jordan Matthews
    • ILB Emmanuel Acho
    • G Andrew Gardner
    • QB Nick Foles
    • G Matt Tobin
    • QB Mark Sanchez
    • ILB Casey Matthews
    • G Todd Herremans
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    3
    • CB Bradley Fletcher
    • RB LeSean McCoy
    • WR Riley Cooper
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Phil Sheridan, ESPN.com

Evan Mathis

G Evan Mathis: I'm not about to argue this rating for one of PFF's favorite O-linemen. Mathis was injured for all but 27 snaps in the first half of the season, and that's likely the only reason he didn't rank as PFF's top run-blocking guard for the fourth consecutive season. (He had to settle for third.) To be sure, Mathis, 33, isn't getting any younger, but before this season, the Alabama product had played 98 percent of the Eagles' offensive snaps since 2011.

Brandon Graham

OLB Brandon Graham: He didn't start and played just 43 percent of Philly's defensive snaps, but Graham proved to be a part-time elite player when he was on the field. He racked up 51 QB pressures according to PFF, five more than Trent Cole despite playing 128 less pass rush snaps. It was a timely breakout season for the free-agent-to-be Graham. The Eagles, who have already talked to his agent about returning, might look to replace Cole (and his $11.6 million cap number) with Graham in the starting lineup.

Fletcher Cox

DE Fletcher Cox: Head coach Chip Kelly said Cox was the Eagles' MVP this season. The former first-round pick really hit his stride in mid-November, when he began a five-game run that had PFF comparing him to J.J. Watt. Cox recorded three sacks, 19 hurries and 14 run stops during that stretch, earning a cumulative +23.8 grade from PFF, the highest given to all 3-4 DEs over that span. "I thought he had a Pro Bowl year," Kelly said. "He's been really unblockable at times."

Brandon Boykin

CB Brandon Boykin: As the Eagles' nickel corner, Boykin was on the field for 43 percent of the Eagles' defensive snaps. In a similar role in 2013, he intercepted six passes. This season, Boykin registered just one pick. He played the third-most snaps of any CB in the slot, but secondary coach John Lovett questions whether the 5-foot-10 Boykin would hold up on the outside against 6-foot-3 or taller wide receivers all game.

Brent Celek

TE Brent Celek: His receiving stats (32 catches, 340 yards, 1 touchdown) were his lowest since 2008. So why'd he play 40 percent more snaps than second-year receiving specialist TE Zach Ertz (58 catches, 702 yards, 3 TDs)? Celek proved to be an integral part of the Eagles' running game, ranking as PFF's second-best run-blocking TE in 2014.

Connor Barwin

OLB Connor Barwin: He played 87 percent of the Eagles' defensive snaps, most among Eagles LBs, earning a trip to the Pro Bowl with a career-high 14.5 sacks. Barwin, who is capable of dropping into coverage and setting the edge, is the perfect role model for Brandon Graham. Eagles coaches value Barwin's reliability and consistency in all facets.

Nick Foles

QB Nick Foles: The best argument for the Eagles sticking with Foles as their starter is his 6-2 record this season. The counterargument? Foles' 13 turnovers were a long way from his 27-touchdown, two-interception breakthrough in 2013. If you're looking for a glimmer of hope, Foles never played behind the Eagles' original starting offensive line, so there's a chance he'll be better next season with the band back together.

LeSean McCoy

RB LeSean McCoy: This requires a bit of a protest. PFF typically cited McCoy for not breaking tackles and missing the holes provided by his offensive line. Those are legitimate criticisms. But remember: that highly graded offensive line -- the same one McCoy rushed behind for an NFL-high 1,607 yards in 2013 -- was not on the field for huge chunks of the season. Despite all the injuries, McCoy finished this season third with 1,319 yards. That's 13 more yards than Seattle's Marshawn Lynch, who ran for 1,306 in the regular season and got an elite grade from PFF. McCoy may have regressed a bit, but he doesn't belong down in the bad category with Riley Cooper and Bradley Fletcher.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Yards per route run from slot

Good News: In the Year of The Rookie WR, the Eagles got good production out of their second-rounder Jordan Matthews. The Vanderbilt product compiled 876 yards and eight touchdowns in his first year, trailing Jeremy Maclin by just two scores for the team lead. Matthews did most of his damage in the slot, running 92 percent of his routes inside, the highest rate in the league. It wasn't by accident, either; he gained 1.87 yards per route run from the slot this season, tied for second among all wide receivers behind Green Bay's Randall Cobb.

Bad News: While Brandon Boykin remains one of the league's best slot corners, the two starters outside, Bradley Fletcher and Cary Williams, are a far bigger concern. Fletcher allowed nine touchdowns, which ranked second behind Washington's David Amerson. (Williams chipped in with five of his own.) The pair also combined to allow 117 catches and 1,829 receiving yards in 2014, and only one CB duo -- Cleveland's Buster Skrine and Joe Haden -- were targeted more than Williams and Fletcher (214).

Yards per route run from slot

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- RB Darren Sproles: Acquired from the New Orleans Saints in the offseason, Sproles earned $4 million in 2014. In exchange, he produced 716 all-purpose yards on 97 offensive touches, while playing just one-third of the Eagles' offensive snaps. That 7.4 yards per touch average ranked first among all RBs with at least 95 total touches, and was a yard-and-a-half more than the next closest player (Le'Veon Bell). LeSean McCoy, the Eagles' $8 million back, saw a lot more playing time but averaged just 4.3 yards per touch. As usual, Sproles was also an asset in the return game, scoring two punt-return TDs, which tied for the league lead.

2014 Salary

Worst -- WR Riley Cooper: The Eagles signed Cooper to a five-year contract in February 2014 for $10 million guaranteed, including $5 million in 2014. But this season, Cooper proved he's a complementary receiver at best. He caught a career-high 55 passes, but his yard-per-catch average dropped from 17.8 yards in 2013 to 10.5 in 2014. His touchdowns also dropped from eight to three. Jeremy Maclin, the Eagles' true No. 1 wideout, registered a solid 85-1,318-10 season, while making just $500,000 more than Cooper.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

The Eagles have two functional starters on their roster, but it's possible that neither are long-term solutions. Nick Foles is 14-4 as a starter under Chip Kelly, and Mark Sanchez went 4-4 in 2014 after Foles broke his collarbone. Foles regressed in most every way from 2013 before the injury: His completion percentage plummeted five points, his turnovers rose from three to 13 despite playing in five less games, and his QBR fell from 69.0 to 62.2. It's possible the Eagles will seek a long-term answer this offseason.

Positional Needs

by Phil Sheridan, ESPN.com

Secondary: The Eagles' pass defense truly broke down in the last month of the season. Opposing quarterbacks completed 61 percent of their passes for 1,177 yards and six touchdowns in December. During the three-game losing streak that knocked Philly out of the playoffs, the Eagles allowed 14 pass plays of more than 20 yards, the second-most in the league. Half the secondary starters -- CB Bradley Fletcher and S Nate Allen -- are scheduled to become free agents. A third, cornerback Cary Williams, could be on his way out, thanks to his $8.1 million cap number. Whether it's through free agency or the draft, this beleaguered unit is in need of a major overhaul. Seattle's Byron Maxwell would be worth a look.

Linebacker: With DeMeco Ryans coming back from a second Achilles tear, the Eagles need depth and talent at inside linebacker. The guys on the outside are far from settled, either. Trent Cole is 33 and comes with an $11.6 million cap number, and Brandon Graham is hitting free agency after a solid year. Miami's Denzel Perryman and USC's Eric Kendricks (Mychal's brother) could be had in the draft.

Offensive line: This is the Eagles' greatest strength, but it's time to begin targeting the eventual replacements for Jason Peters (32 years old), Todd Herremans (32) and Evan Mathis (33). Maybe Andrew Gardner and Matt Tobin can develop into solid players, but the draft should be tapped to provide young, cost-effective talent for the future. Right tackle Lane Johnson, the Eagles' 2013 first-rounder, has the skill set to eventually slide over to the left tackle spot.

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4

Detroit

Lions

2014 record: 11-5, lost in wild card

How close were the Lions to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

5Above-Average Players Away
Contending

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Lions' 32 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 4
    • WR Calvin Johnson
    • DT Ndamukong Suh
    • S Glover Quin
    • OLB DeAndre Levy
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 4
    • DE Ezekiel Ansah
    • CB Rashean Mathis
    • S James Ihedigbo
    • CB Darius Slay
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 21
    • DT Nick Fairley
    • WR Golden Tate
    • RB Reggie Bush
    • G Larry Warford
    • OT Riley Reiff
    • OT LaAdrian Waddle
    • ILB Tahir Whitehead
    • DT C.J. Mosley
    • DE George Johnson
    • S Isa Abdul-Quddus
    • G Rob Sims
    • FB Jed Collins
    • DE Darryl Tapp
    • OT Cornelius Lucas
    • RB Joique Bell
    • QB Matthew Stafford
    • TE Eric Ebron
    • G Travis Swanson
    • CB Cassius Vaughn
    • WR Corey Fuller
    • DE Jason Jones
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 3
    • WR Jeremy Ross
    • C Dominic Raiola
    • TE Brandon Pettigrew
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    4
    • WR Calvin Johnson
    • DT Ndamukong Suh
    • S Glover Quin
    • OLB DeAndre Levy
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    4
    • DE Ezekiel Ansah
    • CB Rashean Mathis
    • S James Ihedigbo
    • CB Darius Slay
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    21
    • DT Nick Fairley
    • WR Golden Tate
    • RB Reggie Bush
    • G Larry Warford
    • OT Riley Reiff
    • OT LaAdrian Waddle
    • ILB Tahir Whitehead
    • DT C.J. Mosley
    • DE George Johnson
    • S Isa Abdul-Quddus
    • G Rob Sims
    • FB Jed Collins
    • DE Darryl Tapp
    • OT Cornelius Lucas
    • RB Joique Bell
    • QB Matthew Stafford
    • TE Eric Ebron
    • G Travis Swanson
    • CB Cassius Vaughn
    • WR Corey Fuller
    • DE Jason Jones
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    3
    • WR Jeremy Ross
    • C Dominic Raiola
    • TE Brandon Pettigrew
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Michael Rothstein, ESPN.com

Ndamukong Suh

DT Ndamukong Suh: Coach Jim Caldwell made a point of repeatedly calling Suh "dominant" in 2014. The No. 2 overall pick in the 2010 draft has lived up to that billing -- and his elite rating from PFF -- throughout his five seasons with the Lions. This year, he consistently drew double-teams, freeing up other defenders. The Dolphins tried blocking him one-on-one during the first drive of the season, and Suh compiled two tackles for loss, including a sack of Ryan Tannehill. Multiple Detroit players paid Suh the highest compliment of all, saying they don't want to imagine the Lions' defense without him.

Ezekiel Ansah

DE Ezekiel Ansah: Part of what freed Suh from time to time was the presence of Ansah, who showed plenty of potential in his second year. The Lions would occasionally line up Suh and Ansah next to each other in pass-rush situations to create leverage and havoc. If Ansah continues his ascent -- he accounted for three of the Lions' 11 forced fumbles -- the BYU product has the look of a future Pro Bowler.

Golden Tate

WR Golden Tate: After posting career highs in receptions (99) and yards (1,331), it's safe to put Tate in the "good" category. His 696 yards after the catch led the league, and his 58 first downs ranked 12th. In fact, Tate was the only player to rank top-20 in first downs while having an average yards per target under eight. And don't forget: With Calvin Johnson sidelined, he compiled 17 catches and 305 receiving yards in come-from-behind wins against New Orleans and Atlanta.

Reggie Bush

RB Reggie Bush: When he played, he was fine. The problem? Bush spent most of the season injured. He played just 25 percent of Detroit's offensive snaps, and his numbers took a big hit. A year after compiling a career-high 1,512 all-purpose yards, Bush could only muster 550 in 2014. The emergence of Theo Riddick could make Bush expendable before 2015.

Detroit's offensive line: The story of Detroit's season was an average-to-below-average offensive line, so it's fitting PFF rated all seven qualifying offensive linemen as average or bad. Detroit's run game regressed from 17th in 2013 to 28th in 2014, and Stafford was sacked a career-worst 45 times.

Matthew Stafford

QB Matthew Stafford: His yards were down. So were his touchdowns. His completion percentage eclipsed 60 percent for the second time in his career, but was still 25th in the NFL. His 12 interceptions were way down, but still tied for 16th. Stafford's teammates and coaches all said he did what was asked of him -- and to be fair, he's better than a lot of other options out there. But his 2014 season was the definition of average.

Jeremy Ross

WR Jeremy Ross: Serving as the team's default No. 3 receiver, Ross had a rough year. He was only targeted on 35 of his 445 routes, and accounted for just 314 yards. Ross also struggled as a returner in the second half of the season, muffing two punts.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Missed tackles forced

Good News: The Lions have searched for a receiver to complement Calvin Johnson, and they finally found one this year in Golden Tate. Doing his best work in space, Tate forced 20 missed tackles (tied for No. 1 among WRs) and racked up 709 yards after the catch, the most by a wide receiver in the past three seasons.

Bad News: After spending a first-round pick on Eric Ebron and re-signing Brandon Pettigrew, the Lions were expecting their tight ends to add a new dimension to their offense. Instead, they proved to be overmatched. The five tight ends who saw the field for Detroit in 2014 compiled just 392 receiving yards, 30th in the league. In fact, 23 TEs managed more than that on their own this season.

Missed tackles forced

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- OLB DeAndre Levy: He had an elite-level season, tallying a career-high 151 tackles -- second highest in the NFL -- for one of the league's top defenses. PFF rated Levy the third-best 4-3 outside linebacker in the NFL. Even better for the Lions, Levy was a bargain, making just $2.3 million and counting only $3.3 million against the cap. Linebackers in a 4-3 don't carry great financial value in the NFL, but Levy earned just half of what the Vikings' Chad Greenway did, who ranked as the third-worst 4-3 OLB in 2014, according to PFF.

2014 Salary

Worst -- TE Brandon Pettigrew: The Lions re-signed Pettigrew to a four-year contract that paid him $5.2 million in 2014. Then they hardly used him after making Eric Ebron a first-round draft choice. Pettigrew caught 10 passes (on 14 targets) and played only 50 percent of the Lions' snaps. The Chiefs' Travis Kelce played just 90 snaps more than Pettigrew, but caught 67 balls for 862 yards -- and made only $536,000. Which is all the more reason you don't need to pay $5.2 million for a blocking tight end. Plus, PFF's evaluation indicates Pettigrew slipped in that area anyway; he ranked as the No. 42 run-blocking TE this season.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

In his sixth season, Matthew Stafford was unable to transition from inconsistent playmaker to a top-10 quarterback. His 55.1 total QBR ranked 22nd in the NFL, behind the likes of Mark Sanchez, Drew Stanton and Ryan Fitzpatrick. Stafford's current contract paid him $33.5 million over the past two seasons but calls for a reasonable average of $14.2 million over the next three. The biggest fear is the Lions are locked into slightly above-average quarterbacking for the foreseeable future, but at 26, Stafford still has time to improve.

Positional Needs

by Michael Rothstein, ESPN.com

Defensive tackle: By pure numbers, this needs addressing in free agency and the draft. There is only one non-practice squad player under contract for 2015 -- little-used Caraun Reid -- so expect a major overhaul here once the team decides what to do about Ndamukong Suh. Free-agency signings are likely, but Ohio State's Michael Bennett could be an early intriguing draft option.

Offensive line: Considering the injury issues -- only Rob Sims started all 16 games this season -- this is an area of need. The instability at right tackle was a killer all season, and the Lions could stand to bolster their interior-line depth. Don't be surprised if Detroit makes this a priority high in the draft.

Cornerback: The Lions have one solidified starter (Darius Slay), but even if they bring back free-agent-to-be Rashean Mathis, they still need a long-term solution at the position. Detroit should be keen on drafting a young corner early and letting Mathis mentor him. It worked out with Slay. Michigan State's Trae Waynes fits the profile if the Lions choose to finally take a defensive back in the first round.

close

2

Cleveland

Browns

2014 Record: 7-9, missed playoffs

How close were the Browns to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

5Above-Average Players Away
Contending

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Browns' 35 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • OT Joe Thomas
    • G Joel Bitonio
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 7
    • WR Andrew Hawkins
    • CB K'Waun Williams
    • S Tashaun Gipson
    • ILB Karlos Dansby
    • S Donte Whitner
    • G John Greco
    • WR Taylor Gabriel
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 19
    • C Alex Mack
    • OLB Paul Kruger
    • CB Joe Haden
    • S Jim Leonhard
    • OLB Barkevious Mingo
    • OLB Jabaal Sheard
    • ILB Craig Robertson
    • TE Gary Barnidge
    • WR Miles Austin
    • OT Mitchell Schwartz
    • WR Travis Benjamin
    • ILB Chris Kirksey
    • CB Justin Gilbert
    • DT Ishmaa'ily Kitchen
    • DE Desmond Bryant
    • DE Billy Winn
    • TE Jim Dray
    • CB Buster Skrine
    • DE Sione Fua
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 7
    • RB Terrance West
    • TE Jordan Cameron
    • QB Brian Hoyer
    • RB Isaiah Crowell
    • DT Ahtyba Rubin
    • RB Ben Tate
    • C Nick McDonald
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • OT Joe Thomas
    • G Joel Bitonio
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    7
    • WR Andrew Hawkins
    • CB K'Waun Williams
    • S Tashaun Gipson
    • ILB Karlos Dansby
    • S Donte Whitner
    • G John Greco
    • WR Taylor Gabriel
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    19
    • C Alex Mack
    • OLB Paul Kruger
    • CB Joe Haden
    • S Jim Leonhard
    • OLB Barkevious Mingo
    • OLB Jabaal Sheard
    • ILB Craig Robertson
    • TE Gary Barnidge
    • WR Miles Austin
    • OT Mitchell Schwartz
    • WR Travis Benjamin
    • ILB Chris Kirksey
    • CB Justin Gilbert
    • DT Ishmaa'ily Kitchen
    • DE Desmond Bryant
    • DE Billy Winn
    • TE Jim Dray
    • CB Buster Skrine
    • DE Sione Fua
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    7
    • RB Terrance West
    • TE Jordan Cameron
    • QB Brian Hoyer
    • RB Isaiah Crowell
    • DT Ahtyba Rubin
    • RB Ben Tate
    • C Nick McDonald
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Jeremy Fowler, ESPN.com

Joe Thomas

LT Joe Thomas: PFF can go ahead and pencil Thomas in to the elite category every year until his body breaks down. Since 2008, Thomas has missed exactly seven of the Browns' offensive snaps. No wonder he's made first-team All-Pro five of the last six seasons. Through Week 10 this year, Thomas had played 295 pass-blocking snaps and allowed just five QB pressures, the lowest among all tackles according to PFF. To put that number in perspective, Cleveland RT Mitchell Schwartz, who had a pretty good year, allowed five QB pressures ... against Jacksonville.

Andrew Hawkins

WR Andrew Hawkins: The Browns got a bargain when signing Hawkins to a four-year, $13-million contract this offseason. Through Week 12, he was on pace for his first career 1,000-yard season, but managed just 13 catches and 130 yards down the stretch as the Browns' passing game unraveled (150.2 ypg). At 5-foot-7, Hawkins' biggest asset is his speed (4.34 40) and lateral quickness. He needs to show some of that shiftiness to wiggle free more often in the red zone, as he finished 2014 with just one TD inside the 20. Better QB play would certainly help his cause.

Tashaun Gipson

S Tashaun Gipson: A restricted free agent, Gipson will be one of the Browns' easiest offseason decisions: Give him a high-round tender to solidify the starting safety spot for 2015. Gipson has nine interceptions -- including two pick-sixes -- in his last 14 games dating back to late 2013, but he's more than an interception specialist. He consistently gets good breaks on deep-to-intermediate balls with eight passes defended. PFF rated him their fourth-best coverage safety in 2014.

Taylor Gabriel

WR Taylor Gabriel: The Browns like Gabriel's big-play ability; he averaged 17.3 yards per catch in 2014. An undrafted rookie out of Abilene Christian, Gabriel accounted for four of the Browns' 11 pass plays of 40-plus yards, including a beautiful 70-yard bomb in the fourth quarter against Baltimore in Week 3. Even with that game-breaking ability, he's a No. 3 receiver at best and far from a good player at this juncture of his career. With Josh Gordon likely out for the 2015 season after failing another drug test, Gabriel's role could mushroom.

Alex Mack

C Alex Mack: The numbers are numbing: Cleveland averaged 146.4 rushing yards per game in Weeks 1-6 with Mack in the lineup (third-best over that span). That plummeted to 90.6 (23rd overall) when Mack missed the final 11 games with a broken leg. The lack of a reliable backup center accentuated that difference, but Mack was a calming force on the offensive line that was sorely missed. He allowed just one QB pressure in his five games and graded as the league's third-best center, according to PFF.

Joe Haden

CB Joe Haden: He'll give up the occasional big play (see: T.Y. Hilton's two-touchdown game in Week 14), but placing Haden outside of the good or elite categories defies common sense. Browns coaches and players swear he's among the league's best corners, based on his activity against top-shelf receivers. From Weeks 9-13, for example, Haden matched up against A.J. Green, Vincent Jackson, Andre Johnson, Julio Jones and Sammy Watkins, and allowed an average of 4.8 catches, 51.2 yards and 0.2 touchdowns per game. Now-retired safety Jim Leonhard played extensively with Haden and Darrelle Revis and basically considers them the same guy. "He's as good as anybody in the league," Leonhard said of Haden. "I see it every day. He's definitely in the conversation." As good as Richard Sherman or Revis? You could say no. But Haden definitely isn't average.

Jordan Cameron

TE Jordan Cameron: He led all NFL tight ends with four catches of 40-plus yards and will have plenty value as a free agent in March, but his numbers fell off a cliff. Cameron -- who finished with 24 catches, 424 yards and two TDs in 10 games -- failed to live up to the standard he set with his 80-917-7 season a year ago. Simply, he's a good player who had a bad year, thanks to concussion and quarterback issues. His stats will perk back up in a different offense.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Snaps per QB pressure allowed

Good News: Grading as one of PFF's top-11 centers in each of the previous five seasons, Alex Mack was on pace for a career year when a broken leg ended his season in Week 6. Through that point, he'd allowed just one QB pressure in 149 pass-rush snaps; his replacements allowed an average of one pressure every 17.7 snaps.

Bad News: The loss of Mack undoubtedly impacted the QB position. Through Week 6, Brian Hoyer (seven TDs, one INT) rated as our 10th-best quarterback, ahead of the likes of Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Tony Romo. After Week 6, Hoyer (five TDs, 12 INTs) ranked 35th out of 37 qualified QBs.

Snaps per QB pressure allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- G Joel Bitonio: A second-round pick in 2014, Bitonio has already become one of the top five guards in the NFL. PFF ranked him an elite player, and credited him with just one sack and three quarterback hits allowed. Bitonio received $2.7 million in 2014 thanks to a $2.3 million signing bonus, but his salary will dip to $668,259 in 2015, which pales in comparison to the rest of Browns' offensive line (see chart). Bitonio will be a bargain for the Browns for a while: Per NFL rules, he isn't eligible for an extension until after the 2016 season.

2015 Salary

Worst -- DT Ahtyba Rubin: The Browns paid Rubin near-elite defensive tackle money ($6.8 million) for a player who ranked 74th out of 81 DTs according to PFF, 62 spots below the Broncos' Terrance Knighton who made $2.5 million. It's no wonder, then, that the Browns allowed an NFL-high 2,265 rushing yards in 2014. Rubin is a pending free agent, and it's fair to assume he won't get similar money -- if anything -- from the Browns this offseason.

2015 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

The Browns' master plan here is in tatters. First-round draft choice Johnny Manziel's rookie year was so bad (5.1 Total QBR) that he can't be counted on as a starter for 2015. Meanwhile, veteran Brian Hoyer's midseason fade can't give the Browns much confidence in their fallback candidate. His 25.9 QBR from Weeks 11-17 ranked ahead of just two qualified quarterbacks (Robert Griffin III and Blake Bortles). The good news is the Browns have only $2.3 million in cap space committed to the position in 2015.

Positional Needs

by Jeremy Fowler, ESPN.com

Outside linebacker: Getting 15 sacks from the primary three-man OLB rotation is not nearly enough, especially when 11 of those sacks came from Paul Kruger. This is a premium position that will offer plenty of difference-makers in the draft's first round -- Missouri's Shane Ray and Clemson's Vic Beasley come to mind -- where Browns own the Nos. 12 and 19 picks.

Quarterback: All 12 playoff teams this year have a solidified quarterback picture (yes, even Cincinnati). The Browns rarely do, and Johnny Manziel's struggles in Year 1 created a muddy picture for the offseason. (With that said, Cleveland traded the No. 26 overall pick and a third-rounder to snatch Manziel with 22nd overall. So, they probably won't give up on him after he played seven quarters in the NFL.) At the very least, the Browns will sign a free agent -- perhaps Brian Hoyer -- or draft a quarterback in the mid-rounds to provide competition. Another intriguing possibility: The Browns packaging their two first-rounders, plus additional picks, to make a play for Oregon's Marcus Mariota.

Wide receiver: The Browns could have drafted Mike Evans, Sammy Watkins or Odell Beckham in 2014 but chose not to address a glaring need at wide receiver. They shouldn't repeat that mistake. Josh Gordon is facing a season-long ban after failing another drug test, and the Browns have one solid veteran behind him who's under contract (Andrew Hawkins). Miles Austin -- 47 catches for 568 yards in 12 games -- is a free agent who might make sense on another one-year deal. This is a deep WR draft, especially at the top, so Cleveland could go that route in Round 1.

close

1

New York

Giants

2014 Record: 6-10, missed playoffs

How close were the Giants to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

6Above-Average Players Away
Contending

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Giants' 33 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • WR Odell Beckham Jr.
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 7
    • DT Johnathan Hankins
    • DE Robert Ayers
    • DE Jason Pierre-Paul
    • CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
    • OT Will Beatty
    • WR Rueben Randle
    • TE Daniel Fells
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 17
    • CB Prince Amukamara
    • OLB Devon Kennard
    • QB Eli Manning
    • DT Cullen Jenkins
    • S Stevie Brown
    • OLB Mark Herzlich
    • OT Justin Pugh
    • DE Damontre Moore
    • CB Zackary Bowman
    • WR Victor Cruz
    • OLB Jacquian Williams
    • RB Rashad Jennings
    • S Quintin Demps
    • CB Chykie Brown
    • G Weston Richburg
    • WR Preston Parker
    • ILB Jameel McClain
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 8
    • TE Larry Donnell
    • G John Jerry
    • RB Andre Williams
    • DT Mike Patterson
    • C J.D. Walton
    • DT Markus Kuhn
    • DE Mathias Kiwanuka
    • S Antrel Rolle
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • WR Odell Beckham Jr.
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    7
    • DT Johnathan Hankins
    • DE Robert Ayers
    • DE Jason Pierre-Paul
    • CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
    • OT Will Beatty
    • WR Rueben Randle
    • TE Daniel Fells
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    17
    • CB Prince Amukamara
    • OLB Devon Kennard
    • QB Eli Manning
    • DT Cullen Jenkins
    • S Stevie Brown
    • OLB Mark Herzlich
    • OT Justin Pugh
    • DE Damontre Moore
    • CB Zackary Bowman
    • WR Victor Cruz
    • OLB Jacquian Williams
    • RB Rashad Jennings
    • S Quintin Demps
    • CB Chykie Brown
    • G Weston Richburg
    • WR Preston Parker
    • ILB Jameel McClain
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    8
    • TE Larry Donnell
    • G John Jerry
    • RB Andre Williams
    • DT Mike Patterson
    • C J.D. Walton
    • DT Markus Kuhn
    • DE Mathias Kiwanuka
    • S Antrel Rolle
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Dan Graziano, ESPN.com

Odell Beckham Jr.

WR Odell Beckham Jr.: Beckham's production in only 12 games as a rookie makes his elite rating a no-brainer. No one played the wide receiver position better in the second half of this season: Beckham led the league in catches (73) and yards (1,043), while ranking second in receiving touchdowns (9). The Giants obviously liked Beckham a lot when they picked him No. 12 in the draft last year. But even they were shocked with the level of production he delivered after missing all of training camp and the first four games of the season with a hamstring injury. Quarterback Eli Manning said multiple times that he was impressed with the precision with which Beckham ran his routes, a rare compliment for a rookie.

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie

CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie: The Giants signed Rodgers-Cromartie last year believing he'd fall into the elite category. They view him as the kind of cornerback they can assign to shadow the opposing team's top wide receiver each week. But nagging back and leg injuries kept him from playing at full strength for most of the season. It says something about Rodgers-Cromartie that he played in all 16 games through injury, especially with the team losing so many other cornerbacks to season-enders. He finished the year with 12 passes defended, two interceptions and a good rating from PFF. The Giants are hopeful a fully healthy Rodgers-Cromartie will elevate to the higher tier in 2015.

Will Beatty

OT Will Beatty: Beatty tends to grade out well because of his technique and athleticism. But Giants coaches will tell you they worry about the consistency of that technique. Since he's not a powerful, mauling left tackle who can dominate people physically, Beatty has to work hard to make sure he positions his hands and feet exactly right. He did that more in 2014 than he did last season, but he still gets too grabby -- hence his league-leading eight holding penalties.

Rueben Randle

WR Rueben Randle: Thirty-one percent of Randle's 938 receiving yards came in the final two games of the season, when he caught 12 passes for 290 yards and a touchdown. The late flurry surely helped boost his PFF rating to good, but it came after a tough season in which he was benched multiple times for poor practice habits and being late to meetings. Still, with Beckham on the other side and Victor Cruz in the slot (assuming he returns from a serious knee injury), the Giants believe Randle can be a legitimate weapon in 2015.

Devon Kennard

OLB Devon Kennard: After taking him in the fifth round last year, the Giants were quickly impressed with Kennard's intelligence and versatility. He played several different positions in several different schemes throughout his college career at USC, and the Giants felt they could plug him in at a number of different spots. They just wish he had more speed, which would allow them to use him in coverage more. But they found a role for him in their pass rush late in the season -- he had 4.5 sacks in their last five games -- and will continue to look for ways to maximize his abilities.

Eli Manning

QB Eli Manning: Manning set career highs in completion percentage (63.1) and pass attempts (601), while posting his second-highest yardage (4,410) and touchdown totals (30). So it's tempting to claim he should rate higher than average. But I think this is about right, because the Giants' new West Coast scheme didn't ask nearly as much of Manning as the old one did. He showed an encouraging ability to operate the offense, and the fact that he never misses a game obviously provides significant value to the team. But given the Giants' emphasis on the run and the short-passing game, you do wonder whether they need to continue spending 17 percent of their salary cap on the position going forward.

Damontre Moore

DE Damontre Moore: Giants fans clamor for more of Moore, the quick and talented 2013 third-round draft pick who's shown an ability to make an impact on special teams. But Moore continued to disappoint the Giants' coaches, as he struggled to understand his assignments and practice responsibilities. Moore has the talent to be a better-than-average NFL pass-rusher, but at 250 pounds, he doesn't have great size for a 4-3 defensive end. His opportunities going forward will be limited unless he shows more of an ability to fit into the Giants' scheme.

Andre Williams

RB Andre Williams: Williams definitely improved as a pass-catcher as the season went along -- a testament to the daily post-practice work he put in on that part of his game. And he seemed to understand the protection schemes just fine. Where he struggled, somewhat surprisingly, was as a runner. He didn't show the kind of patience and trust in his blocking that the Giants got from Rashad Jennings when Jennings was healthy. Williams -- who compiled 721 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on the year -- needs to improve the timing aspect of his running if he's going to succeed in the Giants' zone-heavy scheme.

Larry Donnell

TE Larry Donnell: He was one of the hot names in the league in the first month of the season, especially after his three-touchdown primetime performance against Washington in Week 4. But while the Giants believe Donnell remains a high-end prospect going forward, they were disappointed that he didn't continue his development during the season. Specifically, they want to see him be a more consistent in-line blocker and to protect the ball better when running with it after the catch. He finished the season with 63 catches for 623 yards and six touchdowns.

J.D. Walton

C J.D. Walton: The Giants believed their new offensive system required a center smart enough to handle the protection calls and understand the scheme at a high level, and Walton delivered on that part of the job. But he was too often overwhelmed physically, especially in the run game. The Giants should look to upgrade, either by moving second-year man Weston Richburg there from left guard or by finding a more physical option on the free-agent market.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

QB passer rating when targeted

Good News: Any time you can stumble on the most dominant rookie wide receiver since Randy Moss, you have done pretty well. After missing the first month of the season, Odell Beckham Jr. averaged 7.5 catches, 108 yards and a touchdown per game. Despite his lofty target volume (nearly 11 per game), Beckham had only two drops all season.

Bad News: The Giants' rebuilt offensive line was supposed to be a strength in 2014, but Geoff Schwartz, one of the major additions, managed just 93 snaps in a season marred by injury. G Weston Richburg and C J.D. Walton (39th out of 41), two more new faces, struggled badly as run-blockers; Richburg ranked 65th out of 78 guards in that area, while Walton graded as the third-worst run-blocking center. So it's no wonder that the Giants averaged fewer than 4 yards per carry through every gap inside the tackles.

QB passer rating when targeted

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- DE Robert Ayers: A highly productive reserve defensive lineman in 2014, Ayers recorded five sacks, while playing just 36 percent of the defensive snaps. The Giants had signed him with the allure of a $1 million signing bonus, and he earned a total of $1.8 million. Ayers is under contract in 2015 for a reasonable $2 million, assuming he can return from a torn pectoral muscle. PFF rated Ayers' talent level significantly higher than defensive end Damontre Moore, who had 5.5 sacks and is still on his rookie contract.

2014 Salary

Worst -- S Antrel Rolle: Despite a $7.3 million salary in 2014, Rolle was, by PFF's reckoning, one of the NFL's worst safeties. PFF debited him with more than two dozen missed tackles, and his three interceptions were half what he managed in 2013. The Giants might have hung on to Rolle, 32, a season too long. He provides excellent leadership, but he didn't have the skill or production to match his lofty salary, which was $2.6 million more than what Seattle paid stud safety Kam Chancellor.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Eli Manning cut his turnover total from 29 in 2013 to 18 this season in new coordinator Ben McAdoo's West Coast scheme. But Manning has missed the playoffs in three consecutive years, and at 34, it's fair to wonder whether the best of his career is behind him. He has one year remaining on his contract, with a relatively reasonable $19.8 million salary-cap figure, and the Giants might be best advised to let him play it out rather than jump into an extension.

Positional Needs

by Dan Graziano, ESPN.com

Defensive line: This is a need regardless of whether they re-sign free-agent defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul, but if they don't, then they'll need to find multiple replacement parts for their pass rush. Robert Ayers was a helpful rotational piece before his season-ending injury. Damontre Moore and Kerry Wynn are still too raw, and Mathias Kiwanuka looks to be on his way out. On the interior of the defensive line, the Giants will need to find more depth around good-looking defensive tackle Johnathan Hankins, as veterans Mike Patterson and Cullen Jenkins aren't long-term answers.

Safety: The cornerback issues can be solved if everyone just comes back healthy. But the only safeties signed for 2015 right now are Cooper Taylor and Nat Berhe, neither of whom projects as a starter. They may try to bring back veteran Antrel Rolle, but not if he prices himself out of their plans. Stevie Brown could also return on a low-level deal. This could well be a position the Giants address early in the draft.

Offensive line: Drafting Justin Pugh and Weston Richburg the last two years and signing Geoff Schwartz last year began a rebuild at this key position, but more work is needed, especially on the interior of the line. The Giants could stand to upgrade at center and one of the guard spots, and they need more quality depth on the line as well. They wouldn't be crazy to think about a tackle if there's one they like at No. 9 overall in the draft.

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3

San Francisco

49ers

2014 Record: 8-8, Missed Playoffs

How close were the 49ers to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

6Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the 49ers' 34 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • ILB Chris Borland
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 7
    • OT Joe Staley
    • S Antoine Bethea
    • FB Bruce Miller
    • CB Chris Culliver
    • WR Anquan Boldin
    • G Mike Iupati
    • WR Stevie Johnson
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 23
    • DE Justin Smith
    • DE Ray McDonald
    • C Daniel Kilgore
    • G Alex Boone
    • ILB Patrick Willis
    • CB Perrish Cox
    • OLB Aaron Lynch
    • OLB Aldon Smith
    • DT Quinton Dial
    • OT Anthony Davis
    • S Eric Reid
    • CB Dontae Johnson
    • OLB Dan Skuta
    • RB Frank Gore
    • RB Carlos Hyde
    • WR Brandon Lloyd
    • ILB Michael Wilhoite
    • QB Colin Kaepernick
    • OT Jonathan Martin
    • G Joe Looney
    • CB Jimmie Ward
    • DE Tony Jerod-Eddie
    • OLB Ahmad Brooks
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 3
    • WR Michael Crabtree
    • C Marcus Martin
    • TE Vernon Davis
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • ILB Chris Borland
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    7
    • OT Joe Staley
    • S Antoine Bethea
    • FB Bruce Miller
    • CB Chris Culliver
    • WR Anquan Boldin
    • G Mike Iupati
    • WR Stevie Johnson
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    23
    • DE Justin Smith
    • DE Ray McDonald
    • C Daniel Kilgore
    • G Alex Boone
    • ILB Patrick Willis
    • CB Perrish Cox
    • OLB Aaron Lynch
    • OLB Aldon Smith
    • DT Quinton Dial
    • OT Anthony Davis
    • S Eric Reid
    • CB Dontae Johnson
    • OLB Dan Skuta
    • RB Frank Gore
    • RB Carlos Hyde
    • WR Brandon Lloyd
    • ILB Michael Wilhoite
    • QB Colin Kaepernick
    • OT Jonathan Martin
    • G Joe Looney
    • CB Jimmie Ward
    • DE Tony Jerod-Eddie
    • OLB Ahmad Brooks
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    3
    • WR Michael Crabtree
    • C Marcus Martin
    • TE Vernon Davis
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Paul Gutierrez, ESPN.com

Chris Borland

ILB Chris Borland: A third-round pick in 2014, Borland didn't see the field until Week 6, when Patrick Willis went down with a season-ending toe injury. And yet, it's hard to argue against Borland being an elite player. After getting his first start in Week 7, he compiled 79 solo tackles in eight games. That's two more tackles than league leader DeAndre Levy, who played 10 games over that span. As good as Borland was this season, he'll likely be a sparkplug off the bench when/if ILBs NaVorro Bowman and Willis return healthy next season. As former defensive coordinator Vic Fangio said of Borland: "He's done extremely well. ... He still makes some mistakes, still doesn't react well to certain plays and certain coverages the way he should consistently enough, but I think that will come."

Antoine Bethea

S Antoine Bethea: After signing a four-year, $21 million free-agent contract, Bethea was voted as the Niners' MVP by his teammates. He proved to be a steadying force for a secondary wracked by injury. Replacing the hard-hitting Donte Whitner, Bethea made his bones in coverage, tying or posting a career high in passes defensed (10) and interceptions (four). The nine-year vet also snagged his first career pick-six, a 49-yarder versus the San Diego Chargers in Week 16.

Justin Smith

DE Justin Smith: Retirement is staring the Cowboy in the face, and you have to wonder if such a proud soldier would want to go out like this, being rated merely average. Through Week 14, he had compiled 20 run stops (tied for 15th among 3-4 DEs) and 31 total QB pressures (ninth), per PFF. But a balky back got the best of Smith down the stretch, as he registered just one more run stop and three more pressures in the season's final three games.

Perrish Cox

CB Perrish Cox: Listed as average by PFF, I'll take a leap and say Cox had a good season. He was supposed to be the team's nickel corner but ended up starting 14 games while Tramaine Brock was injured. Cox made the most of his opportunity, leading the team with five interceptions. It was quite a turnaround for a player whom Fangio wasn't sure was going to make the team in camp. Fangio remembers when everything changed for Cox prior to the start of camp: "I remember telling him what he needed to do to make this team. I figured I'd have to call him in in another couple weeks to remind him because he might slack off, but I never did. He had laser focus and got it done." And what timing: Cox is set to be a free agent this offseason, along with 49ers CB Chris Culliver. Cox's skill as a punt returner could give him some added value on the open market.

Frank Gore

RB Frank Gore: Despite no longer being the focal point of an offense that shifted to a spread-passing attack, Gore recorded his eighth career 1,000-yard season. His performance in the 49ers' final two games tells you everything you need to know about the former third-rounder. With San Francisco eliminated from the playoffs -- and Gore coming off a concussion in Week 15 -- Gore rumbled for 51 carries and 302 yards in the final two games. At 32, he'll be a free agent this offseason. Expect new Washington Redskins general manager Scot McCloughan, who drafted Gore to the Niners, to make a run at him.

Colin Kaepernick

QB Colin Kaepernick: Wait, wasn't Kaepernick supposed to revolutionize the position as a fleet-of-foot, cannon-armed QB? In Year 1 of the 49ers trying to turn him into a pocket passer, Kaepernick completed just 60.5 percent of his passes (24th overall) and was sacked a league-high 52 times. But it was his inconsistency that was most troubling: One week, he'd look like a Pro-Bowler (93.5 QBR Week 1 versus the Dallas Cowboys); the next, a dud (24.3 QBR Week 2 versus the Chicago Bears). Yes, the 49ers' $126 million man is a work in progress. Still.

Vernon Davis

TE Vernon Davis: A year after leading all TEs with 16.4 yards per catch, Davis' stock took a huge hit in 2014. His 8.2 percent drop rate ranked 30th among the 33 tight ends with 25 or more catches, and his 9.4 yards-per-catch average was by far the lowest of his career. Even worse? He lost the trust of his QB. Consider: Davis' TDs plummeted from 13 last season to two in 2014, and, perhaps most alarming of all, he didn't garner a single red zone target after kickoff weekend. Those two Pro Bowls seem so long ago.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Run-stop percentage

Good News: The 49ers look to have found themselves a steal in linebacker Chris Borland. Despite starting only half the season, the rookie finished 2014 with 43 run stops, tied for fourth among ILBs. Most impressive was Borland's 21.3 run-stop percentage, which was the highest mark since PFF began tracking the stat in 2007.

Bad News: Colin Kaepernick continued to struggle as a passer in 2014. His overall accuracy percentage -- which credits QBs for drops and removes throwaways and spikes from the equation -- ranked 18th among 27 qualified QBs. And his deep accuracy percentage tied for sixth worst overall. It's not all bad news: Kaepernick finished 12th in accuracy percentage under pressure, but he clearly has a lot of cleaning up to do in 2015.

Run-stop percentage

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- ILB Chris Borland: In his rookie season, Borland averaged 11.3 tackles per game from Week 6 to Week 15. That was more than double the next-closest players on the roster over that span (S Antoine Bethea and ILB Michael Wilhoite, 5.4). Borland had five games of at least 14 tackles on the season, including a season-high 18 in Week 9 versus the St. Louis Rams. As a third-rounder, the Wisconsin product made $1 million total in 2014, compared to $6.1 million for teammate Patrick Willis, who missed 10 games with a toe injury. Borland is locked into salaries of $540,000 next season and $630,000 in 2016 before he's eligible for an extension.

2014 Salary

Worst -- TE Vernon Davis: He started 14 games in 2014, but for whatever reason, the 49ers looked elsewhere in their passing game. Davis' 26 receptions for 245 yards were the lowest totals since his rookie year in 2006, and his two touchdowns tied for a career low. It all came in the midst of a contract extension signed in 2010 that paid Davis $5.3 million in 2014. The Carolina Panthers' Greg Olsen made around the same amount but turned in an 84-catch, 1,009-yard, six-touchdown season. Davis is on the books for another $4.95 million in 2015, but the 49ers could release him and recoup the same number in cap space.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Colin Kaepernick took a step back in the final year of coach Jim Harbaugh's tenure, which also coincided with the first season of a multiyear contract that allows the 49ers a relatively pain-free exit at any point. He rushed for a career-high 639 yards, but troubles passing from the pocket dropped Kaepernick's QBR from 68.6 in 2013 to 55.9 this season (17th overall). He earned a little more than $13 million in 2014, roughly equivalent to that of an average NFL quarterback. The deal has 49ers-friendly numbers throughout, but the team's new regime will have to decide whether Kaepernick is its long-term answer.

Positional Needs

by Paul Gutierrez, ESPN.com

Wide receiver: The Niners' vertical game was nonexistent last season. Despite the additions of Stevie Johnson and Brandon Lloyd, San Francisco caught just five passes that traveled 30 yards or more in the air (tied for 26th in the league). With Michael Crabtree likely gone via free agency and Anquan Boldin a year older, drafting a big-bodied burner at receiver with the No. 15 pick could be the ticket. Oklahoma's 6-foot-5, 225-pound Dorial Green-Beckham comes with some baggage but has the look of an A.J. Green clone. He would be a coup for the 49ers if he falls to 15.

Defensive line: After cutting Ray McDonald in December, the 49ers finished the season with just four defensive linemen on the 53-man roster, and that included DE Justin Smith, who's contemplating retirement. Nose tackles Glenn Dorsey and Ian Williams coming off IR will help, but the 49ers should still look to add depth in the draft. Two potential prospects who could be options with the 15th pick: Texas' Malcom Brown (6-4, 320) and Washington's Danny Shelton (6-2, 332).

Cornerback: Two of the 49ers' biggest bright spots on defense -- Perrish Cox (team-high five INTs) and Chris Culliver (four picks in the finals seven games) -- are free agents. And Jimmy Ward, last year's first-round pick, still has some learning to do. (Remember his three-TD baptism by fire in Week 2 at the hands of Brandon Marshall?) Re-signing Cox and/or Culliver would go a long way toward shoring up the secondary, but that's far from a sure thing. Michigan State's Trae Waynes is a possibility in the draft.

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1

Carolina

Panthers

2014 Record: 7-8-1, Lost In Divisional Round

How close were the Panthers to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

6Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Panthers' 35 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • ILB Luke Kuechly
    • TE Greg Olsen
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 6
    • RB Jonathan Stewart
    • T Kawann Short
    • OLB Thomas Davis
    • CB Bene Benwikere
    • DE Charles Johnson
    • QB Cam Newton
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 19
    • C Ryan Kalil
    • G Andrew Norwell
    • S Tre Boston
    • CB Josh Norman
    • DT Star Lotulelei
    • G Trai Turner
    • OT Mike Remmers
    • WR Philly Brown
    • S Roman Harper
    • G Fernando Velasco
    • OLB A.J. Klein
    • WR Jerricho Cotchery
    • G Amini Silatolu
    • CB Colin Jones
    • DE Mario Addison
    • WR Jason Avant
    • DT Dwan Edwards
    • S Thomas DeCoud
    • WR Kelvin Benjamin
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 8
    • DT Colin Cole
    • OT Nate Chandler
    • DE Wes Horton
    • CB Melvin White
    • CB Antoine Cason
    • DE Kony Ealy
    • TE Ed Dickson
    • OT Byron Bell
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • ILB Luke Kuechly
    • TE Greg Olsen
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    6
    • RB Jonathan Stewart
    • T Kawann Short
    • OLB Thomas Davis
    • CB Bené Benwikere
    • DE Charles Johnson
    • QB Cam Newton
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    19
    • C Ryan Kalil
    • G Andrew Norwell
    • S Tre Boston
    • CB Josh Norman
    • DT Star Lotulelei
    • G Trai Turner
    • OT Mike Remmers
    • WR Philly Brown
    • S Roman Harper
    • G Fernando Velasco
    • OLB A.J. Klein
    • WR Jerricho Cotchery
    • G Amini Silatolu
    • CB Colin Jones
    • DE Mario Addison
    • WR Jason Avant
    • DT Dwan Edwards
    • S Thomas DeCoud
    • WR Kelvin Benjamin
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    8
    • DT Colin Cole
    • OT Nate Chandler
    • DE Wes Horton
    • CB Melvin White
    • CB Antoine Cason
    • DE Kony Ealy
    • TE Ed Dickson
    • OT Byron Bell
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by David Newton, ESPN.com

Jonathan Stewart

RB Jonathan Stewart: After taking over the feature-back duties in Week 13, Stewart led the league in rushing (101.5 ypg) over the season's five games, and averaged 5.4 yards per carry vs. Seattle's No. 1 rush defense in the playoffs. The Panthers are at their best when Stewart is at his best, going 4-0 this season when he got 20 or more carries. He'll enter the 2015 season as Carolina's clear-cut starter, ahead of DeAngelo Williams. When healthy, he is as good as there is.

Thomas Davis

OLB Thomas Davis: A nine-year vet with the Panthers, Davis consistently gets overlooked as an elite player, in large part because his sack total (just 2.5 this season) pales in comparison to other outside linebackers. But consider: In Carolina's 4-3 scheme, Davis isn't asked to rush the passer much (just 84 times in 2014, per PFF); his job is to be stout against the run and nimble in coverage. He did those two things in spades this season, ranking second on the team with 100 tackles and finishing in a tie atop PFF's coverage rankings for 4-3 OLBs. He's a big reason the Panthers were second against the run in 2013, third this season and first from Weeks 12-17.

Cam Newton

QB Cam Newton: His three turnovers in the Panthers' NFC divisional loss to Seattle showed why Newton wasn't elite. But he's not that far off. The Panthers are 18-13-1 with two straight playoff appearances with him as the starter the past two seasons. Newton's 539 rushing yards ranked third among QBs, despite missing two games. He still needs to work on his accuracy, though. His completion percentage dipped a bit this season, from 62 percent in 2013 to 59 percent, which can be attributed to inconsistent mechanics. He has a tendency to not step into his throws, which often results in passes sailing too high.

Ryan Kalil

C Ryan Kalil: Once the Panthers settled into an interior line rotation in Week 11 -- with rookies Andrew Norwell and Trai Turner flanking Kalil -- the offense took off. The Panthers averaged 193.8 rushing yards per game from Week 13 through the wild-card round of the playoffs, first in the NFL. And it started with Kalil, who ranked as PFF's second-best run-blocking center over that span.

Josh Norman

CB Josh Norman: Before Norman became a full-time starter in Week 8, Carolina allowed QBs to complete 70 percent of their passes, the 30th in the league. That number dipped to 61 percent (11th) after from Weeks 8 to 17. Why the change? Norman excelled in shutting down the other team's best receiver, limiting the likes of Jeremy Maclin (3 catches, 38 yards), Josh Gordon (4-45) and Mike Evans (2-13). And in two games vs. Julio Jones, Norman allowed 10 catches for 117 yards and no touchdowns. That's a win against one of the league's best receivers.

Kelvin Benjamin

WR Kelvin Benjamin: He didn't help his case with seven drops this season, tied for fourth-most, but Benjamin still deserved a good grade. The Panthers' 2014 first-rounder ranked third among rookies in catches (73), yards (1,008) and touchdowns (9) in the regular season, and put up 75 yards and two TDs against Seattle's vaunted secondary in the playoffs. And perhaps most impressive, he did it while drawing double-teams.

Colin Cole

DT Colin Cole: His job in this scheme is to be a space-eater and run-stopper. Nothing more. The Panthers simply want him taking up blocks so linebackers Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis can run free behind and tackles. Cole filled in admirably for Star Lotulelei in the NFC divisional loss to Seattle, as the Panthers held the Seahawks to 100 yards rushing, their second-lowest total of the season.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Elusive rating

Good News: One of the league's best backs at eking every yard out of a run, Stewart forced 16 missed tackles (tied for seventh among RBs) and averaged 2.6 yards after contact per rush in 2014 (tied for 11th). His elusive rating -- which measures how hard a running back is to bring down -- was 72.8, second overall and back in range of his pre-injury high (81.4 in 2011).

Bad News: Fifty offensive tackles played at least 400 pass-blocking snaps in 2014. The Panthers' Nate Chandler and Byron Bell ranked tied for 38th and 48th, respectively, in pass-blocking efficiency. Only two other teams -- Bears and Vikings -- had two tackles ranked in the bottom 13.

Elusive rating

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- TE Greg Olsen: Dropping just one pass all year, Olsen made the Panthers look wise for building around his $7.8 salary-cap number as the team's primary receiving threat. (Their young receiving group combined for a cap number of just $4.1 million.) He finished second among NFL tight ends with 1,009 receiving yards and third with 84 receptions, all while ranking No. 8 among tight ends in compensation ($5.5 million). That's $6.5 million less than Dennis Pitta, the Ravens' high-priced TE who played just three games and had 125 yards.

2014 Salary

Worst -- RB Jonathan Stewart: Make no mistake: Stewart had a productive bounce-back season in 2014, appearing in 13 games and leading the team with 809 rushing yards after two injury-filled years. But an 800-yard season hardly jives with the $8.3 million in cash he received, the third-highest 2014 salary of any running back. Keep in mind that rushing champ DeMarco Murray earned $1.4 million, and the average team spent a total of $6.8 million on the running back position this season. In this market, a running back needs a 1,200-yard season to justify $8.3 million.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Cam Newton missed two games because of injuries and was limited in many others, leading to the least productive season of his career in terms of passing yards (3,127) and total touchdowns (23). Still, he was a big reason for the Panthers' season-ending four-game winning streak. His 87.3 QBR over during that span was better than every NFL quarterback except Tony Romo. The Panthers could keep him at the relatively bargain price of $14.7 million next season or negotiate a longer extension.

Positional Needs

by David Newton, ESPN.com

Tackle: The Panthers' inconsistent play at offensive tackle was magnified in the playoffs against Seattle. RT Mike Remmers allowed seven QB hurries, equal to his number in the previous six games. LT Byron Bell -- who ranked 83 out of 84 qualified tackles this season per PFF -- wasn't much better: He gave up two sacks and his missed block was responsible for a fumble. It's time for the Panthers to think about upgrading this position in a significant way.

Secondary: Thanks to the emergence up-and-coming shutdown corner Josh Norman, the Panthers look to have one CB spot solidified. And they have promising prospects at two other spots -- Carolina allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards in the final four weeks of the regular season, after rookies Bene' Benwikere and Tre Boston became starters. But the Panthers could use another every-down starter; Benwikere (5-foot-11) is best suited as a nickel corner.

Wide receiver: The overhaul of this position began in earnest when Carolina drafted Kelvin Benjamin 28th overall last year. But the Panthers -- whose third-best WR (Philly Brown) gained just 296 yards in 2014 -- would be wise to continue adding more depth at the position. A speedster with return abilities would be a plus. After losing Tedd Ginn Jr. in free agency, Carolina ranked 18th in punt return average and 24th in kickoff return average.

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4

Pittsburgh

Steelers

2014 Record: 11-5, Lost In Wild Card

How close were the Steelers to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

6Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Steelers' 35 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 3
    • RB Le'Veon Bell
    • WR Antonio Brown
    • QB Ben Roethlisberger
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 5
    • OT Kelvin Beachum
    • DE Cameron Heyward
    • ILB Lawrence Timmons
    • C Maurkice Pouncey
    • OLB James Harrison
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 23
    • OLB Jason Worilds
    • TE Matt Spaeth
    • OT Marcus Gilbert
    • G David DeCastro
    • CB William Gay
    • WR Martavis Bryant
    • OLB Arthur Moats
    • DT Steve McLendon
    • ILB Vince Williams
    • TE Heath Miller
    • CB Antwon Blake
    • G Ramon Foster
    • S Troy Polamalu
    • WR Markus Wheaton
    • ILB Ryan Shazier
    • DE Brett Keisel
    • CB Brice McCain
    • S Michael Mitchell
    • S Will Allen
    • ILB Sean Spence
    • WR Lance Moore
    • DE Stephon Tuitt
    • OT Mike Adams
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 4
    • CB Ike Taylor
    • WR Justin Brown
    • DE Cam Thomas
    • CB Cortez Allen
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    3
    • RB Le'Veon Bell
    • WR Antonio Brown
    • QB Ben Roethlisberger
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    5
    • OT Kelvin Beachum
    • DE Cameron Heyward
    • ILB Lawrence Timmons
    • C Maurkice Pouncey
    • OLB James Harrison
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    23
    • OLB Jason Worilds
    • TE Matt Spaeth
    • OT Marcus Gilbert
    • G David DeCastro
    • CB William Gay
    • WR Martavis Bryant
    • OLB Arthur Moats
    • DT Steve McLendon
    • ILB Vince Williams
    • TE Heath Miller
    • CB Antwon Blake
    • G Ramon Foster
    • S Troy Polamalu
    • WR Markus Wheaton
    • ILB Ryan Shazier
    • DE Brett Keisel
    • CB Brice McCain
    • S Michael Mitchell
    • S Will Allen
    • ILB Sean Spence
    • WR Lance Moore
    • DE Stephon Tuitt
    • OT Mike Adams
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    4
    • CB Ike Taylor
    • WR Justin Brown
    • DE Cam Thomas
    • CB Cortez Allen
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Scott Brown, ESPN.com

Le'Veon Bell

RB Le'Veon Bell: If you're wondering why Steelers players voted Bell their MVP, look no further than the AFC wild-card game. Pittsburgh's offense managed just 68 rushing yards without Bell, who was nursing a hyperextended knee, and Ben Roethlisberger was sacked five times without his favorite checkdown receiver. Bell -- who finished second in the NFL with 1,361 rushing yards -- led all running backs with 854 receiving yards. Here's another reason why the Steelers love Bell: He's lost just one fumble in 662 career touches, and he followed that gaffe with a 25-yard run during which he hurdled a would-be tackle. "The things that he can do in all three phases of the game to run, to catch the ball and to block are some of the most special things I've ever seen a running back do," Roethlisberger said.

Antonio Brown

WR Antonio Brown: How's this for a stat: Brown has recorded 32 consecutive games with at least five catches and 50 yards. That's two full seasons -- by far the longest streak in NFL history. (Laveranues Coles is second with 19 such games in 2002-03.) With exquisite instincts and excellent quickness, Brown recorded the second-highest single-season catch total in NFL history (129) and led the league with 1,698 yards. The Steelers are convinced his incomparable work ethic is what sets Brown apart -- and will continue to do so for many years. As Roethlisberger said, "It starts from the second he steps on the field, really, and that's the practice field. How many No. 1 receivers in the NFL are catching punts in practice and running it all the way back for a touchdown in practice?"

Kelvin Beachum

OT Kelvin Beachum: A seventh-round pick in 2012, Beachum is shaping up as one of the steals of that draft. Since Beachum got the starting left tackle job in Week 6 last season, Roethlisberger has been sacked 2.1 times per game, 19 percent less than his career average (2.6). At 6-foot-3, Beachum doesn't have the height associated with premier left tackles, but he more than makes up for it with his technique -- he consistently gets his hands inside opposing players' shoulders. It seems to be working: The SMU product ranked as PFF's fourth-best pass-blocking offensive tackle in 2014.

Maurkice Pouncey

C Maurkice Pouncey: The only center in NFL history to make the Pro Bowl in each of his first three seasons, Pouncey re-established himself as the unquestioned leader of the Steelers' O-line after missing all but one game in 2013 with a knee injury. Stout and athletic, Pouncey has the ability to pull in the run game, and few centers are better at getting to the second level. So, it's no coincidence that the Steelers' run game, which averaged just 86.4 yards per game last season, perked up to 109.5 in 2014 with Pouncey in the lineup.

Ike Taylor

CB Ike Taylor: One of the better cornerbacks in Steelers history, Taylor suffered an ignominious end to his career in Pittsburgh. After battling back from a broken forearm, he gave up 69-yard and 81-yard touchdown catches vs. the Saints and Bengals in Weeks 13 and 14, respectively. He didn't play after that, as the Steelers opted against dressing Taylor for their AFC wild-card game against Baltimore even though he was healthy enough to play. That's as good an indication as any that he won't be back in 2015.

Cam Thomas

DE Cam Thomas: The Steelers re-signed Thomas to a two-year, $4 million deal last March, despite demoting him during the season. At the time, it reeked of desperation by a team that was thin along the defensive line. Thomas did nothing to dispel those notions, recording just 19 tackles and a half sack despite starting nine games. (He also ranked as PFF's worst 3-4 DE in 2014.) With Stephon Tuitt now entrenched at left defensive end, Thomas may be expendable. The Steelers would save $2 million against the cap by cutting him.

Cortez Allen

CB Cortez Allen: No Steelers player endured a more humbling season than Allen, who signed a five-year, $26 million contract in early September and then tumbled down the depth chart because of inconsistent play. He allowed a 51-yard TD to Browns TE Jordan Cameron in Week 6 and a 31-yarder to Colts rookie Donte Moncrief in Week 8 before landing on season-ending IR with a knee injury. Through eight weeks, PFF rated Allen the NFL's worst corner, as he allowed 552 yards and five touchdowns. The Steelers love his size (6-foot-1, 196) and ball skills, but they have to rebuild his confidence and polish his technique if they want the return they expect from Allen's new deal.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Yards per route run

Good News: Antonio Brown is the NFL's best and most consistent receiver right now, and the Steelers appear to be on the verge of surrounding him with a legitimate No. 2 option. Martavis Bryant, a 2014 fourth-rounder, played only 306 snaps in the regular season, but notched eight touchdowns and was third in the league with 2.75 yards per route run.

Bad News: The secondary is a wreck. Ike Taylor missed 11 games, but allowed a near perfect quarterback rating (157.3) while on the field. Overall, Pittsburgh's cornerbacks combined to give up 20 touchdowns, while adding just nine interceptions. A major overhaul is needed in the back end.

Yards per route run

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- RB Le'Veon Bell: He earned an All-Pro selection with 1,361 rush yards and 73 first downs, both of which were second only to the Cowboys' DeMarco Murray. And as a 2013 second-round pick, Bell was cheap: His $495,000 salary paled in comparison to LeSean McCoy's $8 million price tag, even though Bell gained 741 more total yards than McCoy. By NFL rule, Bell will have to play for $779,000 in 2015 and the Steelers could keep him for $966,000 in 2016 before they would be forced to decide whether to offer him a long-term deal.

2014 Salary

Worst -- CB Cortez Allen: He missed six games due to injuries, and PFF's ratings ranked Allen the No. 103 cornerback among 108 qualified players in 2014. After signing a contract extension that netted him a $6.8 million signing bonus, Allen had two interceptions, bringing his total to six in a four-year career. In total, he earned $7.4 million in 2014, more than the Steelers paid All-Pro WR Antonio Brown ($6 million). Allen will get another $3 million if he's still on the Steelers' roster in mid-March.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Ben Roethlisberger had arguably the best statistical season of his career, reaching career highs in QBR (72.5) and yards (4,952) while tying his previous mark for touchdown passes (32). He has one year remaining on a contract that would pay him a below-market salary of $11.6 million in 2015, but there is every reason to think the Steelers will extend his deal to ensure he plays out his career with the franchise. He turns 33 this spring and should have at least five elite-level seasons remaining.

Positional Needs

by Scott Brown, ESPN.com

Secondary: The entire group requires an infusion of youth and talent. The Steelers' best corner, William Gay, will play his ninth season in 2015. Likewise, Troy Polamalu and Will Allen, two of the Steelers' top three safeties, have played 23 combined NFL seasons. Polamalu, long one of the faces of the Steelers' defense, had no sacks or interceptions this season, and will not be back if the franchise is committed to going all-in with a youth movement on defense.

Outside linebacker: The Steelers managed just 33 sacks this season, their lowest total since 1989. Jarvis Jones, who has three sacks in two seasons, is the only OLB on the 53-man roster signed in 2015. James Harrison came out of retirement to re-establish himself as the Steelers' best edge pass-rusher in 2014, but probably won't be back. Jason Worilds, an ideal No. 2 outside linebacker, led the team with 7.5 sacks in 2014, but came with a hefty price tag ($9.8 million). The team will bring back the fifth-year veteran only at the right price.

Tight end: Matt Spaeth and Michael Palmer, Pittsburgh's two primary backups at tight end, will be unrestricted free agents if the Steelers don't sign each before March 10. Starter Heath Miller, meanwhile, isn't getting any younger as he turned 32 last October. Miller is still reliable -- his 66 catches for 761 yards marked his third-best single-season totals in each category -- but the Steelers need to get younger and more athletic at tight end.

close

2

Buffalo

Bills

2014 Record: 9-7, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Bills to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

7Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Bills' 32 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • DT Marcell Dareus
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 5
    • CB Corey Graham
    • DT Kyle Williams
    • DE Mario Williams
    • S Da'Norris Searcy
    • DE Jerry Hughes
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 21
    • ILB Brandon Spikes
    • CB Stephon Gilmore
    • OT Cordy Glenn
    • RB Fred Jackson
    • S Duke Williams
    • OLB Nigel Bradham
    • TE Lee Smith
    • OLB Preston Brown
    • DE Jarius Wynn
    • CB Leodis McKelvin
    • C Eric Wood
    • WR Robert Woods
    • WR Chris Hogan
    • G Kraig Urbik
    • QB EJ Manuel
    • S Aaron Williams
    • DT Stefan Charles
    • WR Sammy Watkins
    • TE Scott Chandler
    • G Cyril Richardson
    • DE Manny Lawson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 5
    • CB Nickell Robey
    • DT Corbin Bryant
    • QB Kyle Orton
    • G Erik Pears
    • OT Seantrel Henderson
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • DT Marcell Dareus
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    5
    • CB Corey Graham
    • DT Kyle Williams
    • DE Mario Williams
    • S Da'Norris Searcy
    • DE Jerry Hughes
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    21
    • ILB Brandon Spikes
    • CB Stephon Gilmore
    • OT Cordy Glenn
    • RB Fred Jackson
    • S Duke Williams
    • OLB Nigel Bradham
    • TE Lee Smith
    • OLB Preston Brown
    • DE Jarius Wynn
    • CB Leodis McKelvin
    • C Eric Wood
    • WR Robert Woods
    • WR Chris Hogan
    • G Kraig Urbik
    • QB EJ Manuel
    • S Aaron Williams
    • DT Stefan Charles
    • WR Sammy Watkins
    • TE Scott Chandler
    • G Cyril Richardson
    • DE Manny Lawson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    5
    • CB Nickell Robey
    • DT Corbin Bryant
    • QB Kyle Orton
    • G Erik Pears
    • OT Seantrel Henderson
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Mike Rodak, ESPN.com

Marcell Dareus

DT Marcell Dareus: The Bills' defensive line has sacked opposing QBs on an NFL-best 9.9 percent of drop backs the past two seasons. So, it can be tricky to separate individual success from the performance of the unit as a whole. There were plenty of games this season in which both Mario Williams and Kyle Williams could be considered in the elite category, but it's hardly an injustice to give Dareus the nod over both of them. Once the season started and Dareus was away from off-field distractions -- he was arrested twice last offseason -- he turned in the best season of his young career. His 10 sacks were the most by any defensive tackle this season. Opposing coaches often talk about how the 331-pound Dareus is considerably more nimble than his weight would suggest. "He's good on the run, really athletic, runs well," Patriots coach Bill Belichick said in December. "[He] makes a lot of plays in chase where you don't really think he's going to be in the play, but he runs it down."

Corey Graham

CB Corey Graham: Signing Graham last offseason has been one of the best moves of general manager Doug Whaley's tenure. The Bills raised some eyebrows by giving the eighth-year veteran a four-year, $16 million contract when they already had an established core group of cornerbacks, but Whaley made it clear he wanted to build depth at the position. Graham was quickly named a team captain, and early on he played a role on special teams -- finishing with five tackles on the season -- and as a fill-in defensive back. When Leodis McKelvin went down with a season-ending ankle injury in November, Graham stepped into a full-time starting role at cornerback. He responded by posting a career-high 12 passes defensed, tied for fourth in the NFL. That makes for a good year in my book.

Da'Norris Searcy

S Da'Norris Searcy: This name stands out as one who would be a better fit in the average category. Searcy was a little-known, part-time player his first three seasons in Buffalo, considered more of an in-the-box safety than one who could defend the deep part of the field. That changed this season when he was asked to help fill the shoes of Jarius Byrd, a Pro Bowler who left for New Orleans last offseason. Searcy didn't prove out of place in the role. In fact, the Bills' defense allowed just 16 completions on passes thrown at least 20 yards in the air, third-fewest in the league and seven fewer than they gave up in 2013. Yet it would be a stretch to say that Searcy was one of the top individual performers on the defense this season. A rising tide lifts all boats, and the strength of the Bills' defense as a whole -- especially up front -- might have overrated Searcy a bit in this evaluation.

Jerry Hughes

DE Jerry Hughes: One of the bigger names on the free-agent market this spring, Hughes should spark some healthy debate about his true value. Is he actually a good player, or just an average one surrounded by a glut of talent? After compiling just five sacks in three seasons with the Colts, Hughes was traded to the Bills and exploded for 20 sacks since 2013. Coaches have credited the boost in his performance to his improved pass-rush arsenal, including a spin move that fooled several blockers this season. The only question: Can he sustain his productivity if more double-teams start heading his way?

Fred Jackson

RB Fred Jackson: The intriguing part about Jackson is not where he's ranked -- he had an average season by most measures -- but rather a noticeable decline in his play this season. After suffering a groin injury in Week 7, Jackson played in nine of the final 11 games of the season but averaged more than 4 yards per carry in only one of those contests. At 33, his speed and explosiveness have declined, which forced him to lower his shoulder and take more hits behind a shaky offensive line. The wear and tear rendered him generally ineffective by the end of the season. Pre-injury, he averaged 2.2 yards after contact per rush. After he returned to the field, that number dipped to 1.8.

EJ Manuel

QB EJ Manuel: There was nothing average about Manuel's play this season. In four games, he managed a 19.8 QBR, averaged 5.8 yards per attempt and completed 58 percent of his passes. All of those statistics were well below league averages. Manuel's performance was particularly disappointing for the Bills given the talent placed around him. Asked after this season about which member of the front office decided to take Manuel No. 16 overall in the 2013 draft, GM Doug Whaley called it a "Buffalo Bills pick" and added, "You can assign blame wherever you want." He later clarified his statement to mean "responsibility" and not "blame," but the slip-up says all you needed to know about how the pick has worked out for the Bills.

Sammy Watkins

WR Sammy Watkins: The Bills believe Watkins is a "generational talent," one who was worth giving up two first-round picks to acquire in a draft-day trade last May. So even at this early point in his career, having Watkins show up in the average category is a disappointment. Watkins proved to be one of the NFL's most hot-or-cold receivers of the season, finishing with 35 or fewer receiving yards in nine games but eclipsing 100 yards in four other contests. Watkins initially did not adjust well to secondaries paying him more attention, admitting that he got into his own head after his quieter games piled up. With 65 catches, 982 yards and six touchdowns, the rookie flashed some elite potential but often left fans wanting more.

Nickell Robey

CB Nickell Robey: At 5-foot-8, 165 pounds, there are undoubtedly limitations to Robey's game. He can get pushed around by bigger, more physical receivers and several teams found success running "rub" patterns on the inside part of the field, targeting Robey by essentially setting a pick against him. And he missed 13 tackles on the season, tied for sixth-most among cornerbacks, according to PFF. Still, Robey has shown instincts in coverage, especially against slot receivers. His seven passes defensed this season were the second-most on the team. I'd file him under the average category.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Pass-rush productivity

Good News: Few interior pass-rushers proved more disruptive than DT Kyle Williams in 2014. He notched eight sacks, 12 knockdowns and 29 additional pressures, earning him a pass-rush productivity score of 9.5, the best mark at the position among players with nine or more starts.

Bad News: Buffalo's offensive line was a wreck, finishing the season ranked 30th, according to PFF's metrics. LT Cordy Glenn (26th out of 86 qualified tackles) was the only lineman who didn't completely disappoint. The other four positions were varying shades of poor. Erik Pears' conversion from tackle to guard was a particular lowlight; only two guards had a lower grade in 2014.

Pass-rush productivity

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- S Da'Norris Searcy: He emerged to start 13 games and play his best season in the final year of his rookie contract. Paid a base salary of $1.4 million, Searcy helped Bills fans forget about the Saints' Jairus Byrd ($12.3 million in 2014) leaving in free agency. Searcy totaled seven passes defended, including three interceptions, and added 65 tackles as the Bills' defense finished fourth in yards and points allowed. He ranked as the fifth-best player on the Bills' roster, according to PFF.

2014 Salary

Worst -- G Chris Williams: A former first-round pick, Williams signed a four-year deal worth $13.2 million as a free agent in 2014 but played just three games while earning $5 million. That's only $500,000 less than what All-Pro guard Marshall Yanda made in Baltimore. Injury prone throughout his career, Williams dealt with nagging back issues from the start of the preseason and was placed on injured reserve in October. Since the start of the 2011 season, Williams has played in only 34 of a possible 80 games (42.5 percent) for three different teams.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Kyle Orton's retirement came as a surprise to some, but mostly it served as a reminder of the Bills' rudderless direction at the position. Orton finished the season ranked 25th in QBR (43.1). That the Bills considered him a better option than EJ Manuel (19.8 QBR in four starts) speaks volumes. The Bills almost certainly need to find a new starter for 2015.

Positional Needs

by Mike Rodak, ESPN.com

Quarterback: Circle, underline and bold this one. This is far and away the Bills' most glaring need. They went into last offseason thinking EJ Manuel was their long-term answer at quarterback, and that decision burned them. If they're smart, they'll look elsewhere this time -- whether it's a trade for Jay Cutler or picking up a veteran such as Mark Sanchez in free agency.

Tight end: The Bills have a stark lack of athleticism at this position, opting to bring back Scott Chandler on a reduced salary last offseason instead of addressing the position in the draft. In-season pickup MarQueis Gray started hot, gaining 71 yards in his first game with the team, but that accounted for more than 60 percent of his production with the team. Buffalo needs a more consistent receiving threat at this spot.

Offensive line: How does Buffalo get better here? Eric Wood and Cordy Glenn, two entrenched starters, both underperformed this season. And 2014 draftees Cyrus Kouandjio (second round) and Cyril Richardson (fifth round) didn't so much as press any of the starters for playing time. The Bills must continue to draft here until they get it right.

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3

Cincinnati

Bengals

2014 Record: 10-5-1, Lost In Wild Card

How close were the Bengals to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

8Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Bengals' 28 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • OT Andrew Whitworth
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 3
    • G Kevin Zeitler
    • WR A.J. Green
    • S George Iloka
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 21
    • DE Carlos Dunlap
    • S Reggie Nelson
    • DT Geno Atkins
    • G Clint Boling
    • G Mike Pollak
    • FB Ryan Hewitt
    • WR Brandon Tate
    • RB Jeremy Hill
    • CB Adam Jones
    • ILB Rey Maualuga
    • CB Leon Hall
    • CB Terence Newman
    • OT Andre Smith
    • TE Jermaine Gresham
    • QB Andy Dalton
    • RB Giovani Bernard
    • OT Marshall Newhouse
    • OLB Vincent Rey
    • DE Wallace Gilberry
    • C Russell Bodine
    • WR Mohamed Sanu
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 3
    • OLB Emmanuel Lamur
    • DT Domata Peko
    • DE Robert Geathers
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • OT Andrew Whitworth
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    3
    • G Kevin Zeitler
    • WR A.J. Green
    • S George Iloka
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    21
    • DE Carlos Dunlap
    • S Reggie Nelson
    • DT Geno Atkins
    • G Clint Boling
    • G Mike Pollak
    • FB Ryan Hewitt
    • WR Brandon Tate
    • RB Jeremy Hill
    • CB Adam Jones
    • ILB Rey Maualuga
    • CB Leon Hall
    • CB Terence Newman
    • OT Andre Smith
    • TE Jermaine Gresham
    • QB Andy Dalton
    • RB Giovani Bernard
    • OT Marshall Newhouse
    • OLB Vincent Rey
    • DE Wallace Gilberry
    • C Russell Bodine
    • WR Mohamed Sanu
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    3
    • OLB Emmanuel Lamur
    • DT Domata Peko
    • DE Robert Geathers
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Coley Harvey, ESPN.com

Andrew Whitworth

OT Andrew Whitworth: If you were to choose only one elite player on the Bengals' roster, Whitworth would be it. Often this season, opposing players and coaches came up to Whitworth after games to tell him they thought he was among the best tackles in the league. The metrics back that up: According to PFF, Whitworth didn't allow a single sack all season, and was the only tackle out of 54 qualifiers to allow fewer than 10 QB pressures. His pass-blocking efficiency (98.7) was better than Joe Thomas (97.6), who made first-team All-Pro. Amazingly, Whitworth didn't even make the Pro Bowl.

Kevin Zeitler

G Kevin Zeitler: Remember the Bengals' Week 15 game at Cleveland, when they rushed for a season-high 244 yards and won by 30? That was the best run-blocking performance of Zeitler's young career, according to PFF, but it never would've been possible had he let two separate calf injuries derail his season. That kind of toughness is why coaches and teammates were effusive in their praise of Zeitler throughout the year. It didn't hurt, either, that he proved to be an elite pass-blocker, registering the fifth-highest pass-blocking efficiency rating among guards, per PFF.

A.J. Green

WR A.J. Green: He finished with the fewest yards (1,041) and second-fewest catches (69) of his career, thanks to a foot injury that held him out of nearly four games. The highlight of Green's season came from Weeks 11-14, when he lit up secondaries for 33 catches, 529 yards and three touchdowns. Those numbers are nearly identical to what he produced in his other nine games (36-512-3), as Green had a wholly average season.

George Iloka

S George Iloka: When evaluating Iloka, you have to all but ignore his tackle numbers (74, fourth on the team). He plays deep safety in the Bengals' scheme, so the team certainly doesn't want him making too many plays in the run game. Where Iloka makes his mark is vs. the pass. According to PFF, he allowed a 39 percent catch rate and 18.4 quarterback rating when thrown at, both of which were the best among 59 qualified safeties. If he's not elite yet, the 2012 fifth-rounder will be soon.

Geno Atkins

DT Geno Atkins: If you're looking for an accurate description of Atkins' play, look no further than defensive coordinator Paul Guenther, who said Atkins was "just a guy out there" in 2014. Playing in his first season following ACL surgery, the once-elite pass rusher registered a 6.7 pressure percentage, which ranked 22nd overall. From 2010-13, Atkins ranked second, fourth, first and fourth in that metric. Yes, by Atkins' standards, he was downright bad this season.

Jeremy Hill

RB Jeremy Hill: One of five players up for rookie of the year, Hill was grossly underutilized by his coaches early on in the season. The rookie played just 29 percent of the offense's snaps through seven weeks. That number doubled over the next nine games, during which Hill led the league in rushing with 929 yards. He could've had an elite season if the Bengals hadn't chosen to bring him along so slowly. But even still, Hill deserved better than an average grade. Consider: His 5.1 yards per carry were the most by a rookie RB since Adrian Peterson's 2007 season (5.6).

Domata Peko

DT Domata Peko: According to PFF, Peko ranked dead last among qualifying defensive tackles with a 1.7 pressure percentage. Let me translate that for you: Quarterbacks hardly ever knew Peko was on the field when they dropped back to pass. He wasn't much better vs. the run, finishing 31st out of 48 qualified DTs with a 6.3 run-stop percentage.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Sacks/QB hits allowed

Good News: How good was LT Andrew Whitworth's season? The LSU product -- who was once drafted to play guard, believe it or not -- allowed one combined QB sack/hit in 533 pass-blocking snaps this season. An offensive tackle has never done that in PFF's eight years of existence.

Bad News: The Andy Dalton roller-coaster ride was in full effect this year. After registering his worst PFF grade ever in Week 10 vs. Cleveland (-7.7), Dalton put up the second-best grade of his career in his very next game (+6.8 vs. New Orleans). Let us know when you figure this guy out.

Sacks/QB hits allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- LT Andrew Whitworth: He was the Bengals' best player in 2014 and perhaps the NFL's best left tackle. According to PFF, Whitworth was not responsible for a single sack this season. He did it in the middle of a quite reasonable contract that paid him $5.2 million (39th among offensive linemen). The Eagles' Jason Peters, who had a similar year to Whitworth statistically, took home $12 million. Don't be surprised if the LSU product gets a contract upgrade somewhat soon. It would be well deserved.

2014 Salary

Worst -- DT Domata Peko: The Bengals' highly efficient pay structure doesn't offer many possibilities for this designation, but Peko had a terrible season by PFF's standards. He finished the year ranked 80th out of 81 defensive tackles, according to PFF's evaluation -- and he did so as the NFL's 10th-highest paid DT ($5.9 million). For some context, Bills All-Pro DT Marcell Dareus made just $3.2 million in 2014.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Andy Dalton presents quite a conundrum for the Bengals. He's good enough to have helped Cincy to the postseason in each of his first four NFL seasons, which is part of the reason he just completed the first of a seven-year contract that paid him $18.1 million in 2014. But the Bengals are 0-4 in those playoff games, and Dalton finished 2014 ranked 19th in QBR after a 19-touchdown, 17-interception season. Cincinnati did hedge his contract for the next six years with modest base salaries. Still, what do you do when it's clear your quarterback is good, but probably not skilled enough to lead a Super Bowl run?

Positional Needs

by Coley Harvey, ESPN.com

Defensive line: The Bengals had just 20 sacks in 2014, the fewest in the league and second-fewest during Marvin Lewis' 12-season tenure. Once opposing offenses figured out they could neutralize their blitz by going with heavy, unbalanced offensive line fronts, the front four didn't stand a chance. Defensive coordinator Paul Guenther has already vowed for change to come in the form of lineup tweaks and personnel additions. Stay tuned.

Tight end: Both Jermaine Gresham and Alex Smith are free agents, so the Bengals could be in need of more bodies soon. The team still believes in former first-rounder Tyler Eifert, who was lost for all but one game this season with elbow and shoulder injuries. They still expect him to be a big factor in the pass game once he comes back.

Offensive line: The Bengals have three unrestricted free agents up front: guard Clint Boling and tackles Marshall Newhouse and Eric Winston. Regardless of whom the team brings back, the front office needs to begin planning for life after Andrew Whitworth. The left tackle is 33 and adding to the line now could help ensure that it's a position of strength for years to come.

close

1

New York

Jets

2014 Record: 4-12, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Jets to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

8Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Jets' 33 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • C Nick Mangold
    • DE Sheldon Richardson
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 4
    • DE Muhammad Wilkerson
    • S Dawan Landry
    • OLB Jason Babin
    • DT Damon Harrison
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 19
    • WR Eric Decker
    • S Jaiquawn Jarrett
    • S Calvin Pryor
    • WR Percy Harvin
    • ILB Demario Davis
    • OT D'Brickashaw Ferguson
    • TE Jace Amaro
    • G Oday Aboushi
    • ILB David Harris
    • DE Leger Douzable
    • CB Marcus Williams
    • CB Darrin Walls
    • OT Breno Giacomini
    • CB Kyle Wilson
    • WR Jeremy Kerley
    • OLB Calvin Pace
    • OLB Quinton Coples
    • RB Chris Ivory
    • CB Phillip Adams
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 8
    • CB Antonio Allen
    • G Brian Winters
    • RB Chris Johnson
    • G Willie Colon
    • QB Geno Smith
    • QB Michael Vick
    • WR David Nelson
    • TE Jeff Cumberland
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • C Nick Mangold
    • DE Sheldon Richardson
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    4
    • DE Muhammad Wilkerson
    • S Dawan Landry
    • OLB Jason Babin
    • DT Damon Harrison
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    19
    • WR Eric Decker
    • S Jaiquawn Jarrett
    • S Calvin Pryor
    • WR Percy Harvin
    • ILB Demario Davis
    • OT D'Brickashaw Ferguson
    • TE Jace Amaro
    • G Oday Aboushi
    • ILB David Harris
    • DE Leger Douzable
    • CB Marcus Williams
    • CB Darrin Walls
    • OT Breno Giacomini
    • CB Kyle Wilson
    • WR Jeremy Kerley
    • OLB Calvin Pace
    • OLB Quinton Coples
    • RB Chris Ivory
    • CB Phillip Adams
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    8
    • CB Antonio Allen
    • G Brian Winters
    • RB Chris Johnson
    • G Willie Colon
    • QB Geno Smith
    • QB Michael Vick
    • WR David Nelson
    • TE Jeff Cumberland
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Rich Cimini, ESPN.com

Nick Mangold

C Nick Mangold: A nine-year vet, Mangold continues to win with his superior technique and intelligence. PFF graded him as the league's best center in 2014, and you won't find much disagreement from Jets coaches, who love Mangold because he rarely makes a mistake when calling the pass-protection scheme. And if you're looking for a reason the Jets finished third in rushing (142.5 YPG), Mangold is a good place to start. He rated as PFF's No. 2 run-blocking center.

Sheldon Richardson

DE Sheldon Richardson: His teammates voted him the team MVP, and deservedly so. After winning the defensive rookie of the year in 2013, Richardson delivered an encore, ranking as PFF's second-best 3-4 DE behind only J.J. Watt. He improved as a pass-rusher -- his sacks jumped from 3.5 as a rookie to a team-high eight in 2014 -- and maintained his relentlessness vs. the run (11.8 run-stop percentage, second overall). Richardson possesses rare athleticism for a man his size (6-foot-3, 294, 4.96 40); the coaches would even drop him into pass coverage about three times per game. Just 24, Richardson still hasn't reached his ceiling.

Muhammad Wilkerson

DE Muhammad Wilkerson: A versatile every-down player, Wilkerson is capable of playing anywhere on the line -- even over the center in certain packages. If not for missing three games with turf toe late in the season, he might have made his first Pro Bowl. He finished with 34 total pressures per PFF, high numbers for a lineman who often rushes from an interior position and gets double-teamed. Wilkerson has one year left on his rookie contract, and the Jets would be wise to give one of their cornerstone players a new deal.

Dawan Landry

S Dawan Landry and OLB Jason Babin: Bill Parcells used to have a name for players like Landry and Babin; he called them "hold-the-fort guys." They're past-their-prime players who provide leadership and stability, but they're only short-term solutions. That's a nice way of saying they don't belong in the good category. Landry played more than 900 defensive snaps, yet he wasn't involved in a single takeaway. Babin was competent in his role as a situational pass-rusher, but hardly an impact player. He registered only two sacks in 275 pass-rushing opportunities, according to PFF.

Damon Harrison

DT Damon Harrison: He played primarily on first and second down -- only 49 percent of the defensive snaps -- but Harrison was vital to the Jets' fifth-ranked run defense because of his ability to tie up two blockers. His 12.5 run-stop percentage was tops for defensive tackles. The only thing preventing him from being an elite player is his lack of pass-rush production. He's had just one sack in three seasons. Nevertheless, the Jets need to break out the checkbook, as Harrison -- a former undrafted free agent -- will be a restricted free agent this offseason.

Percy Harvin

WR Percy Harvin: He can be a dynamic player, but there's no disputing his production last season was average at best. In eight games with the Jets, who acquired him midseason from Seattle for a conditional sixth-round pick, Harvin had only 29 receptions, tied for 77th in the league over that span. The old coaching staff liked his work ethic and willingness to play hurt, contradicting the public perception of him, but there's a new regime. Harvin is due to make $10.5 million in 2015, and the team can cut bait with no cap ramifications. Chances are, he won't be back next season.

D'Brickashaw Ferguson

OT D'Brickashaw Ferguson: He played every single offensive snap and allowed only one sack, according to PFF. How is that average? He will struggle occasionally with speed rushers -- he allowed six QB pressures when facing Denver's Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware in Week 6 -- but the coaches liked his down-to-down consistency. There will come a time (maybe 2016) when he no longer will be worth his huge cap charge ($11.7 million in 2015), but he's still good enough to be a winning left tackle in the league.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

QB pressures allowed

Good News: Once the undisputed best center in the league, Nick Mangold ranked as either PFF's best or second-best-rated player at his position during every season from 2007-11. And after turning in rankings of sixth and 19th the past two seasons, Mangold is officially back (first overall in 2014). He allowed just seven QB pressures all season, the fewest among all centers.

Bad News: No matter how you slice the numbers, QB Geno Smith had an awful 2014. How awful? At one point, he was benched for an equally hopeless Michael Vick. Smith completed just 39 percent of his passes while under pressure, and threw 11 of his 13 interceptions when teams sat back in coverage. So it's no wonder that he finished just two games with a positive PFF grade.

QB pressures allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- DT Sheldon Richardson: Richardson didn't make the 2014 All-Pro team, but he is an elite player by any reckoning and is locked into his first contract for at least one more season by NFL rules. As the No. 13 overall pick in the 2013 draft, Richardson did receive a signing bonus of $5.7 million, but his 2014 salary was $862,000 and overall his contract averages $2.5 million per season. For that value, the Jets have a top-end interior disruptor who had eight sacks in 2014. Richardson is on the same level as All-Pro selections Ndamukong Suh and Marcell Dareus, who earned a combined $15.7 million this season. And as an added bonus, Richardson has proved incredibly durable, playing in all of the Jets' games the last two seasons.

2014 Salary

Worst -- WR Eric Decker: He had a decent season for the Jets, catching a team-high 74 passes for 962 yards and five touchdowns. But 2014 wasn't the year for the Jets, or anyone, to spend big on a free-agent receiver. Decker earned $10 million in 2014, and is guaranteed another $5 million for 2015, while the 2014 draft produced arguably the best class of receivers in league history. Among the receivers the Jets passed on: Brandin Cooks, Kelvin Benjamin and Jordan Matthews, who made an average of $3.8 million in 2014.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Geno Smith quietly finished his second season on a high note, completing 65.1 percent of his passes and throwing six touchdowns, against one interception, over the Jets' final four starts. And the Jets are at least one year away from having to make a decision on Smith's contract. But it will be difficult for the Jets' new regime to begin its tenure with Smith as its unquestioned starter. The franchise needs to upgrade the position.

Positional Needs

by Rich Cimini, ESPN.com

Cornerback: The Jets have only three corners under contract, and two of them -- Dee Milliner and Dexter McDougle -- are coming off major surgery. We're talking about a complete overhaul here, especially since new coach Todd Bowles likes to blitz and play man-to-man coverage on the outside. The Jets are coming off a season in which they allowed 31 touchdown passes (30th overall) and picked off only six balls (tied for fewest in the NFL).

Quarterback: They still have Geno Smith, but is he the answer? Probably not. His 35.4 total QBR ranked ahead of only Jaguars rookie Blake Bortles. The Jets must acquire a viable alternative. One possibility could be the Texans' Ryan Fitzpatrick, a possible salary-cap casualty. He'd be a nice fit, having previously played in Chan Gailey's system. Picking sixth, they have an outside shot at Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota.

Wide receiver: If they decide to keep Percy Harvin and his $10.5 million price tag, the need for a receiver is reduced. You can live with a Harvin-Eric Decker-Jeremy Kerley trio because of their complementary skill sets. Harvin and Kerley both have great short-area quickness and are threats underneath, while Decker can do a little of everything. Without Harvin, this becomes a huge need. Alabama's Amari Cooper would be terrific if he slipped to the Jets at the sixth pick.

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2

Houston

Texans

2014 Record: 9-7, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Texans to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

8Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Texans' 31 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • DE J.J. Watt
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 4
    • WR DeAndre Hopkins
    • G Brandon Brooks
    • CB Kareem Jackson
    • OT Duane Brown
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 19
    • RB Arian Foster
    • CB Johnathan Joseph
    • OT Derek Newton
    • QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
    • CB Darryl Morris
    • C Chris Myers
    • S Danieal Manning
    • ILB Mike Mohamed
    • WR Andre Johnson
    • S Kendrick Lewis
    • G Ben Jones
    • OLB Brooks Reed
    • DE Jared Crick
    • CB A.J. Bouye
    • OLB Whitney Mercilus
    • ILB Brian Cushing
    • TE Ryan Griffin
    • DT Ryan Pickett
    • ILB Justin Tuggle
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 7
    • DE Tim Jamison
    • RB Alfred Blue
    • TE Garrett Graham
    • DT Jerrell Powe
    • WR Damaris Johnson
    • S D.J. Swearinger
    • TE C.J. Fiedorowicz
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • DE J.J. Watt
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    4
    • WR DeAndre Hopkins
    • G Brandon Brooks
    • CB Kareem Jackson
    • OT Duane Brown
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    19
    • RB Arian Foster
    • CB Johnathan Joseph
    • OT Derek Newton
    • QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
    • CB Darryl Morris
    • C Chris Myers
    • S Danieal Manning
    • ILB Mike Mohamed
    • WR Andre Johnson
    • S Kendrick Lewis
    • G Ben Jones
    • OLB Brooks Reed
    • DE Jared Crick
    • CB A.J. Bouye
    • OLB Whitney Mercilus
    • ILB Brian Cushing
    • TE Ryan Griffin
    • DT Ryan Pickett
    • ILB Justin Tuggle
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    7
    • DE Tim Jamison
    • RB Alfred Blue
    • TE Garrett Graham
    • DT Jerrell Powe
    • WR Damaris Johnson
    • S D.J. Swearinger
    • TE C.J. Fiedorowicz
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Tania Ganguli, ESPN.com

J.J. Watt

DE J.J. Watt: Talk about a no-brainer. Watt's historic dominance will most likely lead to his second defensive player of the year award and at least a few MVP votes. His head coach, Bill O'Brien, termed it a "season for the ages." Watt had 20.5 sacks, four forced fumbles, five fumble recoveries, 10 batted passes, 47 tackles at or behind the line of scrimmage, three touchdown catches and two defensive touchdowns. Watt was hit with double-teams, sometimes versions of triple-teams and creative attempts at blocking that verged on holding or beyond. And because of that extra attention, Texans players believe Watt affects his team's defense just as much as a great quarterback impacts his offense. He ranked as PFF's best 3-4 DE by a mile; his plus-107.5 grade was an incredible 67.6 points ahead of second place (the Jets' Sheldon Richardson). For some perspective, Aaron Rodgers' grade was 7.8 points better than second-place Drew Brees.

DeAndre Hopkins

WR DeAndre Hopkins: He took a major step forward from his rookie season, as he became the Texans' leading receiver with 76 catches and 1,210 yards. He's always clearly had the talent to be a No. 1 option, but during his first year, there were many who felt his maturity, study habits and attention to detail could use improvement. Hopkins has talked several times this season about how he understands better how to be a professional, something aided by his proximity to Andre Johnson.

Brandon Brooks

G Brandon Brooks: For the second time in as many seasons, Brooks snagged a top-10 ranking from PFF. He's an solid run-blocker (fifth among guards), so it makes sense that the Texans chose to run a league-high 138 times off right guard, gaining 560 yards (third overall).

Kareem Jackson

CB Kareem Jackson: After being drafted 20th overall in 2010, Jackson struggled in his first few seasons, so much so that fans clamored for the Texans move on. They didn't and it paid off, thanks to the new staff's decision to try him out at slot corner. Jackson played 184 defensive snaps in the slot from 2010-13, but notched 440 this season alone. It worked well, as PFF gave him the seventh-best grade among corners in coverage and calculated that opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 74.1 when throwing at him. Jackson is a free agent this offseason, and the Texans would be wise to make re-signing him a high priority.

Arian Foster

RB Arian Foster: Throughout the year, the Texans constantly gushed about Foster's vision, patience and the smoothness of his running style. These qualities can't be quantified by stats, which could be why PFF underrated Foster. He's at the point of his career when he's going to have the occasional soft-tissue injury, but when healthy, he's a dynamic playmaker. Foster ranked second in the league in yards per game (95.8) and sixth in total rushing yards (1,246), despite missing three games altogether and parts of three others due to injuries.

Ryan Fitzpatrick

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick: He had one glorious outing -- a game against the Titans in which he threw a team-record six touchdown passes. But on average Fitzpatrick was, well, average, with 206.9 yards per game (27th overall), 1.4 TDs per game (18th) and a 63.1 completion percentage (18th). One positive: He got better as the game went on. In quarters 1-3, Fitzpatrick had a middling total QBR (49.9) and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt. In the fourth quarter/overtime, those numbers rose to 74.5 and 8.8.

Andre Johnson

WR Andre Johnson: He'll go down as one of the greatest receivers to play the game, but this season we saw the figurative torch passed to DeAndre Hopkins, who notched his first 1,000-yard season. Johnson, meanwhile, saw his production dip significantly. After averaging more than 110 catches and 1,500 yards the past two seasons, the 33-year-old caught only 85 passes for 936 yards in 2014. With a hefty $16.1 million cap number next season, Johnson himself has wondered about his future with the Texans.

Brian Cushing

ILB Brian Cushing: Coming off back-to-back season-ending knee injuries, it's understandable that Cushing didn't make his usual impact in passing situations. The Texans played him on just 35 percent of third- and fourth-down plays in 2014, compared to 85 percent from 2009 through Week 5 2012, when Cushing went down with an ACL injury. Now, for the first time since after the 2011 season, Cushing will go into an offseason without a major surgery from which to recover. "It's different, but it's a good thing," he said. "I wasn't able to really train and prepare the way I want to [coming in to 2014], so having this time and being able to prepare and recover is going to be very important."

D.J. Swearinger

S D.J. Swearinger: The Texans' 2013 second-round pick, Swearinger continued to struggle in 2014. PFF rated him as the No. 79 safety out of 88 qualifiers, as he was a liability in coverage (53rd overall) and vs. the run (85th). Swearinger, who began the season as a starter, found himself replaced late in the year by veteran Danieal Manning. His snaps decreased by more than 15 percent after the Texans' Week 10 bye.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Overall PFF grade

Good News: J.J. Watt -- the best player in football, regardless of position -- is completely redefining what people thought was possible from a defensive player. He finished the season with 119 total pressures, 22 more than any other player, at any position, since PFF began tracking the stat in 2007.

Bad News: Outside of Watt, Houston doesn't have much of a pass rush. According to PFF's numbers, D-linemen not named J.J. Watt had just seven sacks and 11 QB knockdowns. OLBs Brooks Reed and Whitney Mercilus weren't much better: seven sacks and 16 knockdowns.

QB pressures allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- WR DeAndre Hopkins: As a second-year player, Hopkins earned $751,668 this season and is on the books for $1.1 million in 2015 and $1.4 million in 2016 if the Texans don't extend him before then. In exchange for those salaries, Hopkins compiled a 76-catch, 1,210-yard season. Hopkins has been the most productive receiver from the 2013 draft class in terms of career yardage (2,012) and is second in catches (128) and touchdowns (12). With those numbers and at that price tag, Hopkins is a steal; the Chiefs paid Dwayne Bowe $8.5 million for just 60 receptions and 754 yards in 2014.

2014 Salary

Worst -- ILB Brian Cushing: After injuries to his left knee cut short his past two seasons, Cushing returned to start 14 games in 2014. But those injuries took their toll: He managed just 72 tackles, one sack and one forced fumble while playing 64 percent of Houston's defensive snaps. His PFF rating ranked 38th among 60 qualified inside linebackers, a poor showing for a player who has earned $19.4 million the past two seasons, including $9.3 million in 2014. For some context, the Seahawks' Bobby Wagner, PFF's No. 5 ILB, made just $781,618 this season. Cushing's salary over the next five seasons would average $7.4 million if the terms remain intact.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

The Texans don't have a quarterback of the future and might not have one for the present, either. Injuries to Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Mallett and Tom Savage left them to finish the season with the previously released Case Keenum as their starter. Fitzpatrick and Savage are under contract for 2015, Fitzpatrick for an alluring $3.25 million, but the Texans will have to upgrade the position somehow -- via free agency, the draft or both -- this offseason.

Positional Needs

by Tania Ganguli, ESPN.com

Pass-rusher: Watt accounted for 53.9 percent of the Texans' sacks this season and 26.5 percent of the Texans' disrupted dropbacks -- both league highs. While that speaks to Watt's dominance, it also speaks to the Texans' need for some help in that department. The Texans drafted Jadeveon Clowney first overall hoping for help there, but he only played four games due to a right knee injury, and has a long and difficult recovery from microfracture surgery ahead of him.

Receiver: Andre Johnson said this year he wishes he had DeAndre Hopkins earlier in his career. That's because two top-notch receivers are better than one -- for everyone. Life after Johnson might not be here yet, but it will be soon, and the Texans need to prepare for it rather than facing a future in which Hopkins finds himself on the island Johnson did for so many years. This year's crop of college receivers is a good one, including Alabama receiver Amari Cooper, Louisville's DeVante Parker, West Virginia's Kevin White and Oklahoma's Dorial Green-Beckham. The Texans should take advantage of that depth.

Secondary: Three of the Texans' key pending free agents are in the secondary -- safeties Danieal Manning and Kendrick Lewis and cornerback Kareem Jackson. Depending on what combination of those players the Texans retain, they'll have needs at both safety and corner. This season the team typically carried an extra DB on game days rather than an extra receiver, which makes depth here important.

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4

Kansas City

Chiefs

2014 Record: 9-7, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Chiefs to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

8Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Chiefs' 31 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 3
    • OLB Justin Houston
    • CB Sean Smith
    • FB Anthony Sherman
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 2
    • TE Travis Kelce
    • C Rodney Hudson
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 18
    • OLB Tamba Hali
    • RB Jamaal Charles
    • S Kurt Coleman
    • CB Jamell Fleming
    • QB Alex Smith
    • S Husain Abdullah
    • WR Dwayne Bowe
    • OT Ryan Harris
    • DT Dontari Poe
    • CB Phillip Gaines
    • DE Jaye Howard
    • S Eric Berry
    • DE Allen Bailey
    • WR A.J. Jenkins
    • ILB James-Michael Johnson
    • CB Chris Owens
    • WR Junior Hemingway
    • G Zach Fulton
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 8
    • S Ron Parker
    • OT Eric Fisher
    • ILB Josh Mauga
    • WR Frankie Hammond
    • CB Marcus Cooper
    • TE Anthony Fasano
    • RB Knile Davis
    • G Mike McGlynn
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    3
    • OLB Justin Houston
    • CB Sean Smith
    • FB Anthony Sherman
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    2
    • TE Travis Kelce
    • C Rodney Hudson
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    18
    • OLB Tamba Hali
    • RB Jamaal Charles
    • S Kurt Coleman
    • CB Jamell Fleming
    • QB Alex Smith
    • S Husain Abdullah
    • WR Dwayne Bowe
    • OT Ryan Harris
    • DT Dontari Poe
    • CB Phillip Gaines
    • DE Jaye Howard
    • S Eric Berry
    • DE Allen Bailey
    • WR A.J. Jenkins
    • ILB James-Michael Johnson
    • CB Chris Owens
    • WR Junior Hemingway
    • G Zach Fulton
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    8
    • S Ron Parker
    • OT Eric Fisher
    • ILB Josh Mauga
    • WR Frankie Hammond
    • CB Marcus Cooper
    • TE Anthony Fasano
    • RB Knile Davis
    • G Mike McGlynn
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Adam Teicher, ESPN.com

Justin Houston

OLB Justin Houston: For the second consecutive season, Houston found himself atop PFF's 3-4 OLB ranks, earning the highest grade ever given to a player at his position (plus-51.1). He led the league with 22 sacks -- a half-sack from the NFL single-season record -- and was the only 3-4 OLB to grade out as a top-four player in coverage, against the run and as a pass-rusher. A picture of consistency, Houston had just three games all season without a sack.

Anthony Sherman

FB Anthony Sherman: An excellent lead blocker, Sherman is one of the many reasons Jamaal Charles averaged more than five yards per carry in 2014. For the second time in as many seasons, he ranked as PFF's best blocking and overall fullback. The reason he might be a bit overrated here? Sherman got the ball 12 times this season -- two on carries and 10 on pass receptions -- and played only 25 percent of the team's offensive snaps.

Rodney Hudson

C Rodney Hudson: The Chiefs had one of the most active screen games in the NFL, throwing 57 percent of their passes within five yards of the line of scrimmage (third-most). Hudson's athleticism out in space helped spring receivers for an average of 7.3 yards after the catch on such throws, second overall. He rated as PFF's No. 3 center and the best screen-blocker. Hudson is a potential unrestricted free agent this offseason; the Chiefs would be wise to re-sign him before he hits the open market.

Tamba Hali

OLB Tamba Hali: By the numbers, Hali had one of the worst seasons of his nine-year NFL career. His six sacks were the second-lowest of his career and the fewest since 2008. He played well against the run and in coverage -- rating 26th and second, respectively, by PFF -- but that's not why the Chiefs are paying him big money. He has a cap number of almost $12 million in 2015, and he will probably have to accept a reduction in pay if he wants to remain with the Chiefs next season.

Jamaal Charles

RB Jamaal Charles: His numbers were down a bit from his fabulous 2013 campaign (1,980 total yards, 19 TDs), but he still posted 1,324 yards and 14 scores. That's far from average, in my opinion. Charles also averaged five yards per carry for the seventh consecutive season -- no small feat playing behind an inconsistent offensive line. The Chiefs, despite not getting a TD from a wide receiver, were eighth in the league in red zone efficiency (58 percent). Charles deserves credit for that, as he gained 3.9 yards per rush from inside the 20, the third-best average in the league.

Alex Smith

QB Alex Smith: Just from his stats, Smith looks like a better than average quarterback. He completed 65 percent of his passes and threw three touchdowns for every interception. Smith's biggest flaw in 2014: His inability to lead the Chiefs on crucial late-game drives. Six times this season, the team needed a score late in the fourth quarter to get a victory or go to overtime. It succeeded just once (vs. San Diego in Week 7) -- and even that wasn't a do-or-die situation; the game would've gone into overtime if the Chiefs had failed to score.

Ron Parker

S Ron Parker: He was short-changed here a bit. Parker's versatility was crucial for the Chiefs, as he played cornerback early and shifted to strong safety when Eric Berry went out of the lineup. He also helped win the Chiefs' Week 10 game at Buffalo with three pass breakups late in the fourth quarter.

Eric Fisher

OT Eric Fisher: To say Fisher hasn't lived up to his promise as the 2013 No. 1 overall pick would be kind. Most of the time this season, he wasn't a competent player as he made the switch to left tackle. Fisher lacks the upper-body strength to handle big, strong pass-rushers. He had a particularly bad game against Pittsburgh's James Harrison in Week 16, allowing a sack and five hurries according to PFF, who ranked him 72nd among 84 qualified tackles this season. Fisher had offseason shoulder surgery last year, which set back his progress in the weight room. In that sense, this is a big offseason for the Chiefs' blindside protector.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Yards per route run

Good News: No, the Chiefs didn't get a receiving TD all season from a WR, but they got great production from their other skill positions. TE Travis Kelce averaged 2.26 yards per route run, second to only Rob Gronkowski. And RB Jamaal Charles again proved to be one of the toughest backs to bring down, with a 55.8 elusive rating (fourth among RBs).

Bad News: Center Rodney Hudson was the only Chiefs O-lineman who had an above-average season. Former No. 1 overall pick Eric Fisher and G Mike McGlynn were disastrous on the left side -- especially in pass protection -- as they allowed 13 combined sacks, 15 knockdowns and 42 additional hurries.

Yards per route run

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- TE Travis Kelce: Linebacker Justin Houston earned $1.4 million while recording a league-leading 22 sacks in 2014, but he is a pending free agent and will cost the Chiefs a premium financial commitment moving forward if they want to retain him. So the choice here is Kelce, who was the Chiefs' most reliable pass-receiver in 2014. He caught a team-high 67 passes, including five touchdowns, and his PFF rating ranked as the No. 4 tight end, all while earning $536,000. The Vikings paid Kyle Rudolph 14 times more than that, and he has 54 catches the past two seasons combined. Per NFL rules, Kelce must play 2015 at a salary of $678,000 before he's eligible for an extension.

2014 Salary

Worst -- WR Dwayne Bowe: He is a decent talent whose skills don't seem necessary in the Chiefs' offense. Bowe has earned $23.5 million the past two years as part of a 2013 contract extension, but in 2014 he didn't catch a single touchdown pass. The Packers' Randall Cobb earned just $812,648 for 12 touchdown receptions. Bowe, who's four years removed from his last 1,000-yard season, has a contract that's set to pay him $11 million in 2015 and $10 million apiece in 2016 and 2017, near-elite money for a receiver.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Alex Smith is unquestionably a quarterback who gives his team a chance to win. The past four seasons, his teams have finished with winning records, and in two years with the Chiefs, he has committed just 17 turnovers. But his cautious approach in Kansas City has led to relatively few explosive plays. He averaged just 7.04 yards per attempt in 2014 (24th in the NFL) and threw only 25 passes that traveled 20 yards or more in the air (36th overall). His contract, which paid him $19 million in 2014, calls for a reasonable $12 million in 2015. But the Chiefs might be stuck with a quarterback good enough to stay competitive, but not elite enough to help contend for a championship.

Positional Needs

by Adam Teicher, ESPN.com

Wide receiver: The Chiefs' wideouts ranked last in the league in catches (129), yards (1,588), targets (216) and, of course, touchdowns (0). Making matters worse: Other than Albert Wilson and De'Anthony Thomas, their best wide receivers are over 30. A free agent such as Philadelphia's Jeremy Maclin, who played for Andy Reid with the Eagles, would make sense. But the Chiefs won't have a lot of free-agent cash to spend. They might need to make do with lower-priced free agents and a draft pick or two.

Offensive line: The Chiefs lost three regulars from 2013 in free agency last offseason -- Branden Albert, Jon Asamoah and Geoff Schwartz -- and didn't adequately replace them. With holes at left guard, right tackle and center (if free-agent-to-be Rodney Hudson doesn't return), expect the Chiefs to draft multiple offensive linemen.

Inside linebacker: It's time for the Chiefs to think about replacing Derrick Johnson, who will be 33 next season after missing almost all of 2014 with a ruptured Achilles. His contract, at slightly more than $5 million, is a bargain for the Chiefs -- if Johnson returns as the same player he was before the injury. The other starter, Joe Mays, turns 30 in July and also is coming off a season interrupted by injuries. The Chiefs ranked 30th in yards per carry allowed (4.7) and 28th in rushing yards per game allowed (127.3) in 2014.

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2

Miami

Dolphins

2014 Record: 8-8, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Dolphins to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

8Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Dolphins' 31 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • DE Cameron Wake
    • S Reshad Jones
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 3
    • OT Branden Albert
    • WR Jarvis Landry
    • ILB Koa Misi
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 20
    • TE Charles Clay
    • QB Ryan Tannehill
    • DT Jared Odrick
    • RB Lamar Miller
    • DE Olivier Vernon
    • ILB Jason Trusnik
    • CB Brent Grimes
    • OLB Philip Wheeler
    • TE Dion Sims
    • DT Earl Mitchell
    • S Louis Delmas
    • WR Mike Wallace
    • OLB Jelani Jenkins
    • DT Randy Starks
    • DE Derrick Shelby
    • CB Cortland Finnegan
    • G Shelley Smith
    • CB Jamar Taylor
    • C Samson Satele
    • CB Jimmy Wilson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 6
    • G Mike Pouncey
    • WR Brandon Gibson
    • WR Brian Hartline
    • G Daryn Colledge
    • OT Ja'Wuan James
    • G Dallas Thomas
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • DE Cameron Wake
    • S Reshad Jones
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    3
    • OT Branden Albert
    • WR Jarvis Landry
    • ILB Koa Misi
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    20
    • TE Charles Clay
    • QB Ryan Tannehill
    • DT Jared Odrick
    • RB Lamar Miller
    • DE Olivier Vernon
    • ILB Jason Trusnik
    • CB Brent Grimes
    • OLB Philip Wheeler
    • TE Dion Sims
    • DT Earl Mitchell
    • S Louis Delmas
    • WR Mike Wallace
    • OLB Jelani Jenkins
    • DT Randy Starks
    • DE Derrick Shelby
    • CB Cortland Finnegan
    • G Shelley Smith
    • CB Jamar Taylor
    • C Samson Satele
    • CB Jimmy Wilson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    6
    • G Mike Pouncey
    • WR Brandon Gibson
    • WR Brian Hartline
    • G Daryn Colledge
    • OT Ja'Wuan James
    • G Dallas Thomas
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by James Walker, ESPN.com

Cameron Wake

DE Cameron Wake: Few will argue with Wake's elite status. At age 32, he recorded 11.5 sacks this season and continues to be Miami's best player. Wake still gives offensive tackles fits with his bull rush, but he did slow down a bit late this season. He had just one sack in five games between Weeks 11-15, partly due to Miami's coaching staff subbing him out more, in hopes of keeping him fresh down the stretch. That will be something to monitor in future seasons.

Reshad Jones

S Reshad Jones: PFF is higher on Jones than many around the league. Finishing second on the Dolphins in tackles (80) and interceptions (three), Jones had the best season of his five-year career, despite missing four games due to a PED suspension. So what keeps him from being elite? As an NFL scout told me, "Jones is an impact player that flashes Pro Bowl ability. But he's inconsistent."

Jarvis Landry

WR Jarvis Landry: The rookie's ascension and rapid development has been fun to watch. Landry plays like a veteran and it showed in the results: His 84 receptions set a new franchise rookie record. To be sure, the LSU product has physical limitations. At 5-foot-11 with a 4.77 40 time, he's not going to catch many jump balls or run by many secondaries. But Landry maximizes his ability by running crisp routes and catching everything thrown his way. He had only two drops all season, tied for the eighth-fewest in the NFL among receivers with at least 100 targets.

Koa Misi

ILB Koa Misi: The Dolphins finished this season ranked 24th against the run, allowing 121.1 yards per game. Misi was decent in that area but far from a game-changer. As one opposing NFL scout said: "He's steady and consistent. You know what you're getting when he lines up. I don't think he's special, but I don't think he's a liability." But Misi, who dealt with knee and hamstring injuries this season, doesn't make many plays in the passing game. He had just one pass breakup all season, tied for last in the league among linebackers.

Brent Grimes

CB Brent Grimes: He wasn't as dominant as last year, when he had four interceptions (tied for 11th overall) and 13 pass breakups (tied for sixth). But I wouldn't go so far as to say Grimes (5 INTs, six pass breakups in 2014) had an average year. As one opposing scout said, "He's definitely a Pro Bowl talent. Grimes wins with good technique."

Mike Wallace

WR Mike Wallace: In the first year of offensive coordinator Bill Lazor's new scheme, Wallace -- a speedster who came into Miami known for his deep-ball prowess -- essentially became a possession receiver. He averaged just 12.9 yards per catch, 20 percent lower than his ypc average from 2009-13 (16.1). That led to some frustration that eventually boiled over when Wallace had a reported disagreement with the coaching staff at halftime of Miami's Week 17 loss to the Jets. You can't blame Wallace for being a little miffed: He was held back by the offensive system and Ryan Tannehill's inability to consistently throw an accurate deep ball. (Tannehill completed just 26.5 percent of throws of 20 yards or more, fourth-worst in the NFL.)

Mike Pouncey

G Mike Pouncey: The switch from center to guard really hurt Pouncey this year. He went from PFF's No. 14 center in 2013 to their 69th-rated guard in 2014. As one opposing scout said: "[Playing guard] is a little bit of a different animal for a guy who is at center. You have big people running directly at you and pushing you into the backfield." The Dolphins would be wise to switch Pouncey back to his natural position next season.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Run stops

Good News: For the second time in three seasons, Dolphins safety Reshad Jones ranked third in PFF's rankings. In 2014, Jones proved his mettle as a run defender with 23 defensive stops, sixth among safeties. He was also an effective blitzer, notching 10 pressures in just 20 blitzes.

Bad News: This was the worst offensive line in football this year, especially after LT Branden Albert went down with a season-ending knee injury. The six lowest-graded players on the Dolphins' offense were all offensive linemen. In total, Miami allowed an astounding 210 QB pressures this season, five more than the next worst O-line (Colts), and twice as many as the league's best unit (Bengals).

Run stops

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- OLB Cameron Wake: He is in the midst of a premium contract extension he signed in 2013, but as one of the NFL's top pass-rushers, Wake has more than justified his financial figures. He has 35 sacks in the past three seasons, including 11.5 in 2014, and is locked into a contract for two more seasons that will pay him $8.3 million next year and $8.4 million in 2016. That money is substantial, but consider it in context: The Rams' Chris Long, the Broncos' DeMarcus Ware and the Vikings' Everson Griffen are all scheduled to earn $10 million in 2015.

2015 Salary

Worst -- WR Mike Wallace: Wallace, who earned $27.1 million signing with the Dolphins in 2013, has not given Miami so much as a 1,000-yard season. Wallace's $15.1 million salary in 2014 was tops among WRs, but that's where the accolades stopped. He ranked 39th in catches, 37th in yards and 12th in touchdowns. (Antonio Brown, who replaced Wallace as Pittsburgh's No. 1 receiver, led the league in catches and yards, while making $6 million.) The Dolphins will have to consider whether Wallace is worth even his $9.9 million salary for 2015.

2015 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Ryan Tannehill displayed notable improvement in his third season, setting career highs in yardage (4,045), completion percentage (66.4), touchdowns (27) and QBR (59.1). He also threw a career-low 12 interceptions. His relatively late arrival to the quarterback position -- it's well-documented that he was a receiver during part of his college career -- suggests further room for development. The Dolphins should feel confident they can win with Tannehill at quarterback. They could sign him to an extension this spring but are a year away from being forced to make any meaningful financial decision on him.

Positional Needs

by James Walker, ESPN.com

Defensive tackle: The Dolphins' run defense was the biggest breakdown during their 2-4 late-season collapse. They allowed 165.3 rushing yards per game from Weeks 12-17, worst in the league. Miami needs a dominant, run-stuffing defensive tackle it can depend on. Starter Jared Odrick is an unrestricted free agent who is not expected to return, and fellow starter Randy Starks could be released due to his $6 million cap number.

Linebacker: Miami is due for a rebuild at linebacker. Dannell Ellerbe ($8.5 million) and Philip Wheeler ($3 million) both have high salaries next season that do not match their production. Ellerbe suffered a season-ending hip injury in Week 1 against the Patriots, and he wasn't the impact linebacker the Dolphins hoped for in 2013. He's had just one sack and two interceptions for Miami in two seasons. Wheeler has been a liability against the run and in coverage. He gave up the game-winning touchdown pass late against the Packers in Week 6. The Dolphins found a good one in 2013 fourth-round outside linebacker Jelani Jenkins, who led the team with 110 tackles. But he's the only guaranteed keeper in this group.

Guard: Daryn Colledge's head and back injuries started a bad chain reaction along the line. Dallas Thomas filled in for Colledge a little bit, before moving over to right tackle in the wake of Branden Albert's season-ending injury. Shelley Smith finished the season at guard, but the lack of continuity took its toll. The Dolphins could be in the market for two starting-caliber guards, as Pro Bowler Mike Pouncey is expected to move back to center, his natural and best position. The top free agents include the Lions' Rob Sims, the Patriots' Dan Connolly and the 49ers' Mike Iupati.

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3

San Diego

Chargers

2014 Record: 9-7, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Chargers to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

8Above-Average Players Away
Average

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Chargers' 32 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • S Eric Weddle
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 4
    • CB Brandon Flowers
    • QB Philip Rivers
    • WR Malcom Floyd
    • RB Branden Oliver
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 21
    • TE Ladarius Green
    • OT King Dunlap
    • WR Keenan Allen
    • WR Eddie Royal
    • OLB Dwight Freeney
    • ILB Manti Te'o
    • ILB Andrew Gachkar
    • C Chris Watt
    • DE Ricardo Mathews
    • DE Corey Liuget
    • ILB Kavell Conner
    • OLB Jarret Johnson
    • DT Sean Lissemore
    • OLB Melvin Ingram
    • S Jahleel Addae
    • OT D.J. Fluker
    • DE Tenny Palepoi
    • TE Antonio Gates
    • C Rich Ohrnberger
    • CB Richard Marshall
    • S Marcus Gilchrist
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 6
    • RB Donald Brown
    • DE Kendall Reyes
    • G Chad Rinehart
    • G Johnnie Troutman
    • ILB Donald Butler
    • CB Shareece Wright
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • S Eric Weddle
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    4
    • CB Brandon Flowers
    • QB Philip Rivers
    • WR Malcom Floyd
    • RB Branden Oliver
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    21
    • TE Ladarius Green
    • OT King Dunlap
    • WR Keenan Allen
    • WR Eddie Royal
    • OLB Dwight Freeney
    • ILB Manti Te'o
    • ILB Andrew Gachkar
    • C Chris Watt
    • DE Ricardo Mathews
    • DE Corey Liuget
    • ILB Kavell Conner
    • OLB Jarret Johnson
    • DT Sean Lissemore
    • OLB Melvin Ingram
    • S Jahleel Addae
    • OT D.J. Fluker
    • DE Tenny Palepoi
    • TE Antonio Gates
    • C Rich Ohrnberger
    • CB Richard Marshall
    • S Marcus Gilchrist
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    6
    • RB Donald Brown
    • DE Kendall Reyes
    • G Chad Rinehart
    • G Johnnie Troutman
    • ILB Donald Butler
    • CB Shareece Wright
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Eric D. Williams, ESPN.com

Brandon Flowers

CB Brandon Flowers: A late addition to the 2014 roster after signing a one-year deal in June, Flowers served as a significant upgrade to San Diego's ailing secondary. The Virginia Tech product added toughness, versatility and playmaking ability to the back end of San Diego's defense. Flowers finished with 52 combined tackles, led the team with three interceptions and also totaled 10 pass breakups. After San Diego allowed 259 passing yards per game last year (29th in the NFL), that number dipped to 214 this season (fourth in the NFL). Flowers deserves a fair share of the credit for that.

Philip Rivers

QB Philip Rivers: PFF ranked four QBs -- Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger -- as elite. Rivers also belongs among that group. Over the past two seasons, he's second in completion percentage (68 percent), fourth in touchdowns (63) and fifth in total QBR (69.3). Rivers played at an MVP level through the first half of 2014, with an 85.5 total QBR (second in the NFL, behind Peyton Manning) and 20 touchdowns (No. 3). Then a back injury, inconsistent pass protection and the lack of a running game (3.4 ypc, second-worst) led to a dip in his play. At 33 years old, Rivers can still perform at an elite level for a few more years. He's known for his toughness, having played in 144 consecutive regular-season starts, second only to Eli Manning (167).

Branden Oliver

RB Branden Oliver: With Ryan Mathews injured most of last season, Oliver received an increased workload and had his fair share of good moments. The undrafted rookie out of Buffalo started seven games and led the Chargers with 582 rushing yards. But he had just three runs of 20-plus yards on 160 attempts and averaged a paltry 3.6 yards per carry. Oliver has potential to rate as a good running back, but we need to see more of a sample size first.

King Dunlap

OT King Dunlap: In two seasons, Dunlap developed into an above-average left tackle, and as an unrestricted free agent, he should be San Diego's top priority this offseason. Dunlap played a career-high 1,000 snaps and gave up just three sacks and five quarterback hits on 625 pass attempts. Rivers is not the most fleet of foot, so the Chargers needs a reliable left tackle to protect his blindside. Dunlap consistently does that while also making his presence felt in the run game. The Chargers ran for more yards per carry (4.2) outside left tackle than in any other direction. Rivers said Dunlap should have made the Pro Bowl in 2014; he should be rated higher here.

Antonio Gates

TE Antonio Gates: At 34, Gates finished this season with 12 TDs, tied for the most among TEs with Rob Gronkowski and Julius Thomas. Gates finished with more touchdowns than elite-rated tight ends Greg Olsen (six TDs) and Jason Witten (five TDs) combined, while also totaling more receiving yards than Witten in 2014 (821 to 703). Sure, he's not exactly a mauler in the run game -- he ranked as PFF's fourth-worst run-blocking TE this season -- but Gates played in 72 percent of the snaps (721), which shows San Diego doesn't use him as a decoy. He remains one of the elite tight ends in the NFL.

Donald Butler

ILB Donald Butler: The University of Washington product, who signed a seven-year, $51.8-million contract extension the past offseason, was the third-highest paid linebacker in the league this season ($11.9 million). But his play didn't live up to the contract. Butler made very few impact plays and finished the season with one sack, three fumble recoveries and no interceptions. Eric Weddle took over defensive play-calling duties for Butler midway through the year as defensive coordinator John Pagano took Butler off the field on passing situations due to uneven play. He also failed to play a 16-game season for a third consecutive year, after dislocating his elbow against Denver in Week 15. "The sad thing was he was playing at a higher level before that injury and truly getting better," Pagano said. "He's got to get healthy and be ready to come back next year."

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Slot coverage snaps per reception allowed

Good News: Signed almost as an afterthought after being released by the Chiefs, Brandon Flowers, PFF's No. 85 CB in 2013, rebounded in a big way this season. Through Week 11, he ranked behind only Chris Harris Jr. and Vontae Davis in PFF's cornerback rankings. Even with some poor performances down the stretch, he finished 15th overall. He allowed a reception from the slot once every 16.6 coverage snaps, a figure bettered by only Darrelle Revis.

Bad News: Corey Luiget and Kendall Reyes continue to underperform along the defensive line. Luiget actually led the team with five sacks, which in itself is a problem, but neither player won much in the run game. Reyes actually had the lowest run-stop percentage of any 3-4 DE with 200 or more run snaps (3.8 percent).

Slot coverage snaps per reception allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- CB Brandon Flowers: Shortly before training camp, the Chargers signed Flowers to a one-year contract worth a total of $3 million. They got a pretty high-end performance out of it; he intercepted three passes and defended a total of 11 in 14 games. Those aren't Joe Haden numbers, but Flowers wasn't making Joe Haden money, either. The deal allows Flowers to become an unrestricted free agent after the season, which reduces its value to the Chargers, but they certainly got their money's worth in 2014.

2014 Salary

Worst -- RB Donald Brown: This past offseason, Brown signed a three-year contract that guaranteed a $4 million salary, which was the high end in a depressed market for running backs. As such, his three-start, 223-yard output -- at 2.6 yards per carry -- should be considered a deep disappointment. Teams find productive runners deep in the draft or via college free agency every year. The Chargers proved that this season with the emergence of rookie Branden Oliver, who added 582 rushing yards, despite making the rookie minimum of $420,000.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Philip Rivers' performance dropped a bit from 2013, but overall, he remained a top-10 NFL quarterback in his 11th season. Most concerning were his 18 interceptions, the second-most in his career. Thirteen of those 18 came in the second half of the season, when Rivers played through several injuries that might have contributed to a performance dip. Despite his struggles down the stretch, Rivers still managed a 66.8 QBR (10th overall). He's signed for 2015 at the relatively affordable price of $15.8 million, but now might be a good time for the Chargers to extend his contract to avoid a possible franchise-tag scenario next year.

Positional Needs

by Eric D. Williams, ESPN.com

Outside linebacker: Dwight Freeney is a free agent, and the Chargers could save $5 million against the cap by cutting Jarret Johnson (just one sack in 2014). So there's a chance neither player will return in 2015. If that's the case, Melvin Ingram and Jeremiah Attaochu -- who had six sacks combined this season -- have to create more havoc up front. Look for the Chargers (26 sacks in 2014, fourth-worst in the NFL) to add a few more bodies to the mix at this key position.

Running back: The Chargers called a pass play 63 percent of the time this past season, the 10th-most in the league. The reason? San Diego could not get the run game going. The Chargers averaged 3.2 yards per carry on first down -- when defenses know offenses want to run the ball - which was second-worst in the NFL. Ryan Mathews once again failed to make it through an entire season healthy and will be an unrestricted free agent in March. The Chargers need an every-down running back who can grind it out between the tackles and take some pressure off Rivers.

Offensive line: King Dunlap is a keeper at left tackle, but after that there aren't too many positives here. San Diego's depth was tested up front this season, with five different players starting at center and three different players used at right guard. The Chargers -- who gained 3.6 yards per carry on runs between the guards, 29th in the league -- need more talent along the interior of the line, especially with center Nick Hardwick likely to retire.

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4

Arizona

Cardinals

2014 Record: 11-5, Lost In Wild-Card Round

How close were the Cardinals to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

9Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Cardinals' 29 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 3
    • DE Calais Campbell
    • OT Jared Veldheer
    • DT Dan Williams
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 16
    • WR Larry Fitzgerald
    • WR Michael Floyd
    • QB Carson Palmer
    • ILB Kevin Minter
    • S Tyrann Mathieu
    • DE Tommy Kelly
    • CB Antonio Cromartie
    • CB Jerraud Powers
    • DE Frostee Rucker
    • OLB Sam Acho
    • OT Bobby Massie
    • S Tony Jefferson
    • WR John Brown
    • OLB Matt Shaughnessy
    • CB Patrick Peterson
    • TE Rob Housler
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 10
    • QB Drew Stanton
    • G Ted Larsen
    • RB Andre Ellington
    • G Paul Fanaika
    • OLB Alex Okafor
    • S Rashad Johnson
    • ILB Larry Foote
    • S Deone Bucannon
    • C Lyle Sendlein
    • TE John Carlson
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    3
    • DE Calais Campbell
    • OT Jared Veldheer
    • DT Dan Williams
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    16
    • WR Larry Fitzgerald
    • WR Michael Floyd
    • QB Carson Palmer
    • ILB Kevin Minter
    • S Tyrann Mathieu
    • DE Tommy Kelly
    • CB Antonio Cromartie
    • CB Jerraud Powers
    • DE Frostee Rucker
    • OLB Sam Acho
    • OT Bobby Massie
    • S Tony Jefferson
    • WR John Brown
    • OLB Matt Shaughnessy
    • CB Patrick Peterson
    • TE Rob Housler
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    10
    • QB Drew Stanton
    • G Ted Larsen
    • RB Andre Ellington
    • G Paul Fanaika
    • OLB Alex Okafor
    • S Rashad Johnson
    • ILB Larry Foote
    • S Deone Bucannon
    • C Lyle Sendlein
    • TE John Carlson
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com

Dan Williams

DT Dan Williams: One major hurdle standing in Williams' way to becoming a top-notch nose tackle is his limited snaps. He saw the field for 413 plays this season -- a little less than 39 percent -- because Arizona often combated spread offensive sets with its nickel and dime packages, leaving Williams on the sideline. But when Williams was on the field, he made his impact felt. The Cardinals' run defense allowed 3.97 yards per rush, which would've ranked eighth best in the league, compared to 4.92 when he wasn't on the field.

Larry Fitzgerald

WR Larry Fitzgerald: It'd be easy to say Fitzgerald had a bad year. Statistically, it's true. He finished with 63 receptions for 784 yards and two touchdowns in 14 games -- all of which were his lowest since his 2004 rookie season. But that would undermine his importance to the Cardinals' offense. Arizona scored 22 touchdowns with him on the field, compared to five without, and the Cardinals' receivers averaged almost a full yard less per reception when Fitzgerald wasn't on the field. Even at 31 with a diminished role, Fitzgerald still draws enough attention from defenses to help the offense.

Antonio Cromartie

CB Antonio Cromartie: You'd be hard-pressed to find a more up-and-down season by a cornerback this season. Cromartie was often brilliant in the team's first 11 games, allowing 11 or fewer yards in eight contests, according to PFF. But sandwiched in there was a game vs. Denver during which the former first-round pick gave up 221 yards and two touchdowns. And down the stretch, in Weeks 13-17, Cromartie was beaten for 50 yards or more in four out of five games. He still managed four interceptions, the second-highest mark of his career, but finished the year ranked 45th overall by PFF.

Patrick Peterson

CB Patrick Peterson: By his standards, Peterson had an average season. He gave up eight touchdowns -- tied for third most in the NFL -- along with 743 yards and a QB rating of 97, according to PFF. It came during a season when, instead of following the offense's top receiver, Peterson remained on the left side for 70 percent of his snaps. (For a comparison, Seattle's Richard Sherman spent 82 percent of his snaps on the left side and allowed 422 yards and one TD.) Peterson had only three interceptions, two of which came in Week 10 against St. Louis, and didn't live up to the $70 million extension he signed during training camp.

Drew Stanton

QB Drew Stanton: Finishing the season with a 5-3 record as a starter, Stanton performed admirably as a fill-in for Carson Palmer. But there's no question the offense was more limited with him under center. Arizona went through a 10-quarter stretch from Weeks 11 to 13 without scoring a touchdown. Stanton averaged just six yards per attempt on the road, 32nd out of 33 qualified QBs.

Andre Ellington

RB Andre Ellington: Coming into the season, the plan was for Ellington to be the Cardinals' bell cow, with Bruce Arians even saying during last offseason's workouts that Ellington could get as many as 25-30 touches per game. But a foot injury leading into Week 1 hampered him the entire season, until a second hip injury against Atlanta in Week 13 shut him down for the year. Ellington still managed 660 yards -- 17th most among starting running backs -- but averaged just 3.3 yards per carry while eluding 12 tackles, among the fewest in the NFL.

Rashad Johnson

S Rashad Johnson: The epitome of a boom-or-bust safety, Johnson was one of 15 safeties to have four or more interceptions, and the only player at his position to score two touchdowns. But, according to PFF, he also allowed the 10th-highest completion percentage (75 percent), the second-most yards (610) and the sixth-highest yards-per-catch average (18.5) among safeties. Overall, PFF ranked Johnson 85th out of 88 qualified safeties in coverage.

Larry Foote

ILB Larry Foote: At 34, Foote didn't show his age for most of this season, missing just one snap until he was forced to sit out the season finale with a knee injury. When he signed with the Cardinals last offseason, he was expecting to be a part-time replacement for Daryl Washington. But when Washington was suspended for at least a year, Foote was given the keys to the Cardinals' defense and became the one player former defensive coordinator Todd Bowles depended on most. "He's a warrior," Bowles said. "He's not a scrub by any means. He can hold his own. He's smart and he anticipates well and he makes plays."

Deone Bucannon

S Deone Bucannon: Drafted as a safety, Bucannon learned a new position on the fly as a rookie, filling the role as Arizona's nickel linebacker. He finished with 76 tackles and two sacks while showing the speed -- he ran a 4.49 40 at the NFL combine -- and nose for contact that caught Arizona's attention last spring in the draft. But Bucannon was picked on in coverage; he was one of nine safeties to be thrown at 50 times or more, allowing 84 percent of those passes to be caught (highest among safeties).

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Run-stop percentage

Good News: At a position dominated by J.J. Watt, the Cardinals' Calais Campbell still ranks as one of the best 3-4 defensive ends in the league. His 12.0 run-stop percentage was the highest among all 3-4 defensive ends with at least 20 snaps against the run. He's not just a one-trick pony, either, registering 44 total pressures, the sixth-best mark at his position.

Bad News: The lack of production at the tight end position is a concern. John Carlson struggled as a run-blocker, ranking 65th out of 67 qualified tight ends in that area. He also failed to make much of an impact as a receiver, with 350 receiving yards (25th among TEs) and six drops (tied for fourth most). Backup Rob Housler didn't drop any passes, but managed to pick up just 129 yards through the air.

Run-stop percentage

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- DT Dan Williams: He played this season in the final year of his rookie contract, earning $1 million while starting nine games and compiling 32 tackles. Williams ranked as PFF's No. 8 defensive tackle against the run, which showed in the Cardinals' Week 9 win over the Cowboys. Arizona held Dallas to a season-low 92 yards rushing, and Williams was the Cardinals' highest-graded defensive player, according to PFF.

2014 Salary

Worst -- WR Larry Fitzgerald: Fitzgerald's $13 million cash salary is the Cardinals' third highest and ranks in the top five for all veteran NFL receivers. Those figures would be appropriate for an elite player, but Fitzgerald is three years removed from his last 1,000-yard season. His two touchdown receptions were exceeded by three teammates and his 784 yards were almost 100 yards fewer than Michael Floyd. The Cardinals targeted Floyd (95) and Josh Brown (104) about the same number of times as Fitzgerald (104), while paying their young duo just $2.3 million combined.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Carson Palmer tore his ACL shortly after signing a contract extension that will pay him $10.5 million in 2015 and $12.7 million in 2016. Injury guarantees would make it difficult to part ways this offseason, but the Cardinals have an ideal arrangement with a veteran backup in Drew Stanton ($3.2 million in 2015) and a developmental youngster in Logan Thomas ($510,000). Provided Palmer's recovery goes smoothly, the Cardinals are in good shape here.

Positional Needs

by Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com

Guard: The offensive line was better in 2014, allowing 28 sacks compared to 41 last season, but the guard position needs to be improved. Jonathan Cooper, Arizona's seventh overall pick in 2013, has started just two games in two seasons because of injuries. Ted Larson, Cooper's replacement most of the year, struggled to keep any of Arizona's QBs upright, allowing four sacks, 20 QB hurries and 12 hits, according to PFF. Right guard Paul Fanaika was suitable, but an upgrade is out there.

Running back: Losing Jonathan Dwyer to the non-football injury list really hurt the Cardinals on offense. Without him, Arizona lacked a bruiser who could pound it in for a first down or a touchdown from a couple of yards out. The offense finished with six rushing touchdowns this season (tied for second fewest) and none in its final seven games.

Inside linebacker: With Daryl Washington's status for 2015 uncertain and Larry Foote a free agent, the Cardinals need an athletic, tall inside linebacker who can run with tight ends and receivers and plug the gaps in the run. Kevin Minter is under contract next season, but he doesn't have the speed to go sideline to sideline or match up with receivers.

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3

Indianapolis

Colts

2014 Record: 11-5, Lost In AFC Championship Game

How close were the Colts to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

9Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Colts' 37 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • CB Vontae Davis
    • WR T.Y. Hilton
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 4
    • S Mike Adams
    • OT Anthony Castonzo
    • TE Dwayne Allen
    • QB Andrew Luck
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 27
    • RB Ahmad Bradshaw
    • C A.Q. Shipley
    • TE Jack Doyle
    • S Sergio Brown
    • G Joe Reitz
    • WR Donte Moncrief
    • S LaRon Landry
    • G Jack Mewhort
    • CB Josh Gordy
    • DE Cory Redding
    • OLB Jonathan Newsome
    • DE Ricky Jean-Francois
    • TE Coby Fleener
    • DE Zach Kerr
    • RB Trent Richardson
    • RB Dan Herron
    • CB Darius Butler
    • ILB Josh McNary
    • G Hugh Thornton
    • DT Josh Chapman
    • ILB Jerrell Freeman
    • OLB Erik Walden
    • OLB Bjoern Werner
    • ILB D'Qwell Jackson
    • DE Arthur Jones
    • C Jonotthan Harrison
    • G Lance Louis
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 4
    • OT Gosder Cherilus
    • WR Hakeem Nicks
    • WR Reggie Wayne
    • CB Greg Toler
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • CB Vontae Davis
    • WR T.Y. Hilton
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    4
    • S Mike Adams
    • OT Anthony Castonzo
    • TE Dwayne Allen
    • QB Andrew Luck
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    27
    • RB Ahmad Bradshaw
    • C A.Q. Shipley
    • TE Jack Doyle
    • S Sergio Brown
    • G Joe Reitz
    • WR Donte Moncrief
    • S LaRon Landry
    • G Jack Mewhort
    • CB Josh Gordy
    • DE Cory Redding
    • OLB Jonathan Newsome
    • DE Ricky Jean-Francois
    • TE Coby Fleener
    • DE Zach Kerr
    • RB Trent Richardson
    • RB Dan Herron
    • CB Darius Butler
    • ILB Josh McNary
    • G Hugh Thornton
    • DT Josh Chapman
    • ILB Jerrell Freeman
    • OLB Erik Walden
    • OLB Bjoern Werner
    • ILB D'Qwell Jackson
    • DE Arthur Jones
    • C Jonotthan Harrison
    • G Lance Louis
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    4
    • OT Gosder Cherilus
    • WR Hakeem Nicks
    • WR Reggie Wayne
    • CB Greg Toler
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Mike Wells, ESPN.com

Vontae Davis

CB Vontae Davis: The Colts gave Davis a four-year, $39 million contract last offseason with the expectation that he could become one of the NFL's premier cornerbacks. Davis more than delivered on his end of the deal. He had four interceptions this season, and was so good that coach Chuck Pagano said he got Richard Sherman-type treatment after the Titans didn't throw his way in Week 4. You have to go back all the way back to Week 13 of 2013 -- or more than 1,000 snaps -- against the Cincinnati Bengals to find the last time Davis gave up a touchdown pass.

T.Y. Hilton

WR T.Y. Hilton: After receiver Reggie Wayne was lost for the season with a torn ACL in 2013, Hilton served as Andrew Luck's fill-in go-to receiver. Hilton permanently took over that role this season, finishing with 82 catches for 1,345 yards and seven touchdowns. His speed and ability to line up out wide or in the slot helped him average 16.4 yards a reception, sixth in the league. One league official went so far as to say Luck and Hilton are the next Peyton Manning-Marvin Harrison duo, with the opportunity to win more Super Bowls.

Mike Adams

S Mike Adams: The Colts brought in Adams during a three-day mandatory minicamp in June because they weren't sold on Delano Howell starting opposite LaRon Landry. Adams turned out to be the secondary's vocal leader and its second-best player behind Vontae Davis. Adams led the Colts with five interceptions, and one team official said his leadership qualities were reminiscent of Antoine Bethea, whom Adams replaced at that position. "Mike is the quarterback of the secondary back there," coach Chuck Pagano said. "He does a great job as a communicator, getting guys lined up and making sure everybody is on the same page."

Andrew Luck

QB Andrew Luck: Take Luck off the Colts' roster, and they'd be lucky to win six games. So he's being majorly shortchanged in PFF's evaluation. The No. 1 overall pick in 2012, Luck has led the Colts one step further in the playoffs in each of his first three seasons. He's posted six more victories, 670 more passing yards, one more TD and eight more 300-yard passing games than Peyton Manning did in his first three years in Indy. As WR Hakeem Nicks says: "He's definitely a guy who comes around once every blue moon. He's not your average quarterback."

Donte Moncrief

WR Donte Moncrief: A third-round pick out of Ole Miss, Moncrief finished with 32 receptions for 444 yards and three touchdowns. His breakout game came against Pittsburgh in Week 8, when he had seven catches for 113 receiving yards and a touchdown. He has the same type of deep-play ability as Hilton, which makes it tough for defenses to provide help over top. Hamilton said the Colts drafted Moncrief to score touchdowns.

Trent Richardson

RB Trent Richardson: The former No. 3 overall pick was an average player before the Colts acquired him from the Browns for a first-round pick in September 2013. He's been a bad player while with the Colts. He's rushed for 977 yards in 29 games in Indy, and lost his starting job for the second time in as many seasons in 2014. Richardson -- who was eventually demoted to third-string running back and practiced on special teams -- was deactivated against the Broncos in the divisional playoffs. Despite Richardson's ongoing struggles, Colts GM Ryan Grigson said it was a no-brainer to acquire him. "When we made that trade it was a great shot in the arm," Grigson said during a radio interview with WFNI-1070 AM in Indianapolis. "We lost our starter. I felt like it was the right football move at that time. I'll never back off that thought."

Hakeem Nicks

WR Hakeem Nicks: In his inaugural season in Indy, Nicks -- a former back-to-back 1,000-yard receiver -- posted just 38 catches for 405 yards. His numbers might have been below average, but the Colts don't think he's a bad player. Pagano said Nicks' lack of production has nothing to do with his talent level; Luck's spread-it-around philosophy resulted in fewer targets for Nicks (68) than was expected at the beginning of the season.

Reggie Wayne

WR Reggie Wayne: After overcoming a torn ACL in 2013 to return to the field, Wayne battled elbow and triceps injuries this season. He still managed to play 15 games, but his production took a huge hit -- 64 catches for 779 yards and two touchdowns, his lowest figures for a near-full season since all the way back in 2003. Wayne himself admitted that he's no longer capable of outrunning a defensive back on a 70-yard catch-and-run play. As the season wore on, it became clear the Colts were grooming Moncrief to be Wayne's replacement.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Completion rate allowed

Good News: Vontae Davis has quietly become one of the NFL's best cornerbacks. He allowed a 44 percent completion rate on passes thrown into his coverage, and QBs targeting him had a passer rating of just 38.8. Both marks were league-best figures. Davis was also one of five corners who played 700-plus snaps and didn't allow a touchdown all season.

Bad News: The Colts don't have any running backs who scare opposing defenses. Since being traded to the Colts in Week 3 last season, Trent Richardson has averaged 3.1 yards per carry, the lowest of all qualified running backs. Ahmad Bradshaw scored eight touchdowns in 10 games this season, but again missed a huge chunk of time due to injuries. He's played just 13 games the past two years.

Completion rate allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- WR T.Y. Hilton: He caught 132 passes for 1,944 yards in his first two seasons with the Colts, but NFL rules require three accrued seasons before a player is eligible for a new contract. So Hilton played 2014 for $575,000 -- a salary that didn't put him in the top 120 among WRs and was a fraction of what Indy paid Hakeem Nicks -- and finished ranked sixth in both yards (1,345) and yards per catch (16.4). He'll be eligible for a contract extension this spring.

2014 Salary

Worst -- DE Art Jones: He signed a five-year contract as a free agent that paid him $10 million in 2014, but Jones missed seven games because of an ankle injury and had limited impact in the nine games he did play in. A noted run-stopper, Jones finished the season with 23 tackles, one forced fumble and a PFF rating that ranked 40th among 3-4 defensive ends in the NFL. The 49ers' Justin Smith, PFF's 11th-ranked 3-4 DE, made half of Jones' salary in 2014.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

In his third season, Andrew Luck led the NFL with 40 touchdown passes and finished third with 4,761 yards. His 63.8 QBR ranked 11th, brought down by 22 turnovers and a 61.7 completion percentage, but there are only a handful of NFL teams -- if that - that wouldn't trade their quarterback for him. Luck earned $2.4 million as part of his original rookie deal and is on the books for $3.4 million in 2015 if the Colts don't extend his contract first.

Positional Needs

by Mike Wells, ESPN.com

Running back: Daniel "Boom" Herron and Zurlon Tipton, the two players who moved ahead of Trent Richardson on the depth chart, aren't starting running backs in the NFL. They combined for just 369 yards on 88 attempts this season. Meanwhile, Ahmad Bradshaw and Vick Ballard are too injury prone to be counted on. The Colts likely won't use a high draft pick on a running back, after learning from the Richardson trade. Indy doesn't necessarily need an every-down back, but the Colts have to find someone who can help keep defenses honest.

Offensive line: The Colts are set on the left side with tackle Anthony Castonzo and guard Jack Mewhort, but the rest of the line is far less settled. Right tackle Gosder Cherilus and guard Hugh Thornton didn't progress as the team had hoped, ranking 70th and 48th in their respective position groups, according to PFF. Center is also a need; the Colts started three different players at the position in 2014.

Safety: LaRon Landry, who didn't have any passes defended or interceptions, hasn't lived up to expectations after signing a four-year, $24 million contract in 2013. After being suspended for four games for PEDs, Landry needed five weeks to earn his starting job back. Mike Adams was the Colts' second-best defensive back behind cornerback Vontae Davis, as he led the team in interceptions with five. But the 33-year-old Adams will be a free agent and the Colts don't have any other starting-caliber safeties on the roster.

close

1

New Orleans

Saints

2014 Record: 7-9, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Saints to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

9Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Saints' 35 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • QB Drew Brees
    • OLB Junior Galette
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 3
    • RB Pierre Thomas
    • TE Jimmy Graham
    • OT Zach Strief
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 22
    • WR Kenny Stills
    • DT Tyrunn Walker
    • OT Terron Armstead
    • WR Robert Meachem
    • C Tim Lelito
    • CB Patrick Robinson
    • G Ben Grubbs
    • RB Mark Ingram
    • DT Akiem Hicks
    • S Rafael Bush
    • TE Josh Hill
    • OLB Parys Haralson
    • DE Cameron Jordan
    • S Pierre Warren
    • WR Brandin Cooks
    • DT Brodrick Bunkley
    • G Jahri Evans
    • C Jonathan Goodwin
    • OLB David Hawthorne
    • DT John Jenkins
    • S Jairus Byrd
    • TE Benjamin Watson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 8
    • OT Bryce Harris
    • WR Marques Colston
    • OLB Ramon Humber
    • DT Brandon Deaderick
    • CB Keenan Lewis
    • ILB Curtis Lofton
    • CB Corey White
    • S Kenny Vaccaro
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • QB Drew Brees
    • OLB Junior Galette
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    3
    • RB Pierre Thomas
    • TE Jimmy Graham
    • OT Zach Strief
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    22
    • WR Kenny Stills
    • DT Tyrunn Walker
    • OT Terron Armstead
    • WR Robert Meachem
    • C Tim Lelito
    • CB Patrick Robinson
    • G Ben Grubbs
    • RB Mark Ingram
    • DT Akiem Hicks
    • S Rafael Bush
    • TE Josh Hill
    • OLB Parys Haralson
    • DE Cameron Jordan
    • S Pierre Warren
    • WR Brandin Cooks
    • DT Brodrick Bunkley
    • G Jahri Evans
    • C Jonathan Goodwin
    • OLB David Hawthorne
    • DT John Jenkins
    • S Jairus Byrd
    • TE Benjamin Watson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    8
    • OT Bryce Harris
    • WR Marques Colston
    • OLB Ramon Humber
    • DT Brandon Deaderick
    • CB Keenan Lewis
    • ILB Curtis Lofton
    • CB Corey White
    • S Kenny Vaccaro
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Mike Triplett, ESPN.com

Drew Brees

QB Drew Brees: There's no question Brees remains worthy of elite status, even after somewhat of a down year by his standards. He tied for the NFL lead with 4,952 yards and ranked second with a 69.2 completion percentage. Brees' biggest problem in 2014 was turnovers -- 20 in all -- many of which came in crucial situations. His pick late in the fourth quarter in Week 7, for example, helped set up the Lions' game-winning drive. But as ESPN analysts such as Trent Dilfer, Steve Young and scouting insider Matt Williamson have pointed out, the Saints' 28th-ranked scoring defense and inconsistent offense forced Brees to be "Superman" on a weekly basis. And he wasn't.

Junior Galette

OLB Junior Galette: His pass-rushing chops -- 67 total QB pressures (third-most among players at his position, per PFF) -- are what helped Galette earn an elite grade from PFF. The five-year vet also forced two safeties (both in victories against Tampa Bay). The argument against Galette having a top-tier season starts with his struggles to contain QBs in the pocket (Cam Newton and Andy Dalton, among others). And it ends with one look at the Saints' defensive stats. New Orleans finished in the bottom five in rushing defense, takeaways, third-down conversions and red zone efficiency, and in the bottom eight in pass defense and sacks (34).

Jimmy Graham

TE Jimmy Graham: He was still a Pro Bowler in 2014, but the Saints needed a lot more from their top offensive weapon. Graham battled a significant shoulder injury for most of the season, which affected his ability to dominate physically off the line and in the red zone. He had some success fighting through it with big games in the middle of the season, scoring six touchdowns over a five-game stretch from Weeks 8-12. But the 6-foot-7, 265-pounder fizzled down the stretch, with just 20 catches for 219 yards and one touchdown over the final five games. That included a career-high three dropped passes in a Week 14 loss to Carolina -- he finished with a 4.8 percent drop rate, 18th out of 24 qualified TEs -- and a controversial goal-line fumble in a Week 16 loss to Atlanta.

Marques Colston

Entire receiving corps: The Saints' offense lacked a big-play threat on the outside for much of the season. Veteran Marques Colston had a solid year -- 59 catches for 902 yards and five TDs -- but finished with just one reception of 40-plus yards and dropped 6.1 percent of his targets, the third-highest rate of his career. As Colston said, "I pride myself on trying to be part of the solution. Instead this year, I feel like I was part of the problem at times." Meanwhile, young receivers Brandin Cooks and Kenny Stills flashed big-play potential, but neither emerged as a consistent game-changer. Cooks' potential is most exciting: He ran the fastest 40-yard dash of any receiver at the 2014 combine (4.33 seconds) and the fastest 20- and 60-yard shuttles of the past decade (3.81 and 10.72 seconds). Cooks, who was used in a Percy Harvin-type role, led the Saints with 53 catches when he suffered a season-ending thumb injury in Week 10. The timing couldn't have been worse; Cooks was finally starting to hit his stride as a deep threat. Stills had two 95-plus-yard games in the three weeks after Cooks' injury, but averaged just 60 yards per game in the season's final four contests.

Jahri Evans

G Jahri Evans: Six consecutive Pro Bowl invites notwithstanding, Evans earned an average grade because of his inconsistent pass protection. PFF credited him with six sacks. That's a problem because the Saints have always counted on keeping the pocket clean up the middle, where the shorter Brees loves to step into and find passing lanes. Evans remained a solid run-blocker in 2014, especially during the first three months when the run game was really clicking (126.3 ypg through Week 13, eighth overall). But he had at least three uncharacteristically poor outings this season: Week 5 versus Tampa Bay, Week 12 versus Baltimore and Week 16 versus Atlanta, which knocked the Saints out of the playoffs. The Atlanta performance was the most perplexing of the bunch. It marked the only time in PFF's eight seasons of data in which Evans allowed two sacks in a game -- and it came against a Falcons pass rush that entered the game with the fewest sacks in the league.

Bryce Harris

OT Bryce Harris: A solid backup right tackle the previous two seasons, Harris struggled mightily in the five games he filled in for injured LT Terron Armstead. That drop-off especially hurt the Saints in their Week 14 loss to Carolina and their Week 16 loss to Atlanta, arguably New Orleans' two worst performances of the season. PFF didn't credit Harris with allowing any sacks in those games (though I had him down for one in my film review of the Carolina game). But PFF did knock Harris for a whopping seven QB hurries allowed in each contest. Harris might still have a place on the roster, but he's probably better served to stay on the right side if he doesn't develop rapidly as a left tackle this offseason.

Keenan Lewis

CB Keenan Lewis: I ranked Lewis as the team's co-MVP -- far from a bad player -- because of the way he handed the opponents' top receivers. He silenced the likes of Dez Bryant (three catches for 44 yards and a TD), Jordy Nelson (three catches for 25 yards), Alshon Jeffery (one catch for 18 yards through three quarters before a late TD versus a backup corner) and Kelvin Benjamin (four catches for 42 yards and one TD in two games). And Lewis rarely, if ever, got beat deep. Former teammate Jabari Greer went so far as to call him one of the best deep-ball cover men in the league. Lewis likely got knocked by PFF's grading system for the Saints' team-wide defensive breakdowns, as they finished 31st in yards allowed.

Curtis Lofton

ILB Curtis Lofton: By PFF's own tally, Lofton led all inside linebackers with 123 tackles, so their bad rating is a bit perplexing. A seven-year vet, Lofton's limited pass-coverage skills and league-high 22 missed tackles likely hurt his PFF grading. But the 6-foot, 241-pounder is a thumper, as evidenced by his 58 run stops (tied for fourth among ILBs, per PFF). At one point this season, defensive coordinator Rob Ryan described Lofton as "exceptional" and "dominating."

Kenny Vaccaro

S Kenny Vaccaro: This was one of the biggest letdowns of the Saints' 2014 season. Vaccaro battled missed tackles (19, according to PFF, sixth-most among safeties) and blown assignments, as he transitioned from playing hybrid safety/cornerback/linebacker as a rookie to more traditional strong safety role in 2014. Far too often Vaccaro went with instincts over assignments, and it cost him. One high-profile example: Against the 49ers in Week 10, he crashed down on TE Vernon Davis as Colin Kaepernick completed a 51-yard pass over his head to WR Michael Crabtree on a fourth-and-10 stunner. Vaccaro also lost coverage and containment on two big TD plays in a Week 14 loss to Carolina, which led to a temporary demotion. Vaccaro insisted that a blunt meeting with coach Sean Payton that week got him refocused and "changed my career." He's still a big part of New Orleans' future if the team can find the right role for him.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Accuracy rate

Good News: For all the talk of Drew Brees' decline, he proved to be the most accurate QB in the league this season. He was the only QB to crack an 80 percent accuracy rate -- which credits QBs for drops and removes throwaways and spikes from the equation. He was on point across the board too, finishing third in accuracy rate on passes 20 yards or more downfield and second when under pressure.

Bad News: The Saints' struggles on defense were best captured in their 148 missed tackles (second-most overall). ILB Curtis Lofton paced the team with 22, missing one tackle for every 7.5 attempted, 49th out of the 70 LBs who saw at least 25 percent of their team's defensive snaps. Safety Kenny Vaccaro wasn't much help either: He whiffed on one tackle for every 4.5 attempted, second-worst among safeties who played 50 percent of their team's snaps.

Accuracy rate

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- WR Kenny Stills: In his second season, Stills ranked second on the Saints in receptions (63) and first in yards (931). A fifth-rounder out of Oklahoma, he made $599,452 in 2013 and $495,000 this season. Stills -- who has emerged as Brees' go-to receiver on deep balls, catching a team-high nine passes that traveled 20 yards or more -- is locked into a $585,000 salary in 2015 before he's eligible for a contract extension.

2014 Salary

Worst -- S Jairus Byrd: The Saints signed Byrd to a premium free-agent contract that paid him $12.3 million in 2014 and guarantees him another $6 million in 2015 (plus a $2 million base salary for total compensation of $8 million). For some perspective, two of the Saints' best defenders, Cameron Jordan and Junior Gallette, made $6.3 million combined this season. It's no one's fault that Byrd suffered a knee injury that cost him 12 games in 2014, but through four weeks, he was trending poorly, especially as a run-defender, according to PFF. Byrd will have to produce a monster comeback season in 2015 to make this deal a better value.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Drew Brees remained an elite-level quarterback at age 35. (He turned 36 in January.) He finished the season tied for the NFL lead in yards (4,952) and ranked second with a 69.2 completion percentage. If the evaluation of this position was based solely on performance, it would grade as an A. But Brees' contract, which he signed in 2012, calls for a $26.4 million cap hit next season, the second-highest among all players under contract for 2015. The Saints will either need to renegotiate, pushing bigger cap hits into the future, or dismantle part of their team.

Positional Needs

by Mike Triplett, ESPN.com

Cornerback: The Saints badly need a reliable No. 2 cornerback across from Keenan Lewis. They tried rotating Patrick Robinson, Corey White, Brian Dixon and Terrence Frederick through the Nos. 2 and 3 jobs all year, but none proved to be the answer. New Orleans might have to spend decent money in free agency for someone who's ready to start immediately. The top CBs on the open market include Seattle's Byron Maxwell and San Diego's Brandon Flowers.

Linebacker: This is a top need even if the Saints' best pass-rusher, Junior Galette, doesn't wind up facing a suspension because of a January arrest. OLB Parys Haralson is a free agent, and ILB David Hawthorne, who's due $4.5 million in salary and bonuses in 2015, is a potential candidate to get cut. Even if they both return, the Saints lack a dynamic athlete who can cover a ton of space in the open field, which is probably why they allowed the most runs of 20-plus yards in the NFL this season (19).

Guard: Starters Jahri Evans, 31, and Ben Grubbs, 30, are still above average, but their salaries are huge (an average of $8.1 million and $7.2 million per year, respectively) and they've showed signs of regression. Even if they keep both Evans and Grubbs, the Saints must start developing future replacements, maybe even in Round 1 of the draft.

close

4

Atlanta

Falcons

2014 Record: 6-10, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Falcons to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

10Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Falcons' 33 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • WR Julio Jones
    • CB Desmond Trufant
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 2
    • QB Matt Ryan
    • RB Steven Jackson
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 23
    • OT Ryan Schraeder
    • G Justin Blalock
    • RB Jacquizz Rodgers
    • G Jon Asamoah
    • DE Osi Umenyiora
    • DE Jonathan Massaquoi
    • DT Jonathan Babineaux
    • S Dwight Lowery
    • DT Corey Peters
    • OLB Prince Shembo
    • WR Harry Douglas
    • DT Paul Soliai
    • DT Tyson Jackson
    • S Kemal Ishmael
    • CB Josh Wilson
    • DE Kroy Biermann
    • WR Devin Hester
    • OT Gabe Carimi
    • OLB Joplo Bartu
    • CB Robert Alford
    • S Dezmen Southward
    • S William Moore
    • C James Stone
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 6
    • CB Robert McClain
    • DE Malliciah Goodman
    • WR Roddy White
    • ILB Paul Worrilow
    • OT Jake Matthews
    • TE Levine Toilolo
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • WR Julio Jones
    • CB Desmond Trufant
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    2
    • QB Matt Ryan
    • RB Steven Jackson
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    23
    • OT Ryan Schraeder
    • G Justin Blalock
    • RB Jacquizz Rodgers
    • G Jon Asamoah
    • DE Osi Umenyiora
    • DE Jonathan Massaquoi
    • DT Jonathan Babineaux
    • S Dwight Lowery
    • DT Corey Peters
    • OLB Prince Shembo
    • WR Harry Douglas
    • DT Paul Soliai
    • DT Tyson Jackson
    • S Kemal Ishmael
    • CB Josh Wilson
    • DE Kroy Biermann
    • WR Devin Hester
    • OT Gabe Carimi
    • OLB Joplo Bartu
    • CB Robert Alford
    • S Dezmen Southward
    • S William Moore
    • C James Stone
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    6
    • CB Robert McClain
    • DE Malliciah Goodman
    • WR Roddy White
    • ILB Paul Worrilow
    • OT Jake Matthews
    • TE Levine Toilolo
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Vaughn McClure, ESPN.com

Julio Jones

WR Julio Jones: The Pro Bowler Jones wasn't fully healthy throughout the season, missing one game with an oblique strain and dealing with a nagging ankle injury. But that didn't stop him from finishing third overall with 1,593 receiving yards, including a franchise-record 259 yards at Green Bay. Jones ranked fifth among receivers with 553 yards after the catch and led the league with 31 receptions of 20-plus yards. After Cardinals CB Patrick Peterson talked trash leading up to a Week 13 matchup, Jones torched the Arizona -- and primarily Peterson -- for 189 yards and a touchdown. As veteran Cardinals receiver Larry Fitzgerald said of Jones: "He's a beast."

Desmond Trufant

CB Desmond Trufant: In just his second season, Trufant showed he could keep pace with some of the league's best WRs. He shadowed the Browns' Josh Gordon, the Ravens' Steve Smith and the Steelers' Antonio Brown, who scored 19 combined TDs in 2014, none of which came against Trufant. On the season, the 2013 first-rounder had three interceptions and 16 passes defensed, sixth in the NFL. Perhaps most impressively, Trufant left no doubt of his intent to strive for greatness when, early in the season, he tried to take the blame for the team's pathetic pass rush, saying he needed to cover better. Trufant excelled despite the lack of talent around him -- the true mark of an elite player.

Steven Jackson

RB Steven Jackson: His leadership qualities are off the charts, as was evident from his inspirations pep talks during HBO's "Hard Knocks." But the Falcons needed far more production from Jackson on the field. He averaged less than 4 yards per carry for the second consecutive season -- never a good sign for a RB in his 30s -- and finished with just 707 yards. Jackson has likely played his last football in Atlanta; the team can save $3.8 million by cutting him this offseason.

Jonathan Massaquoi

DE Jonathan Massaquoi: One of the Falcons' bigger disappointments in 2014, Massaquoi found himself in the doghouse after skipping required treatments on his injured foot. The coaches believed that prevented Massaquoi from getting back to form and producing on the practice field, which then led to his reduced role. Massaquoi has the talent to be an explosive edge presence, but he has plenty of maturing to do.

Dwight Lowery

S Dwight Lowery: The biggest concern for Lowery coming into the season was his history of concussions, but he managed to play all 16 games for the time since his 2008 rookie season. Former defensive coordinator Mike Nolan said he was pleasantly surprised with how consistently Lowery played in 2014. He ranked fourth on the team with 79 tackles, while recording two interceptions, two forced fumbles, a fumble recovery and a sack. The Falcons should make every effort to re-sign Lowery, who will be a free agent this offseason.

Roddy White

WR Roddy White: I wouldn't call White a bad player, but he did have a bad year. He finished with 80 catches for 921 yards and seven touchdowns, marking his second consecutive sub-1,000-yard season. At age 33, White -- who battled knee, hamstring and ankle issues throughout the season -- has a hard time getting separation these days. He averaged less than 12 yards per catch for the second consecutive season.

Paul Worrilow

ILB Paul Worrilow: He finished top-five in the NFL with 143 tackles, 45 more than the next-closest Falcon (Kemal Ishmael). So, I have a hard time labeling him a bad player. Undrafted out of Delaware, Worrilow was dinged by PFF for missing 21 tackles, tied for the second-most among ILBs. The Falcons, who like Worrilow's instincts and intelligence, will bring a few ILB options in next year with the intent of upgrading the position.

Jake Matthews

OT Jake Matthews: After suffering high ankle sprain in the season opener, Matthews should really get an incomplete grade. He missed just one game when he probably should have missed four or five. Playing on one leg took its toll, especially when facing speed rushers. According to PFF, Matthews allowed five QB pressures vs. both the Giants (Jason Pierre-Paul) and Ravens (Elvis Dumervil/Terrell Suggs). Compounding things this offseason, Matthews suffered a Lisfranc ligament rupture in his foot during the Falcons' season finale.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Accuracy rate on passes thrown 20-plus yards

Good News: For the fourth time in five years, Matt Ryan ranked among PFF's top five QBs. Yes, he's a legit franchise player, as evidenced by his proficiency with the deep ball. On throws of 20-plus yards, he posted a 56.5 percent accuracy rate -- which credits QBs for drops and removes throwaways and spikes from the equation. That's the highest mark since Aaron Rodgers in 2011.

Bad News: Even with Ryan's accuracy, the Falcons had just 25 catches of 25 yards or more this season, tied for 24th. So what was the problem? Drops -- lots of 'em. Ryan lost 390 yards due to dropped passes, second to only Joe Flacco.

Accuracy rate on passes thrown 20-plus yards

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- CB Desmond Trufant: In the second year of his rookie contract, Trufant earned $776,186 while turning in what PFF considered an elite, Pro Bowl-caliber season from a coverage standpoint. PFF ranked him as the sixth-best cornerback, 65 spots ahead of the Packers' Sam Shields, who made $15 million in 2014. Trufant intercepted three passes, started all 16 games for the second consecutive season and ranked second on the Falcons' defense with 1,032 snaps. The team's deep-seated problems prevented more national recognition, but that should come with time.

2014 Salary

Worst -- DT Tyson Jackson: The Falcons signed Jackson as an unrestricted free agent to shore up their run defense, but he managed just 22 tackles in 16 games and the team still allowed 118.4 rushing yards per game, No. 21 in the NFL. For $9.5 million, the Falcons did not get the impact player they hoped, and PFF graded his talent this season as average.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Matt Ryan is firmly entrenched as a top-10 quarterback. His 68.2 career QBR ranks fifth in the NFL since 2008, and for the third consecutive year, Ryan ranked in the top five in passing yards. At 29, he's just hitting his prime and is under contract at a reasonable average of $15.5 million per season through 2018. (That's after paying him $51 million over the past two seasons, of course.)

Positional Needs

by Vaughn McClure, ESPN.com

Edge rusher: The Falcons must find a way to enhance their pass rush after finishing tied for 31st with 22 sacks. The lack of pressure up front affected all parts of their defense, which ranked last vs. the pass (279.9 yards per game) and on third down (48.8 percent). Potential free-agent targets include the Giants' Jason Pierre-Paul and Redskins' Brian Orakpo. Drafting a pass-rusher high would be smart too: ESPN draft expert Todd McShay has floated the idea of the Falcons targeting Florida's Dante Fowler Jr. with the eighth overall pick.

Inside linebacker: Paul Worrilow led the team in tackles and is under contract for another year, but the Falcons aren't content with their inside linebackers. Sean Weatherspoon, who's coming off an Achilles tear, is a free agent. The Falcons will have to see if they can re-sign him at a reasonable price. Another name Atlanta should investigate is the Jets' David Harris, who will hit the open market in March.

Tight end: This was a need last offseason too, after Tony Gonzalez retired. The Falcons were hoping the 6-foot-8 Levine Toilolo could grow into their TE of the future, but he caught just 31 passes for 238 yards in 2014. It's a weak tight end draft, so the Bengals' Jermaine Gresham is a free agent worth taking a serious look at.

close

1

Minnesota

Vikings

2014 Record: 7-9, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Vikings to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

10Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Vikings' 33 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • S Harrison Smith
    • DT Sharrif Floyd
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 2
    • DE Everson Griffen
    • S Robert Blanton
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 24
    • TE Chase Ford
    • C John Sullivan
    • OLB Anthony Barr
    • CB Xavier Rhodes
    • OLB Gerald Hodges
    • CB Josh Robinson
    • G Joe Berger
    • QB Teddy Bridgewater
    • DT Tom Johnson
    • ILB Jasper Brinkley
    • CB Captain Munnerlyn
    • TE Rhett Ellison
    • OT Phil Loadholt
    • WR Greg Jennings
    • DT Linval Joseph
    • WR Jarius Wright
    • TE Kyle Rudolph
    • RB Jerick McKinnon
    • OT Michael Harris
    • WR Charles Johnson
    • WR Cordarrelle Patterson
    • G Charlie Johnson
    • DT Shamar Stephen
    • G Vladimir Ducasse
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 5
    • DE Brian Robison
    • DE Corey Wootton
    • OLB Chad Greenway
    • RB Matt Asiata
    • OT Matt Kalil
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • S Harrison Smith
    • DT Sharrif Floyd
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    2
    • DE Everson Griffen
    • S Robert Blanton
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    24
    • TE Chase Ford
    • C John Sullivan
    • OLB Anthony Barr
    • CB Xavier Rhodes
    • OLB Gerald Hodges
    • CB Josh Robinson
    • G Joe Berger
    • QB Teddy Bridgewater
    • DT Tom Johnson
    • ILB Jasper Brinkley
    • CB Captain Munnerlyn
    • TE Rhett Ellison
    • OT Phil Loadholt
    • WR Greg Jennings
    • DT Linval Joseph
    • WR Jarius Wright
    • TE Kyle Rudolph
    • RB Jerick McKinnon
    • OT Michael Harris
    • WR Charles Johnson
    • WR Cordarrelle Patterson
    • G Charlie Johnson
    • DT Shamar Stephen
    • G Vladimir Ducasse
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    5
    • DE Brian Robison
    • DE Corey Wootton
    • OLB Chad Greenway
    • RB Matt Asiata
    • OT Matt Kalil
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Ben Goessling, ESPN.com

Harrison Smith

S Harrison Smith: The Vikings believed Smith had a chance to be one of the NFL's best safeties before this season, and it's hard to argue he's not elite after his 2014 campaign. Of the 58 players who had at least three interceptions this season, Smith was the only one to add at least three sacks. Overall, his five picks ranked third in the league; Smith even showed he could line up over receivers in man coverage from time to time. With an undeniable nose of the ball (he finished with 92 combined tackles), he proved to be quite a versatile weapon for a Vikings defense that improved from 32nd to 11th in points allowed this season.

Sharrif Floyd

DT Sharrif Floyd: The striking thing about Floyd's production is how little time he needed to make it happen. He played just 51 percent of the Vikings' defensive snaps due to a knee injury, but still registered 4.5 sacks and 30 total QB pressures (tied for 13th among DTs, according to PFF). The Vikings asked Floyd to change his footwork in Mike Zimmer's system this year, taking shorter steps and playing with a more balanced stance than he was asked to in Leslie Frazier's old scheme. Floyd saw the new technique pay dividends vs. the run, ranking ninth among his fellow DTs in run-stop percentage.

Everson Griffen

DE Everson Griffen: If not for penalties, Griffen likely would have been among PFF's elite defensive ends. His 2014 highlights include 12 sacks, a forced fumble, a touchdown (via a punt block) and 30 run stops (third overall among 4-3 DEs, according to PFF). But he committed 11 penalties, nine of which were for offside or neutral-zone infractions as Griffen tried to beat his man off the ball. Still, he had an impressive season and validated the Vikings' decision to give him a five-year, $42.5-million deal back in March.

Robert Blanton

S Robert Blanton: I'll quibble a little bit with PFF's good rating of Blanton. Don't get me wrong: Blanton had his moments, especially in run support (his 105 combined tackles led the team). But he also benefited from the fact that he was targeted just 24 times all season. Blanton's mishaps in coverage led to a few big plays. Against Chicago, for example, he didn't get deep in coverage to help Josh Robinson on Brandon Marshall, which led to a 44-yard score. It's also telling that Blanton lost his starting job to Andrew Sendejo after returning from an ankle injury.

Anthony Barr

OLB Anthony Barr: A knee injury slowed Barr the second half of the season -- and eventually ended his year early -- but he showed flashes as a rookie, finishing with four sacks, two forced fumbles and three fumble recoveries. His speed as a pass rusher and his ability to blow up screen plays give him the chance to be an elite player in the future.

Xavier Rhodes

CB Xavier Rhodes: Like Bridgewater, Rhodes showed significant strides at the end of the season; he ranked as PFF's 10th-best cornerback after the Vikings' bye week. Perhaps more importantly, the Vikings' 2013 first-rounder began shadowing top receivers like Calvin Johnson, Mike Wallace and Alshon Jeffery in the final three weeks of the season, holding those wideouts to a combined 141 yards. He needs to cut down on his penalties -- he was flagged 12 times, tied for the ninth-most in the league -- but the Vikings are confident he can be a top cover corner in the future.

Teddy Bridgewater

QB Teddy Bridgewater: He finished 15th out of 39 qualifying quarterbacks in PFF's grades, but Bridgewater's play down the stretch could put him in a higher spot next year. After the Vikings' Week 10 bye, Bridgewater completed 68.3 percent of his passes for 1,598 yards, 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions, ranking as PFF's third-best QB over that span. He finished the year with the third-highest completion percentage (64.4) and seventh-highest passer rating (85.2) by a rookie in NFL history. Offensive coordinator Norv Turner did little to temper expectations, saying, "To me, he has the intangibles of [Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck or Troy Aikman]."

Brian Robison

DE Brian Robison: He finished 15th among 4-3 defensive ends with 52 total pressures according to PFF, but saw his nine sacks from 2013 get cut in half this season. And when offenses ran right against the Vikings -- in Robison's direction -- they gained 4.8 yards per carry. Vikings coaches would likely disagree with the idea Robison had a bad season, but it certainly wasn't up to the standard he'd reached in previous years. "I asked him to change his game ... for the betterment of the defense," Zimmer said. "He is a guy that I can go and talk to and ask him different questions about what his opinion is, what he thinks about and I think those kind of guys are important when you first come into a place. He's been solid."

Matt Kalil

OT Matt Kalil: The Vikings balked at PFF's criticism of Kalil all year. Back in November GM Rick Spielman said, "I know you guys love Pro Football Focus and read that, but a couple of the sacks you guys are dinging him on are not always his fault." While Kalil played better at the end of the season, there's little denying it was a poor year for him overall. He allowed 12 sacks, seven hits and 36 hurries in 2014, according to PFF. Hampered by the effects of knee surgery he had in May, Kalil said he still wasn't 100 percent at the end of the season, adding that he struggled to trust his knee would hold up during his pass sets.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Accuracy rate under pressure

Good News: If the Vikings are going to keep pace with the Packers in the NFC North, they need a quarterback. And while Teddy Bridgewater didn't have a flawless first year, he excelled when under pressure, which is rare for a rookie. Bridgewater posted the NFL's best accuracy rate -- which credits QBs for drops and removes throwaways and spikes from the equation -- while under duress.

Bad News: It's good that Bridgewater wasn't fazed by pressure: The Vikings' offensive line proved to be the NFL's least efficient pass-blocking unit in 2014, allowing 198 total QB pressures in 608 passing plays.

Accuracy rate under pressure

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- S Harrison Smith: Only two NFL players had more interceptions than Smith (five) in 2014. He defended a total of nine passes, returned one of his interceptions for a touchdown and forced three fumbles. So it's no wonder that PFF regards him as an elite player, ranking him second among all NFL safeties, behind Eric Weddle of the Chargers. Smith's pay, however, was far from elite. Still on his rookie deal, the 2012 first-rounder made $1 million in 2014, a whopping $11.3 million less than the Saints' Jairus Byrd, who played in just four games. The Vikings could extend Smith's contract after this season, or they can let him play in 2015 for the quite affordable salary of $1.4 million before having to make any further financial commitment.

2014 Salary

Worst -- TE Kyle Rudolph: Injuries limited Rudolph's production in 2014, and he finished with career lows in receptions (24), yards (231) and touchdowns (two). But the Vikings made a major financial commitment to him knowing he had an extensive injury history. The assumption was that his production would increase in coordinator Norv Turner's offense. Rudolph earned $7.5 million in 2014 and will receive another $5.1 million in 2015, and he still hasn't had so much as 500 receiving yards or 55 catches in a season. Panthers tight end Greg Olsen has easily surpassed those numbers in each of the last three seasons -- and made $2 million less than Rudolph in 2014.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Teddy Bridgewater's steady rise over the second half of the season gives the franchise reason for legitimate hope. In Weeks 13-17, Bridgewater tied Tony Romo for the highest completion percentage (72.1) in the NFL. He averaged 246 yards per game over that period, throwing eight touchdowns and five interceptions. With a full offseason to develop, and a contract that locks him into salaries under $2.2 million in each of the next three seasons, Bridgewater is the Vikings' top roster asset.

Positional Needs

by Ben Goessling, ESPN.com

Offensive line: Can the Vikings still count on him Matt Kalil to be their left tackle of the future? Even if the front office remains bullish on the former No. 4 overall pick, Minnesota should look to add a veteran backup tackle in free agency, in case Kalil struggles again. The team should also look to upgrade at left guard, where Charlie Johnson allowed five sacks. South Carolina guard A.J. Cann could be a target in the draft.

Linebacker: Even if the Vikings bring back ILB Chad Greenway on a restructured deal -- he's scheduled to count $8.8 million against their 2015 salary cap -- they figure to address this position, possibly with a young middle linebacker in the draft. ILB Jasper Brinkley will be a free agent in March, and while he held up well in run defense, he was a liability in pass coverage. The Vikings have talked about wanting the flexibility to stay in their base defense more often, and to do that, they'll need a more complete middle linebacker. Gerald Hodges -- who ran an interception back for a touchdown against the Jets and was third on the team with 30 run stops in just 516 defensive snaps -- could start at weakside linebacker if Greenway doesn't return, or take over permanently in 2016.

Secondary: The Vikings could use another big cornerback to put opposite Xavier Rhodes. CB Captain Munnerlyn struggled at times in the Vikings' system, admitting he could have done a better job adhering to Zimmer's preferred technique. If the Vikings could add another strong press cornerback, make Munnerlyn exclusively a slot player and have Josh Robinson as their fourth corner, they'd be in very good shape.

close

2

Chicago

Bears

2014 Record: 5-11, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Bears to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

10Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Bears' 34 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 4
    • DT Jeremiah Ratliff
    • TE Martellus Bennett
    • DT Stephen Paea
    • G Kyle Long
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 26
    • CB Tim Jennings
    • WR Brandon Marshall
    • WR Alshon Jeffery
    • C Brian de la Puente
    • DE Jared Allen
    • OLB Lance Briggs
    • S Ryan Mundy
    • C Roberto Garza
    • G Matt Slauson
    • DE Lamarr Houston
    • ILB Jon Bostic
    • OLB Shea McClellin
    • CB Demontre Hurst
    • RB Matt Forte
    • S Brock Vereen
    • TE Dante Rosario
    • S Chris Conte
    • DE Willie Young
    • OT Jermon Bushrod
    • ILB D.J. Williams
    • DT Ego Ferguson
    • OLB Christian Jones
    • G Michael Ola
    • WR Josh Morgan
    • WR Santonio Holmes
    • OT Jordan Mills
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 4
    • DT Will Sutton
    • QB Jay Cutler
    • WR Marquess Wilson
    • CB Kyle Fuller
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    4
    • DT Jeremiah Ratliff
    • TE Martellus Bennett
    • DT Stephen Paea
    • G Kyle Long
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    26
    • CB Tim Jennings
    • WR Brandon Marshall
    • WR Alshon Jeffery
    • C Brian de la Puente
    • DE Jared Allen
    • OLB Lance Briggs
    • S Ryan Mundy
    • C Roberto Garza
    • G Matt Slauson
    • DE Lamarr Houston
    • ILB Jon Bostic
    • OLB Shea McClellin
    • CB Demontre Hurst
    • RB Matt Forte
    • S Brock Vereen
    • TE Dante Rosario
    • S Chris Conte
    • DE Willie Young
    • OT Jermon Bushrod
    • ILB D.J. Williams
    • DT Ego Ferguson
    • OLB Christian Jones
    • G Michael Ola
    • WR Josh Morgan
    • WR Santonio Holmes
    • OT Jordan Mills
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    4
    • DT Will Sutton
    • QB Jay Cutler
    • WR Marquess Wilson
    • CB Kyle Fuller
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Michael C. Wright, ESPN.com

Kyle Long

G Kyle Long: Trending toward the elite category, Long earned his second consecutive Pro Bowl nod in 2014, which is astounding given he started just four games in college. The Bears' 2013 first-rounder played 94 percent of Chicago's offensive snaps and, according to PFF, didn't allow a single sack. Several members of the recently fired coaching staff believe Long possesses the ability to move to one of the tackle spots on a long-term basis if needed.

Brandon Marshall

WR Brandon Marshall: This season marked the first time since Marshall's 2006 rookie season that he was held under 70 catches and 1,000 yards, so Marshall himself probably wouldn't protest his average rating. He was slowed by rib and lung injuries, which ended his season with three games remaining, so don't be surprised if his numbers perk back up in 2015.

Jared Allen

DE Jared Allen: At 32, Allen failed to produce double-digit sacks for the first time since 2006. He's no longer a top-tier, every-down pass-rusher, but one defensive coach thinks Allen's run defense this season was the best it's been in his entire career. The problem? Teams don't pay $15.5 million guaranteed for defensive ends to stop the run.

Matt Forte

RB Matt Forte: Chicago's most consistent offensive player outside of Long, Forte managed a strong all-around season -- 1,846 total yards (third overall), 103 receptions (NFL record for a RB) and 10 touchdowns -- despite the Bears' refusal to commit to the rushing attack. Only two teams (Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Oakland Raiders) rushed the ball less frequently than the Bears' 355 carries.

Willie Young

DE Willie Young: A five-year vet, Young seems to be just now tapping into his potential. He finished the season with a team-high 10 sacks, thanks to his polished hand technique and an understanding of how to best use his 6-foot-4, 251-pound frame. Multiple members of the team's former defensive coaching staff believe Young has the talent to become a perennial double-digit sack producer.

Jermon Bushrod

OT Jermon Bushrod: The Bears signed Bushrod to a five-year deal worth $17.7 million guaranteed in 2013, and he's done little to prove that was a wise investment. In each of the past two seasons, he's ranked as one of PFF's 10 worst tackles in terms of total QB pressures allowed. And to make matters worse, Bushrod's PFF run-blocking grade rank regressed from 33rd last season to 72nd in 2014. That's not what you'd hope for out of your highest-paid offensive lineman.

Jay Cutler

QB Jay Cutler: By my assessment, the Bears' much-maligned QB was merely average in 2014. He posted career highs in completion percentage (66.0, eighth overall in 2014) and touchdowns (28, tied for 10th) while throwing for more yards than Tony Romo and Russell Wilson. Cutler's league-high 24 turnovers cannot be ignored, but if you view his season independent of his $126.7 million contract, he was a middle-of-the-pack QB.

Kyle Fuller

CB Kyle Fuller: The Bears' 2014 first-round pick was thrown into action after Charles Tillman went down with a season-ending triceps injury in Week 2 versus the San Francisco 49ers. Fuller pounced on the opportunity, intercepting two passes against the 49ers as the Bears rallied for an eight-point victory. The Virginia Tech product finished the season as the only player to intercept three passes and force three fumbles. Fuller's bad grade is the product of a wobbly four-game stretch from Week 13 to Week 16, during which he allowed QBs to complete 30 of 41 passes for a league-high 419 yards and two TDs, according to PFF. Chalk those struggles up to typical rookie CB growing pains; Fuller has the skills to one day be a good/elite corner.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Sacks allowed

Good News: No one can blame the Bears' offensive struggles on second-year guard Kyle Long. He was one of three players at his position who started 15-plus games and didn't give up a single sack. In fact, he allowed his QB to get hit on just two occasions. Overall, Long rated as PFF's sixth-best pass-blocking guard.

Bad News: In 2013, Jay Cutler's 46 percent accuracy rate on throws of 20 yards or more ranked fifth among starting quarterbacks. (Accuracy rate credits QBs for drops and removes throwaways and spikes from the equation.) This season, that dropped to 33 percent, 21st among QBs.

Sacks allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- DT Stephen Paea: He started 16 games for the first time in his career in 2014, amassing 33 tackles and six sacks (both career highs). In the final year of his rookie contract, Paea earned a salary of $877,623. To put that in perspective, Washington Redskins DT Jason Hatcher earned $10 million for 5.5 sacks this season, and the Bears had 14 defenders who earned more than $1 million. Chicago would be wise to re-sign Paea and then build their interior defense around him.

2014 Salary

Worst -- DE Lamarr Houston: Quarterback Jay Cutler's price tag and performance are well known, but at least the Bears got 15 games out of him. Meanwhile, Houston, Chicago's highest-paid defender in 2014 ($9 million), played just eight games, accumulating 11 tackles and one sack -- after which he tore his ACL while celebrating. (Fellow Bears DE Willie Young made $4 million for 10 sacks in 2014.) Houston was advertised as a run-stopper, but the Bears' run defense ranked 20th in the NFL before his injury.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Jay Cutler was the NFL's highest-paid player in 2014, earning $22.5 million for a disastrous 24-turnover season that included a one-game benching and the firing of the coach (Marc Trestman) hired to elevate his career. Cutler is guaranteed $15.5 million for 2014, meaning the Bears will take a significant financial hit if they release him. (A trade could mitigate the impact.) The mess is compounded by the fact that there are no viable replacements on the roster.

Positional Needs

by Michael C. Wright, ESPN.com

Safety: Chris Conte played on just 44 percent of Chicago's defensive snaps in 2014, and his injury history makes it unlikely the Bears will re-sign him. Ryan Mundy -- who finished the season with a team-high 103 tackles and a career-high four picks -- is a serviceable starter. But the rest of the group (Danny McCray, Brock Vereen and Anthony Walters) is primarily suited to serve as role players.

Cornerback: Despite playing in all 16 games, Tim Jennings, 31, posted zero interceptions for the first time since 2007. After signing a contract worth $11.8 million guaranteed last offseason, Jennings isn't going anywhere but is perhaps better suited for the nickel corner role. The Bears aren't likely to bring back 33-year-old free-agent-to-be Charles Tillman, so they could use an experienced corner to play opposite Kyle Fuller.

Offensive line: The Bears would be wise to re-sign center Brian de la Puente and groom him to be the heir apparent to Roberto Garza, who has one year left on his deal. Jordan Mills could use some competition at right tackle. Too often this season, the offense was forced to help out Mills with a tight end and/or running back, which led to predictability in the offense. The Bears are likely stuck with LT Jermon Bushrod's hefty contract for at least another season.

close

4

St. Louis

Rams

2014 Record: 6-10, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Rams to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

10Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Rams' 32 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • DT Aaron Donald
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 2
    • DE Robert Quinn
    • DE William Hayes
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 24
    • TE Jared Cook
    • WR Stedman Bailey
    • CB E.J. Gaines
    • WR Kenny Britt
    • S T.J. McDonald
    • FB Cory Harkey
    • S Rodney McLeod
    • OT Jake Long
    • G Rodger Saffold
    • DT Michael Brockers
    • DT Kendall Langford
    • WR Brian Quick
    • CB Janoris Jenkins
    • CB Trumaine Johnson
    • TE Lance Kendricks
    • OT Joe Barksdale
    • CB Lamarcus Joyner
    • RB Benny Cunningham
    • OLB Alec Ogletree
    • QB Shaun Hill
    • DE Eugene Sims
    • RB Tre Mason
    • ILB James Laurinaitis
    • QB Austin Davis
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 5
    • WR Tavon Austin
    • OLB Jo-Lonn Dunbar
    • OT Greg Robinson
    • G Davin Joseph
    • C Scott Wells
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • DT Aaron Donald
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    2
    • DE Robert Quinn
    • DE William Hayes
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    24
    • TE Jared Cook
    • WR Stedman Bailey
    • CB E.J. Gaines
    • WR Kenny Britt
    • S T.J. McDonald
    • FB Cory Harkey
    • S Rodney McLeod
    • OT Jake Long
    • G Rodger Saffold
    • DT Michael Brockers
    • DT Kendall Langford
    • WR Brian Quick
    • CB Janoris Jenkins
    • CB Trumaine Johnson
    • TE Lance Kendricks
    • OT Joe Barksdale
    • CB Lamarcus Joyner
    • RB Benny Cunningham
    • OLB Alec Ogletree
    • QB Shaun Hill
    • DE Eugene Sims
    • RB Tre Mason
    • ILB James Laurinaitis
    • QB Austin Davis
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    5
    • WR Tavon Austin
    • OLB Jo-Lonn Dunbar
    • OT Greg Robinson
    • G Davin Joseph
    • C Scott Wells
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Nick Wagoner, ESPN.com

Aaron Donald

DT Aaron Donald: It might seem hard to believe that a rookie defensive tackle qualifies as elite, but the people who drafted Donald aren't at all surprised. In fact, Rams coach Jeff Fisher and now former offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer went so far as to declare Donald a possible Pro Bowler right away and even touted him as a Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate back in OTAs. Donald delivered on the hype. He finished with nine sacks and 18 tackles for loss. And perhaps more importantly, he reinvigorated the Rams' defense. Without Donald in the starting lineup, the Rams allowed 152.5 rushing yards per game and averaged a sack on less than one percent of dropbacks. After he entered the starting lineup, those numbers underwent an incredible transformation: 96.3 rushing yards per game allowed and an eight percent sack rate.

Robert Quinn

DE Robert Quinn: He didn't quite replicate his stellar 2013 season, but in my estimation, Quinn should still be considered an elite player. Forget about his sack totals dipping from 19 to 10.5; Quinn was one of the most active defensive ends in the league. He ranked first among DEs in forced fumbles (five), and fourth in disrupted dropback percentage (2.4) and disrupted dropbacks (14.5). And he did it all while battling constant double- and triple-teams, which were the result of his 2013 breakout season and fellow DE Chris Long missing most of the season with an ankle injury.

William Hayes

DE William Hayes: With Long out, Hayes stepped into the starting role opposite Quinn and was exposed a bit when asked to up his snap count. Hayes played 33-plus snaps in five games, and didn't register a sack or a disrupted dropback in any of them. All four of his sacks and his lone forced fumble came in games when he was a part-time player. Teammates like Long praise Hayes' brute strength, which he uses effectively when setting the edge and helping against the run. But when he's forced to play more than usual, Hayes lacks burst and proves to be an inconsistent pass-rusher. Make no mistake, Hayes is a solid piece; it's just that he's at his best when used as a rotational player who can play anywhere along the line.

T.J. McDonald

S T.J. McDonald: Fisher and defensive coordinator Gregg Williams believe McDonald was the team's most improved player in 2014, and it's hard to argue with them. So why is he rated as average here? Much of that improvement occurred midway through the season as he gained a better understanding of Williams' defense. Specifically, Williams said McDonald began diagnosing plays quicker and was able to react rather than think so much. It showed: Both of his sacks, his lone fumble recovery and 32 of his 47 stops came after Week 8. He still needs to improve in coverage, but his work in the box makes him a focal point of the defense moving forward.

Tavon Austin

WR Tavon Austin: The eighth overall pick in 2013, Austin was held under 600 total yards for the second consecutive season. There's plenty of blame to go around: Fisher and Schottenheimer both admitted they could've done more to get Austin the ball in space, while Austin compared learning the offense to trying to comprehend Spanish. Still, I tend to disagree with the assertion that Austin was a bad player; he made his impact felt on special teams, ranking third in punt return yards (391) and fifth in yards-per-return average (11.2). The Rams' next coordinator must find a way to highlight Austin's explosiveness on offense.

Greg Robinson

OT Greg Robinson: The Rams knew full well that Robinson, their No. 2 overall pick in 2014, would take some time to develop after playing in Auburn's gimmick-driven, run-heavy offense. So it was no surprise when Robinson's failed pass-block attempts often resulted in clutching and grabbing rather than blocking. That led to 11 penalties (tied for fourth most in the NFL), eight of which were either hands to the face or holding. (And remember: He wasn't named a starter until Week 6, playing a total of nine snaps in the Rams' first four games.) The season wasn't a total loss, though. Robinson saved his two best performances for a few feisty defensive lines -- San Francisco (Week 6) and Arizona (Week 15). Fisher has been adamant that Robinson remains the Rams' left tackle of the future.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Overall PFF grade

Good News: Aaron Donald was arguably the NFL's best defensive tackle ... as a rookie. So, yeah, that qualifies as pretty good news. Donald starred against both the run and pass, ranking fifth among DTs with 44 total pressures -- including nine sacks -- and third in defensive stops (36). He was the Rams' best player by a wide margin.

Bad News: Tre Mason had his moments -- that 89-yard TD run vs. Oakland showed some impressive speed -- but the running back position was largely a disappointment for the Rams in 2014. Zac Stacy, who came into the season with so much promise after a breakout 2013 season, ran for 298 yards, while forcing just seven missed tackles and fumbling twice. And a few big plays notwithstanding, Mason proved far too easy to bring down; his 35.5 elusive rating ranked 22nd out of 42 qualified RBs.

Overall PFF grade

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- DT Aaron Donald: Interior disruption is one of the NFL's most valued commodities, and thanks to Donald's rookie deal, the Rams paid PFF's No. 1 defensive tackle $6.1 million in 2014 -- a fraction of what the Bucs shelled out for Gerald McCoy, PFF's No. 2 DT who made $20.3 million. For the next two seasons, Donald is locked into salaries of $880,750 and $1.342 million before he's eligible for a contract extension.

2014 Salary

Worst -- QB Sam Bradford: Bradford -- the NFL's last No. 1 overall pick under the previous rookie salary structure -- earned a total of $23 million for seven starts over the past two seasons. The two ACL injuries aren't his fault, but the contract forced the Rams to devote $17.6 million in cap space to him in 2014 alone. Overall, Bradford has earned $65.1 million in his five-year career, compared to $16.5 million for Cam Newton, who was drafted No. 1 overall one year later.

2014 Salary

Career Earnings

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Sam Bradford has started 16 games in only two of his five NFL seasons, and consecutive ACL injuries have put the Rams in position to consider alternatives. When healthy, Bradford is a decent decision-maker and leader. But his 6.3 yards-per-attempt average ranked last among all qualified quarterbacks over the previous five seasons. The Rams have no possible long-term heirs on their roster.

Positional Needs

by Nick Wagoner, ESPN.com

Quarterback: The Rams passed on an opportunity to find a young quarterback to develop last year, opting instead to bet on Sam Bradford's return to health. It's a miss that general manager Les Snead says he doesn't regret. "I never do hindsight," Snead said. Now, the Rams find themselves in the precarious position of needing QB help, without the extra picks to move up in the draft. They intend to bring Bradford back at a reduced rate and add someone from outside the building, but there isn't an obvious solution. They'll need a healthy dose of good fortune -- 16 games from Bradford would be a good start. The Rams saw in 2014 what happens when everything goes wrong at the QB position: Austin Davis (37.6 QBR, 30th) and Shaun Hill (38.1 QBR, 29th) accounted for an astonishing eight touchdowns ... for the defense.

Guard: Rodger Saffold played all 16 games for the first time since 2010, so he should be well positioned to hold down one spot in 2015. Given his injury history, though, the Rams would be wise to have a capable backup waiting in the wings. The other starting slot is unoccupied, with the mostly ineffective Davin Joseph becoming a free agent. There's been discussion of bringing injured tackle Jake Long back and moving him to guard, but as with Bradford, it's hard to count on a player coming off two ACL injuries.

Center: For the first time since signing with the Rams in 2012, Scott Wells played all 16 games. But that wasn't necessarily a good thing: He ranked dead last among centers according to PFF, as he played through an elbow injury. Wells has a year left on his deal, and St. Louis can save $4 million in cap money by cutting him. The Rams have Barrett Jones and recovering rookie Demetrius Rhaney on the roster -- and Tim Barnes is a restricted free agent -- but none of the three is a proven commodity.

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3

Oakland

Raiders

2014 Record: 3-13, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Raiders to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

11Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Raiders' 31 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 1
    • OLB Khalil Mack
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 1
    • OT Donald Penn
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 19
    • DE Justin Tuck
    • G Gabe Jackson
    • WR Brice Butler
    • CB T.J. Carrie
    • C Stefen Wisniewski
    • DE C.J. Wilson
    • CB D.J. Hayden
    • RB Latavius Murray
    • CB Carlos Rogers
    • DT Pat Sims
    • DT Justin Ellis
    • DT Antonio D. Smith
    • WR Kenbrell Thompkins
    • CB Tarell Brown
    • DE Benson Mayowa
    • OLB Sio Moore
    • S Charles Woodson
    • DE Lamarr Woodley
    • G Austin Howard
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 10
    • WR James Jones
    • WR Andre Holmes
    • OT Khalif Barnes
    • OT Menelik Watson
    • S Brandian Ross
    • RB Darren McFadden
    • FB Marcel Reece
    • QB Derek Carr
    • TE Mychal Rivera
    • ILB Miles Burris
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    1
    • OLB Khalil Mack
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    1
    • OT Donald Penn
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    19
    • DE Justin Tuck
    • G Gabe Jackson
    • WR Brice Butler
    • CB T.J. Carrie
    • C Stefen Wisniewski
    • DE C.J. Wilson
    • CB D.J. Hayden
    • RB Latavius Murray
    • CB Carlos Rogers
    • DT Pat Sims
    • DT Justin Ellis
    • DT Antonio D. Smith
    • WR Kenbrell Thompkins
    • CB Tarell Brown
    • DE Benson Mayowa
    • OLB Sio Moore
    • S Charles Woodson
    • DE Lamarr Woodley
    • G Austin Howard
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    10
    • WR James Jones
    • WR Andre Holmes
    • OT Khalif Barnes
    • OT Menelik Watson
    • S Brandian Ross
    • RB Darren McFadden
    • FB Marcel Reece
    • QB Derek Carr
    • TE Mychal Rivera
    • ILB Miles Burris
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Bill Williamson, ESPN.com

Khalil Mack

OLB Khalil Mack: He was so good as a rookie that several scouts told me Mack would soon be the NFL's most complete linebacker. The fifth overall pick in 2014, Mack proved to be an anomaly in every sense of the word. He was a three-down linebacker out of the gate, playing 89 percent of the Raiders' defensive snaps in 2014. And he was the rare rookie pass-rush specialist who actually played better against the run. Only J.J. Watt had more tackles for loss versus the run than Mack. If all goes to plan, Mack will anchor the Raiders' defense for the next decade-plus.

Donald Penn

OT Donald Penn: A free-agent acquisition last March, Penn graded out as the Raiders' best offensive player, according to PFF. Penn -- who was a big reason Oakland allowed 28 sacks (tied for sixth-fewest in the NFL) -- more than made good on his two-year, $9.6 million contract. PFF ranked him as the fifth-best pass-blocking tackle in the NFL.

Latavius Murray

RB Latavius Murray: After taking over the feature-back duties in Week 12, Murray racked up 478 total yards and two touchdowns in his final five games of 2014. His 90-yard touchdown against the Chiefs fueled the Raiders' first win of the season. Murray, 24, is an important building block for an Oakland offense that ranked second-to-last in points.

Charles Woodson

S Charles Woodson: It was easy to forget Woodson is 38 when watching him play this season. He had his best game of 2014 against the Patriots in Week 3, registering two pass breakups and some key stops in the run game. And his first-half interception versus the Bills in Week 16 helped the Raiders capture their third win of the season. With four interceptions and a career-high 112 tackles, Woodson gets my Raiders MVP vote.

LaMarr Woodley

DE LaMarr Woodley: With just five tackles in six games, it's hard to justify Woodley's average rating. Before he went on season-ending IR with a biceps injury in Week 7, the Raiders ranked dead last on third down. From Week 8 on, they improved to 14th. There's little chance Woodley will be back next season; Oakland can save $5.2 million against the cap by cutting him.

Darren McFadden

RB Darren McFadden: Here's a crazy stat: McFadden hasn't averaged above 3.5 yards per carry since 2011, and his 3.34 ypc ranked 44th out of 45 qualified running backs over that span. With just one run of 20-plus yards this season, McFadden can no longer be considered a starting-quality player. Perhaps the Raiders will re-sign him to another cheap, one-year deal to be Murray's backup, but I get the sense McFadden may be ready to move on as he tries to stay relevant.

Derek Carr

QB Derek Carr: The numbers weren't always stellar -- he averaged 5.5 yards per attempt, last in the NFL by a wide margin -- but Carr carried himself like an NFL veteran. Left tackle Donald Penn said he was sold on Carr after the rookie talked to the team in the locker room following a Week 2 loss to Houston. For the first time in a long time, Raiders players and management feel like they have their QB of the future. The numbers -- and wins -- will come.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

PFF grade vs. run

Good News: The Raiders have struck gold with Khalil Mack, whose PFF grade against the run (+46.9) was more than double that of the next best linebacker (Von Miller, +22.0). Mack didn't quite meet expectations on the pass rushing front, but he still finished the season eighth with 52 total QB pressures.

Bad News: The biggest difference between Derek Carr and fellow rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater: Carr didn't improve as the season went on. In fact, Carr had two of his worst games in the final three weeks, as he averaged just 4.1 yards per attempt in Weeks 15 and 17 versus the Chiefs and Broncos, respectively.

PFF grade vs. run

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- OLB Khalil Mack: By far the Raiders' best player in 2014, Mack is locked into his contract for at least two more years, per NFL rules. As Oakland's No. 5 overall pick in 2014, Mack received an $11.9 million signing bonus and made $12.3 million total in 2014. When it's all said and done, his contract will pay him an average of $4.7 million from 2014-17. That's a valuable arrangement for a player whom PFF rated as the best 4-3 OLB in the NFL this season. Broncos stud pass-rusher Von Miller, PFF's second-rated 4-3 OLB, will make $9.8 million in 2015.

Salary

Worst -- QB Matt Schaub: In his first season in Oakland, Schaub made $8 million -- a total that would have been below market value for a starter but was far too much for a backup so off his game that he was genuinely beaten out by rookie Derek Carr in training camp. The Vikings paid fringe-starter Matt Cassel $5.8 million for a similar arrangement. Of Schaub's 13 dropbacks in 2014, he took three sacks, threw two interceptions and fumbled three times, losing one of them. He's signed for $5.5 million in 2015 but might be cut loose; the Raiders owe him no more guaranteed money.

Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

The good news is that Derek Carr, drafted No. 36 overall in 2014, earned the job in training camp, started all 16 games and didn't get nearly as beat up as feared. He took 24 sacks and committed 16 turnovers, neither of which was close to NFL highs. The bad news is his performance wasn't indicative of a player headed toward elite starts. His 38.4 QBR ranked 26th among eligible quarterbacks, and he ranked 38th among the 39 passers rated by PFF.

Positional Needs

by Bill Williamson, ESPN.com

Receiver: Derek Carr needs help. There wasn't a No. 1 receiver on the Raiders' 2014 roster. Heck, there probably wasn't a No. 2 WR, either. James Jones was the only Oakland wideout with more than 47 catches and four touchdowns. Expect the Raiders to look long and hard at Alabama's Amari Cooper with the No. 4 overall pick.

Defensive line: With loads of cap room -- they could have upward of $70 million available -- there's no excuse not to sign another stud front seven player to pair with linebacker Khalil Mack. Oakland had just 22 sacks in 2014, tied for second-fewest in the NFL. Free-agent-to-be Ndamukong Suh would give the defensive front some much-needed swagger.

Secondary: Young cornerbacks D.J. Hayden, T.J. Carrie and Keith McGill all got quality playing time in 2014 and should compete for increased roles next season. But the Raiders still don't have a surefire lockdown corner, as evidenced by their middling pass defense (17th in yards per game allowed). It's a healthy free-agent cornerback market -- Darrelle Revis, Brandon Flowers, Byron Maxwell -- and the Raiders have the cap space to be major players in March.

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2

Tampa Bay

Bucs

2014 Record: 2-14, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Bucs to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

11Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Bucs' 35 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 2
    • DT Gerald McCoy
    • CB Alterraun Verner
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 1
    • WR Mike Evans
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 22
    • OLB Lavonte David
    • OT Demar Dotson
    • G Logan Mankins
    • WR Vincent Jackson
    • S Bradley McDougald
    • OLB Danny Lansanah
    • C Evan Dietrich-Smith
    • QB Mike Glennon
    • DT Clinton McDonald
    • S Major Wright
    • DE William Gholston
    • DE Jacquies Smith
    • TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins
    • DT Da'Quan Bowers
    • TE Luke Stocker
    • S Mark Barron
    • ILB Mason Foster
    • G Patrick Omameh
    • OT Anthony Collins
    • DE Larry English
    • TE Brandon Myers
    • CB Leonard Johnson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 10
    • RB Bobby Rainey
    • ILB Dane Fletcher
    • RB Doug Martin
    • CB Johnthan Banks
    • QB Josh McCown
    • DE Michael D. Johnson
    • OT Oniel Cousins
    • WR Louis Murphy
    • DT Akeem Spence
    • S Dashon Goldson
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    2
    • DT Gerald McCoy
    • CB Alterraun Verner
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    1
    • WR Mike Evans
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    22
    • OLB Lavonte David
    • OT Demar Dotson
    • G Logan Mankins
    • WR Vincent Jackson
    • S Bradley McDougald
    • OLB Danny Lansanah
    • C Evan Dietrich-Smith
    • QB Mike Glennon
    • DT Clinton McDonald
    • S Major Wright
    • DE William Gholston
    • DE Jacquies Smith
    • TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins
    • DT Da'Quan Bowers
    • TE Luke Stocker
    • S Mark Barron
    • ILB Mason Foster
    • G Patrick Omameh
    • OT Anthony Collins
    • DE Larry English
    • TE Brandon Myers
    • CB Leonard Johnson
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    10
    • RB Bobby Rainey
    • ILB Dane Fletcher
    • RB Doug Martin
    • CB Johnthan Banks
    • QB Josh McCown
    • DE Michael D. Johnson
    • OT Oniel Cousins
    • WR Louis Murphy
    • DT Akeem Spence
    • S Dashon Goldson
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Pat Yasinskas, ESPN.com

Gerald McCoy

DT Gerald McCoy: He's the team's unquestioned best player and, according to coach Lovie Smith, "the best defensive tackle in the NFL.'' Despite missing almost four full games due to a sprained knee, McCoy finished 2014 with 8.5 sacks, tied for third-most among DTs. He also showed he wasn't afraid to take a stand publically as the Bucs' losses continued to mount, saying, "I don't think anybody is upset enough with losing." In McCoy, the coaching staff believes it has a Warren Sapp-type building block -- both in terms of skill and leadership -- as the team tries to reverse its downward trend.

Alterraun Verner

CB Alterraun Verner: He had a nice first season in Tampa Bay, but Verner wasn't flawless in coverage, finishing with two just interceptions and nine passes defensed. A member of the coaching staff said Verner dropped several other potential picks. Verner's elite rating here was likely inflated by his play vs. the run, which ranked No. 1 overall among cornerbacks according to PFF. But Tampa signed Verner to play the role of shut-down corner, and as the season wore on, it was Johnthan Banks -- not Verner -- covering the offense's top receiver.

Mike Evans

WR Mike Evans: The seventh overall pick proved worthy of the hype, posting 68 catches for 1,051 yards and 12 touchdowns. Those numbers could've been even better if Evans didn't hit the rookie wall. In Week 11, Evans became the youngest player in NFL history to eclipse 200 receiving yards in a game, but he ran out of gas down the stretch, gaining 257 yards in his final six games. Evans should be reinvigorated by the hire of new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter, who helped helped Julio Jones realize his full potential in Atlanta.

Lavonte David

OLB Lavonte David: The Bucs view David as someone who could end up being another Derrick Brooks, so his average rating here is a bit perplexing. A true every-down linebacker when healthy, David recorded three consecutive games with 10 solo tackles. It's no wonder, then, that throughout the season, Smith frequently called David the best outside linebacker in football.

Anthony Collins

OT Anthony Collins: The Bucs signed Collins to a five-year contract worth $15 million guaranteed in March, and the offensive tackle did little to make Tampa feel good about its investment. One team official said Collins' talent is unquestioned, but he didn't show the necessary work ethic to be successful. He ended up getting benched in the Bucs' final four games. I wouldn't be surprised to see him cut this offseason.

Doug Martin

RB Doug Martin: Two years ago, I would have ranked Martin in the good category, but he got what he deserved this year. Behind a bad offensive line, Martin averaged just 3.7 yards per carry (36th out of 46 qualified RBs) in an injury-filled season. Martin's days as the starter are likely over; Smith and GM Jason Licht are very high on their third-round draftee Charles Sims. Martin could be used as trade bait in the offseason.

Johnthan Banks

CB Johnthan Banks: After stumbling out of the gate, Banks compiled four interceptions in the final 11 games. His pick-six vs. the Redskins in Week 11 helped the Bucs win their second game of the year. Here's the major reason Banks is underrated by PFF: The coaching staff trusted its second-year player enough to stick him on the opposing team's best receiver as the season wore on. That trust shows, if nothing else, that the Bucs are expecting big things from Banks.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Run-stop percentage

Good News: In his four previous NFL seasons, Alterraun Verner had never ranked above 25th among CBs vs. the run. So, it had to be a pleasant surprise for Tampa when Verner ranked as PFF's best CB in terms of run-stop percentage (4.2) and run stops (15) this season. In total, Verner missed just two tackles all year vs. the run.

Bad News: In March, Tampa signed Josh McCown after a successful run in Chicago in 2013, but he struggled this season as a Buc. His accuracy percentage -- which credits QBs for drops and removes throwaways and spikes from the equation -- ranked third-worst among QBs. The Bucs needs to address the QB position in earnest this offseason.

Run-stop percentage

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- WR Mike Evans: The Texas A&M product finished second among NFL rookies with 1,051 receiving yards and tied for first with 12 touchdown receptions in an offense that ranked 25th in passing yards and 29th in points scored. Evans earned a hefty $9.4 million as the No. 7 overall pick of the draft, but he's locked into salaries of $1.1 million next season and $1.8 million in 2016. That brings Evans' average annual earnings for his contract to $3.7 million. The Chiefs' Dwayne Bowe -- who had 754 yards and no touchdowns this season -- has a deal that is committed to pay him $11.2 million per year.

Average Annual Earnings, Current Contract

Worst -- DE Michael Johnson: The Bucs paid Johnson $9 million in 2014, and he gave them four sacks in return. For some context, the Ravens' Elvis Dumervil earned $4.5 million for 17 sacks this season. Johnson -- who is now two years removed from his only season of double-digit sacks -- ranked as PFF's seventh-worst 4-3 DE in 2014. The Bucs still owe Johnson at least $4 million guaranteed next season. That number balloons to $9 million if he's still on the roster by the third day of the league year.

Average Annual Earnings, Current Contract

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

It's difficult to suggest that the Bucs have their long-term answer on the roster. Veteran Josh McCown fell short even in a "bridge role" in 2014, committing 18 turnovers in 11 starts and finishing 31st out of 33 qualified QBs with a 35.7 QBR. Backup Mike Glennon was only a little better, and neither he nor McCown could complete as much as 58 percent of their passes. If coach Lovie Smith is going to succeed in Tampa, he'll need to find a better option at quarterback.

Positional Needs

by Pat Yasinskas, ESPN.com

Offensive line: The Bucs overhauled their offensive line last offseason, adding four new starters, but it made little difference as they finished 29th in the league in both rushing (113 ypg) and sacks (52). Look for Tampa to be in the market for a new left tackle this offseason; Anthony Collins, their big-ticket free agent in 2014, is unlikely to return. The Bucs are counting on guard Logan Mankins and center Evan Dietrich-Smith to play better next season and solidify the interior of the line.

Quarterback: It became painfully clear in 2014 that neither Josh McCown nor Mike Glennon was capable of leading a coherent offense. The Bucs hold the No. 1 overall pick in the draft, and it'll be a surprise if they don't use it to draft either Oregon's Marcus Mariota or Florida State's Jameis Winston.

Middle linebacker: The Bucs are set on the outside with Lavonte David and Danny Lansanah, but they will likely be looking to move on from Mason Foster. The coaches aren't sold that he has coverage skills necessary to play middle linebacker in the Tampa 2 scheme.

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1

Tennessee

Titans

2014 Record: 2-14, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Titans to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

11Above-Average Players Away
Lagging

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Titans' 35 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 3
    • OLB Derrick Morgan
    • DE Jurrell Casey
    • TE Delanie Walker
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 23
    • G Chance Warmack
    • OT Michael Roos
    • ILB Avery Williamson
    • OT Taylor Lewan
    • DE Ropati Pitoitua
    • S Bernard Pollard
    • CB Marqueston Huff
    • QB Charlie Whitehurst
    • DE Karl Klug
    • RB Bishop Sankey
    • DT Al Woods
    • CB Jason McCourty
    • WR Kendall Wright
    • G Andy Levitre
    • DE Mike Martin
    • QB Zach Mettenberger
    • S Daimion Stafford
    • C Chris Spencer
    • DT Sammie Hill
    • ILB Wesley Woodyard
    • WR Nate Washington
    • WR Derek Hagan
    • C Brian Schwenke
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 9
    • WR Justin Hunter
    • QB Jake Locker
    • OLB Shaun Phillips
    • CB Coty Sensabaugh
    • OT Michael Oher
    • OLB Kamerion Wimbley
    • S George Wilson
    • CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson
    • S Michael Griffin
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    3
    • OLB Derrick Morgan
    • DE Jurrell Casey
    • TE Delanie Walker
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    23
    • G Chance Warmack
    • OT Michael Roos
    • ILB Avery Williamson
    • OT Taylor Lewan
    • DE Ropati Pitoitua
    • S Bernard Pollard
    • CB Marqueston Huff
    • QB Charlie Whitehurst
    • DE Karl Klug
    • RB Bishop Sankey
    • DT Al Woods
    • CB Jason McCourty
    • WR Kendall Wright
    • G Andy Levitre
    • DE Mike Martin
    • QB Zach Mettenberger
    • S Daimion Stafford
    • C Chris Spencer
    • DT Sammie Hill
    • ILB Wesley Woodyard
    • WR Nate Washington
    • WR Derek Hagan
    • C Brian Schwenke
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    9
    • WR Justin Hunter
    • QB Jake Locker
    • OLB Shaun Phillips
    • CB Coty Sensabaugh
    • OT Michael Oher
    • OLB Kamerion Wimbley
    • S George Wilson
    • CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson
    • S Michael Griffin
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Paul Kuharsky, ESPN.com

Jurrell Casey

DE Jurrell Casey: The Titans took a chance by giving Casey a four-year, $36 million extension before he took a meaningful snap in their new 3-4. He made his bosses look smart by proving he can be good in any system. At 6-foot-1, 305-pounds, Casey played 407 of his 872 snaps at right end, 320 at left end and the rest on the interior or at linebacker -- yes, linebacker. All the moving around didn't stop him from posting the highest solo tackle total of his career (68). Casey has the makings of an elite player if the Titans can add some better talent around him.

Delanie Walker

TE Delanie Walker: The lone bright spot in the Titans' grounded passing attack, Walker has the skillset to be a cornerstone of this offense. He benefited from a coaching staff that included two former NFL tight ends (Ken Whisenhunt and Mike Mularkey) and an offensive coordinator (Jason Michael) who had worked with all-time great Antonio Gates in San Diego. So it's no wonder that Walker set a franchise record for receiving yards by a tight end (890) in 2014 and ranked second among all TEs with a 14.1 yards-per-catch average.

Chance Warmack

G Chance Warmack: A season and a half into his NFL career, Warmack had the look of an underachiever. The No. 10 pick in the 2013 draft finished his rookie season ranked as PFF's 44th guard out of 71 qualifiers, and through Week 10 this year, it actually got worse (62nd out of 78 guards). But get this: Down the stretch, Warmack ranked as PFF's fourth-best guard. So what changed? Warmack finally fulfilled his potential as an elite run-blocker. The Titans gained nearly a full yard per carry more when running toward right guard in Weeks 11-17 than in the previous nine games.

Sammie Hill

DT Sammie Hill: The Titans were the league's second-worst run defense in 2014, with 137.2 yards per game allowed. But don't blame that on Hill. The coaches raved about his play this season; defensive coordinator Ray Horton went so far as to say, "He wins at his position probably at an 85 percent clip." Hill only played 51.5 percent of the team's defensive plays, but he made an impact when he was out there. The Titans allowed nearly 10 percent fewer yards per carry on runs between the guards when Hill was on the field.

Justin Hunter

WR Justin Hunter: When the Titans traded up to draft Hunter in the 2013 second round, they thought they were getting a guy who could consistently win deep. Instead, Hunter has proven to be one of the league's least reliable wide receivers. He caught only 41 percent of his targets this season, which ranked dead last among the 107 wide receivers thrown to at least 60 times. If Hunter doesn't improve his ball skills, you can count on his opportunities decreasing.

Jake Locker

QB Jake Locker: The eighth overall pick in 2011 never really hit it off with coach Ken Whisenhunt. Locker is most effective when he uses his speed and leaves the pocket, but Whisenhunt didn't run many plays that put Locker on the move. Wrist, thumb and shoulder injuries worked against the QB, but when rookie Zach Mettenberger was named the starter in Week 8, it wasn't because Locker physically couldn't play. It was because Whisenhunt had seen enough. Don't expect free-agent-to-be Locker to be back in Tennessee next season.

Michael Griffin

S Michael Griffin: Give Griffin credit for this much: He was a starter for all 16 games and made a quick, in-game comeback from a bad shoulder injury against the Eagles in Week 12. All levels of Titans management and coaching rave about him as an example. Team president and CEO Tommy Smith told The Tennessean, "He is the heart and soul of the team. He sets a good example of commitment and toughness. We need that." The numbers, however, show Griffin is a declining player. He missed nine tackles in 2014, which tied for the third-most among safeties, according to PFF, and had only one good game all season, by PFF reckoning.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

QB pressure percent allowed

Good News: All you need to know about Jurrell Casey's inaugural year playing in a 3-4: He registered more QB pressures (51) than Titans OLB Derrick Morgan (49), whose primary job is to rush the passer. Casey finished the season second on the team, with five sacks, and ranked third overall among 3-4 DEs, behind J.J. Watt and Fletcher Cox, with 38 run stops.

Bad News: For the second consecutive year, Michael Oher graded out as one of the 10 worst tackles in the NFL. This season, he allowed a QB pressure on 9.1 percent of pass-blocking snaps, the fourth-highest rate among qualified tackles. And his run blocking was no better (-11.4 PFF grade, tied for 80th out of 84 tackles).

QB pressure percent allowed

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- ILB Avery Williamson: As a rookie, Williamson started 12 games and became an every-down linebacker by season's end. His stat line includes three sacks and four passes defended, but he especially excelled against the run, totaling 79 tackles and ranking as PFF's No. 15 ILB in that area. Because he was a fifth-round draft choice, Williamson earned a modest $614,452 this season and is locked into salaries of $510,000 next season and $600,00 in 2016 before he would be eligible for any type of raise.

2014 Salary

Worst -- RT Michael Oher: The Titans signed Oher to a four-year contract that paid him $6 million in 2014, with hope he could secure their right tackle position. Instead, he played his way off the field and wound up starting only 11 games. PFF graded him as the 75th tackle among 84 qualifiers. For some context, PFF's top-rated right tackle, New England's Sebastian Vollmer, made half Oher's salary this season. The Titans could release him this offseason without paying any additional cash, but he would still count $3 million in dead money against their cap.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

The 2014 season confirmed that Jake Locker is not the Titans' quarterback of the present or future. He managed to appear in only seven games, which marks the third time in four seasons that he played less than half the Titans' season. And when he was on the field, his five-touchdown, seven-interception tally suggested his skill level is not high enough to maintain patience through injuries. Rookie Zach Mettenberger displayed a strong arm and a lively personality, but the Titans would be wise to explore additional options this offseason.

Positional Needs

by Paul Kuharsky, ESPN.com

Outside linebacker: The Titans did a decent job of getting to the quarterback this season (39 sacks, tied for 16th overall), but they lacked a consistently threatening edge rusher who dictated protections. Thirty-nine defenders ranked ahead of the Titans' leading sacker, Derrick Morgan (6.5). Kansas City's Justin Houston, who led the NFL with 22 sacks, would be a monstrous addition, but the Chiefs are likely to find a way to keep him. This is an area likely to be addressed in the draft. Missouri's Shane Ray and Clemson's Vic Beasley could both be options.

Cornerback: The Titans need a starter who can surpass Jason McCourty as the team's top corner. Coty Sensabaugh and Blidi Wreh-Wilson proved they weren't up to the challenge by combining for a lowly 13 pass breakups and one interception in 1,336 snaps this season.

Right tackle: Michael Oher's tenure in Tennessee is going to be a short one. He gave up six sacks in 11 games, and the Titans managed just 2.5 yards per carry on runs outside right tackle when he was on the field. (That number jumped to 5.9 ypc on the seven runs that direction without Oher on the field.) The offensive line might need more than one addition -- especially if costly, ineffective left guard Andy Levitre is cut or demoted -- but it starts at Oher's right tackle spot, where a big upgrade is a necessity.

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1

Washington

Redskins

2014 Record: 4-12, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Redskins to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

13Above-Average Players Away
Rebuilding

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Redskins' 33 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 1
    • OLB Ryan Kerrigan
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 22
    • OT Trent Williams
    • C Kory Lichtensteiger
    • DE Jason Hatcher
    • G Chris Chester
    • OLB Brian Orakpo
    • WR DeSean Jackson
    • G Shawn Lauvao
    • OLB Trent Murphy
    • TE Jordan Reed
    • RB Roy Helu
    • WR Pierre Garcon
    • S Brandon Meriweather
    • ILB Will Compton
    • QB Kirk Cousins
    • DT Chris Baker
    • DE Frank Kearse
    • ILB Keenan Robinson
    • OT Tyler Polumbus
    • ILB Perry Riley
    • TE Logan Paulsen
    • DT Barry Cofield
    • WR Andre Roberts
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 10
    • OT Tom Compton
    • RB Alfred Morris
    • QB Robert Griffin III
    • DE Jarvis Jenkins
    • S Phillip Thomas
    • TE Niles Paul
    • CB Bashaud Breeland
    • CB E.J. Biggers
    • CB David Amerson
    • S Ryan Clark
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    1
    • OLB Ryan Kerrigan
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    22
    • OT Trent Williams
    • C Kory Lichtensteiger
    • DE Jason Hatcher
    • G Chris Chester
    • OLB Brian Orakpo
    • WR DeSean Jackson
    • G Shawn Lauvao
    • OLB Trent Murphy
    • TE Jordan Reed
    • RB Roy Helu
    • WR Pierre Garcon
    • S Brandon Meriweather
    • ILB Will Compton
    • QB Kirk Cousins
    • DT Chris Baker
    • DE Frank Kearse
    • ILB Keenan Robinson
    • OT Tyler Polumbus
    • ILB Perry Riley
    • TE Logan Paulsen
    • DT Barry Cofield
    • WR Andre Roberts
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    10
    • OT Tom Compton
    • RB Alfred Morris
    • QB Robert Griffin III
    • DE Jarvis Jenkins
    • S Phillip Thomas
    • TE Niles Paul
    • CB Bashaud Breeland
    • CB E.J. Biggers
    • CB David Amerson
    • S Ryan Clark
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by John Keim, ESPN.com

Ryan Kerrigan

OLB Ryan Kerrigan: The coaches have always loved his motor and how he works at his game. What I like is that when you ask him about his season, he'll point out the midseason lull in which he had no sacks in two games and one in four. "There are other things I could have done," he said. "For a couple games in the middle of the season, I didn't play as well." Kerrigan added to his game this season, taking better angles to the quarterback -- in the past, he took a more rounded path around the edge; this year, he was much more direct. Kerrigan had his best season with 13.5 sacks and five forced fumbles, which tied with Robert Quinn tops in the league. "He gets the most out of his ability," one NFL executive said. "He has the motor. He's great with his hands. He changes up his rushes. Some guys are predictable; he's not. As the game goes on, he understands the weaknesses of an offensive lineman and takes advantage."

Trent Williams

OT Trent Williams: Playing through a multitude of injuries in the second half of the season, Williams made his third consecutive Pro Bowl. He has elite toughness, and when looking at this roster for next year, you can easily say the Redskins have a good left tackle. As one person who scouted the Redskins this year said of Williams, "From a physical standpoint, he's one you can win with. Those guys are hard to find." Williams does some things extraordinarily well -- his ability to move in space is impressive, especially on bubble screens -- but he also makes his fair share of mistakes. In total, Williams committed 12 penalties in 2014 (four more than his previous high), including five holding penalties, which matched his high last season.

DeSean Jackson

WR DeSean Jackson: Average players do not scare teams the way Jackson does. As one NFL defensive coordinator said, "He had an average year, he is not an average player. There's a big difference." And one executive of a team that faced Washington this season said, "If you don't have an elite corner matching up with him, then you have to dictate coverage toward him." Thirteen of Jackson's 56 receptions (23.2 percent) went for 40 yards or more. The next-best receiver, Green Bay's Jordy Nelson, came in at 8.2 percent. And remember, Jackson did this with mediocre to bad QB play. He's anything but average.

Tyler Polumbus

OT Tyler Polumbus: It's tough to say Polumbus had an average year, considering he was benched after seven games and found himself a healthy scratch in five of the last eight contests. According to PFF, Polumbus allowed 20 QB pressures in Weeks 1 through 7, which tied for the 12th-highest figure among the 59 qualified tackles over that span.

Tom Compton

OT: Tom Compton: PFF got it right with rating Polumbus' replacement, Tom Compton, as bad. The coaches liked Compton's run blocking -- the Redskins averaged 5.6 yards per run to the right side after he was inserted into the lineup, compared to 5.1 yards previously. But in some games -- notably against Tampa Bay when he allowed two sacks and a handful of pressures -- Compton was a liability in pass protection.

Alfred Morris

RB Alfred Morris: Not sure how he's listed as bad. Morris' numbers this season were decidedly average: He rushed for 1,074 yards (league average: 792), averaged 4.1 yards per carry (average: 4.3), scored eight touchdowns (average: five) and averaged 2.0 yards after contact (average: 1.8). He's not an elite back, but he isn't bad, either. The executive called him a solid starter but not a dynamic one. I agree with that assessment.

Robert Griffin III

QB Robert Griffin III: His passer rating was a mediocre 86.7, but the eye test -- not to mention numerous conversations with the coaches -- let you know Griffin landed in the right spot on this list. Coaches were frustrated early in camp with the pace of his overall development in the offense. And after a 27-7 loss to Tampa Bay, in which Griffin threw two interceptions (including a pick-six), coach Jay Gruden said, "It was not even close to being good enough to what we expect from the quarterback position." Redskins officials did not like his decision-making on the move or his fundamentals. His anticipation and accuracy within the pocket were also questioned. One member of the organization went so far as to doubt whether those pocket instincts ever would improve. Griffin ended up throwing only four touchdown passes to six interceptions in seven games. Even at his best this season, he was only average. Perhaps it's too soon to give up on him, but he must take a big step this offseason.

Bashaud Breeland

CB Bashaud Breeland: A 2014 fourth-rounder out of Clemson, Breeland finished the season with 10 pass breakups and two interceptions. The executive from a team that faced Washington this season said they told their coaches to go after second-year corner David Amerson more than Breeland. "He's a good combination of size, instincts and toughness," he said. In the Monday night win over Dallas, Breeland combined smarts with performance: He defended two passes to Dez Bryant in the red zone specifically because of what he learned in film study. He knew Bryant's tip-offs on fades and slants, played accordingly and won. But his team-high 14 penalties -- a combined nine for illegal use of hands, pass interference or illegal contact -- definitely hurt and must decrease.

David Amerson

CB David Amerson: I have no issue with Amerson being rated as bad. He struggled with maintaining eye discipline, playing the right coverage and trusting his help -- and it led to big plays. Against Indianapolis, for example, Amerson, who was supposed to be playing Cover 3, paid too close attention to a receiver inside running a hitch and allowed a receiver to run free for a 48-yard touchdown catch. That happened a handful of times this season. As the executive said, "He has good reaction quickness, but sometimes it hurts him more than it helps." In other words, he thought Amerson guessed too often. The problem is he doesn't make plays to compensate: He's had only two interceptions in his two NFL seasons (both of which came in 2013) and accounted for just four passes defensed in 2014.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Pass-rush productivity

Good News: Ryan Kerrigan led the Redskins in sacks (13.5) and posted an impressive 73 total pressures, which ranked third league, trailing only J.J. Watt and Justin Houston. His pass-rush productivity score -- a metric that evaluates a player's sacks, hits and hurries relative to how often he rushed the passer -- was 13.0, the third-highest of any 3-4 outside linebacker with at least 300 pass-rushing snaps.

Bad News: Where do we start? The team suffered through another year of underwhelming play from Robert Griffin III, who has not been the same player since his knee injuries. On defense, David Amerson was the fall guy for a secondary that routinely busted coverages and surrendered a league-high 10 receiving touchdowns.

Pass-rush productivity

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- RB Alfred Morris: Some consideration was given here to linebacker Ryan Kerrigan, who is the team's top player and earned a modest $1.6 million in 2014. But Kerrigan's salary is scheduled to jump to $7 million in 2015, unless he signs a more lucrative extension first. Morris produced his third consecutive 1,000-yard season on a contract that paid him $570,000 in 2014. (For comparison's sake, LeSean McCoy made $8 million for 1,319 yards on the ground.) Morris is set to earn $660,000 in 2015, and given the diminished market for NFL runners, there is no real reason for the Redskins to give him a raise.

2014 Salary

Worst -- DE Jason Hatcher: Hatcher finished 2014 with 5.5 sacks, a nice number for a 3-4 defensive end, but not quite what you'd hope for out of a $10.5 million investment. The Steelers got 7.5 sacks out of Cameron Heyward for $1.3 million. Hatcher missed three games because of injury and played only 48 percent of the Redskins' defensive snaps. Most players who earn eight figures for one season aren't used situationally. The Redskins don't have as many bad values on their roster as they used to, but Hatcher's arrangement doesn't seem merited.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

The 2014 benching of Robert Griffin III revealed coach Jay Gruden's honest evaluation. As a first-year coach, Gruden had every incentive to keep Griffin on the field for developmental purposes and future impact. It's anybody's guess whether Gruden can -- or wants to -- salvage Griffin's career. The arrival of new general manager Scot McCloughan adds an additional level of uncertainty. So the Redskins will either attempt to revive Griffin in 2015 or start over. Neither option is ideal.

Positional Needs

by John Keim, ESPN.com

Defensive front: The Redskins have decisions to make on DE Stephen Bowen and DE/NT Barry Cofield as big cap hits loom in ($8 million and $7.7 million, respectively). If Washington lets linebacker Brian Orakpo leave via free agency, they must find another pass-rusher. Last year, with Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan, they still wanted to bolster that area, so they drafted Trent Murphy in the second round. He was OK as a rookie, but he's not a dynamic rusher. The need for that extra rush -- the sort that creates havoc on offenses -- remains. The Redskins were 19th sack percentage (6.9) and 21st in sacks (36). Message to the draft: Send help.

Secondary: The Redskins have no legitimate starting safeties under contract for next season. They've poorly pieced together the safety position for years now -- from a clearly done O.J. Atogwe in 2011 to the oft-suspended Tanard Jackson to the 34-year-old Ryan Clark this past year -- and it continues to haunt them. Opposing quarterbacks had a 75.8 Total QBR against the Redskins (worst in the NFL by a wide margin), and Washington's DBs combined for just five interceptions all season. The Redskins need a dynamic young player with speed at free safety (who doesn't?), and more depth at corner. At this point, it's clear that David Amerson is not the answer.

Right tackle: The Redskins used two players at this position last season, Tyler Polumbus and Tom Compton. While Compton struggled in pass protection, as noted above, it was his first season playing substantial time. They drafted Morgan Moses in the third round last year to eventually take over at this position. Coaches love how he can use his 6-foot-8 frame to his advantage. But it's hard to know how he'll develop -- and it's uncertain how new general manager Scot McCloughan views him. Plus, Moses is coming off a Lisfranc injury that could cause problems entering next season. Regardless, they should not overlook this position in the draft.

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1

Jacksonville

Jaguars

2014 Record: 3-13, Missed Playoffs

How close were the Jaguars to being Super Bowl contenders?

By Pro Football Focus

13Above-Average Players Away
Rebuilding

Breaking Down The Roster

To be considered a Super Bowl contender, 40 percent of the players who took part in at least 250 snaps (varies by team) have to be rated as good or elite. Here's how Pro Football Focus evaluated each of the Jaguars' 36 qualifying players.*

  • Elite
  • Good
  • Average
  • Bad
  • 0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • 2
    • DT Ryan Davis
    • G Brandon Linder
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • 24
    • DT Sen'Derrick Marks
    • OLB Geno Hayes
    • G Zane Beadles
    • CB Aaron Colvin
    • CB Alan Ball
    • WR Allen Robinson
    • ILB Paul Posluszny
    • RB Jordan Todman
    • OLB Telvin Smith
    • DE Red Bryant
    • DT Ziggy Hood
    • CB Demetrius McCray
    • DE Andre Branch
    • TE Clay Harbor
    • OT Austin Pasztor
    • OT Sam Young
    • DT Roy Miller
    • S John Cyprien
    • C Luke Bowanko
    • CB Dwayne Gratz
    • CB Will Blackmon
    • TE Marcedes Lewis
    • RB Denard Robinson
    • OT Luke Joeckel
    • NFL Average: 21
  • 10
    • WR Marqise Lee
    • DE Tyson Alualu
    • RB Toby Gerhart
    • WR Cecil Shorts
    • ILB J.T. Thomas
    • DT Abry Jones
    • WR Allen Hurns
    • DE Chris Clemons
    • S Josh Evans
    • QB Blake Bortles
    • NFL Average: 5.8
  • Elite
    0
    • NFL Average: 2
  • Good
    2
    • DT Ryan Davis
    • G Brandon Linder
    • NFL Average: 4.3
  • Average
    24
    • DT Sen'Derrick Marks
    • OLB Geno Hayes
    • G Zane Beadles
    • CB Aaron Colvin
    • CB Alan Ball
    • WR Allen Robinson
    • ILB Paul Posluszny
    • RB Jordan Todman
    • OLB Telvin Smith
    • DE Red Bryant
    • DT Ziggy Hood
    • CB Demetrius McCray
    • DE Andre Branch
    • TE Clay Harbor
    • OT Austin Pasztor
    • OT Sam Young
    • DT Roy Miller
    • S John Cyprien
    • C Luke Bowanko
    • CB Dwayne Gratz
    • CB Will Blackmon
    • TE Marcedes Lewis
    • RB Denard Robinson
    • OT Luke Joeckel
    • NFL Average: 21
  • Bad
    10
    • WR Marqise Lee
    • DE Tyson Alualu
    • RB Toby Gerhart
    • WR Cecil Shorts
    • ILB J.T. Thomas
    • DT Abry Jones
    • WR Allen Hurns
    • DE Chris Clemons
    • S Josh Evans
    • QB Blake Bortles
    • NFL Average: 5.8

*Pro Football Focus uses its proprietary metrics to evaluate every player on every snap in every game. Each player's rating here is based solely off how his performance in 2014 compared to that of the peers at his position. For more methodology explanation, click here.

THE INSIDE STORY

Where NFL Nation agrees/disagrees with Pro Football Focus

by Michael DiRocco, ESPN.com

Ryan Davis

DT Ryan Davis: Eighteen Jaguar defenders played more snaps than Davis in 2014, but the 2012 undrafted free agent was the only one to get a good grade from PFF, thanks to his efficiency. He made 12.5 impact plays this season -- 6.5 sacks, two forced fumbles, two fumble recoveries and two pass breakups -- despite being on the field for just 289 snaps. In other words, he averaged one impact play for every 23 snaps. That's an even better rate than Houston DE J.J. Watt, who averaged one impact play every 25 snaps. That's not an argument that Davis is as good as Watt, who scored two defensive touchdowns and three offensive touchdowns in an MVP-caliber season. It is, however, an argument that Davis needs to play more.

Sen'Derrick Marks

DT Sen'Derrick Marks: The six-year vet deserved better than an average rating after leading the Jaguars with 16 QB hurries and compiling 8.5 sacks, second to only Buffalo's Marcell Dareus (10) among interior linemen. Marks made an impact vs. the run too, with 15 tackles for loss, third among DTs. As Jaguars defensive coordinator Bob Babich said: "I've been around some of the guys at that position that have made [the Pro Bowl] and in my opinion, he's definitely playing at a Pro Bowl level."

Tyson Alualu

DE Tyson Alualu: The stats don't much matter for Alualu, who plays a spot in coach Gus Badley's defense designed to set the edge vs. the run instead of rush the passer. Bradley praised Alualu throughout training camp and was happy with his production throughout the season (30 tackles) as the backup to starting end Red Bryant. The former 10th overall pick in 2010 is scheduled to be a free agent in March, and GM David Caldwell has already expressed interest in bringing him back.

Toby Gerhart

RB Toby Gerhart: The Jaguars certainly didn't think Gerhart would fall under the bad category after they signed him to a three-year, $10.5 million contract in March. But the normally durable Gerhart -- he had missed three games in his first four seasons as a backup to Adrian Peterson -- sat out two games in 2014 and was bothered by nagging foot and rib injuries throughout the season. He finished 2014 with just 326 rushing yards on 101 carries. Bradley and Caldwell still believe Gerhart has the game to thrive in the Jags' zone-blocking attack. They point to the fact that he averaged 4.1 yards per carry in team's final six games, a significant improvement from the 2.6 he averaged in his eight contests leading up to the bye.

Allen Hurns

WR Allen Hurns: As an undrafted rookie, Hurns led the Jags in receiving yards (677), per-catch average (13.3), and touchdown catches (six). He finished eighth among rookie receivers in catches (51) and out-performed second-round pick Marqise Lee (37 catches, 422 yards, one TD) and veteran Cecil Shorts (53 catches, 557 yards, one TD). Hurns had two more TD catches than all of Jacksonville's other receivers combined, and yet he graded as the worst WR on the roster. He was far from bad in 2014.

Chris Clemons

DE Chris Clemons: There's no disputing that Clemons isn't the same dominating player he was from 2010-12, when he totaled 33.5 sacks. But I have a hard time labeling his 2014 season as bad, considering his finished with eight sacks, 10 QB hurries and a team-high four forced fumbles. Clemons was clearly the best edge rusher on a team that ranked sixth overall with 45 sacks, the franchise's highest total since 2005.

Good News, Bad News

by Sam Monson, Pro Football Focus

Missed tackles

Good News: For the second consecutive season, Sen'Derrick Marks finished the season graded as PFF's ninth-best pass-rushing defensive tackle. His 38 total QB pressures paced the Jaguars' defense, while his 31 run stops tied for fifth among DTs. Jacksonville would be wise to build their front seven around Marks.

Bad News: Where do you start? Blake Bortles' PFF grade was the worst given to a quarterback since the last Jaguars rookie starter (Blaine Gabbert, 2011). On defense, safety John Cyprien, who was expected to make a big leap in his second season, allowed a 137.7 passer rating in coverage and missed 21 tackles (tied for second-most among safeties).

Missed tackles

The Best, Worst Values

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Best -- DT Ryan Davis: An undrafted rookie who spent 2012 on Jacksonville's practice squad, Davis had a productive and highly efficient season for the Jaguars. He recorded 6.5 sacks as a reserve defensive linemen in 2014, while making $495,000. The two Jaguars with more QB sacks than Davis -- Marks (8.5) and Clemons (8.0) -- made an average of $4.5 million in 2014. Although Davis isn't under contract for 2015, he won't be eligible for unrestricted free agency for two years.

2014 Salary

Worst -- RB Toby Gerhart : In the relative scheme of things, Gerhart didn't break the bank in free agency last spring. His three-year contract paid him $4 million in 2014, but even that figure seemed too high for a position where teams routinely find productive players for near-minimum salaries. Injuries and performance limited Gerhart to seven starts, and he finished the season with 101 carries and 326 yards. Fellow Jacksonville running backs Robinson and Todman combined for 786 yards and average 4.6 yards per carry, while making $1.1 million combined. Gerhart's season is another example of the unnecessary luxury of signing a veteran running back.

2014 Salary

2014 Salary

Grading the QB

by Kevin Seifert, ESPN.com

Many rookie quarterbacks struggle, but Blake Bortles' rookie season was historically bad. His 21.9 QBR was the third worst for a rookie since 2006. He completed 58.9 percent of his passes (28th in the NFL) and threw just 11 touchdown passes against 17 interceptions. The quality of the Jaguars' supporting cast left much to be desired, but Bortles still faces a steep improvement curve to fulfill the Jaguars' hopes. As the No. 3 pick in the draft, he earned a hefty $13.3 million in 2014.

Positional Needs

by Michael DiRocco, ESPN.com

Offensive line: The Jaguars allowed 71 sacks in 2014, the most in a single season since the 2006 Raiders registered 72. So, it's no wonder that GM David Caldwell said he'll look to address the offensive line in free agency, aiming to add several veterans to compete with a young unit for starting spots.

Free safety: Because coach Gus Bradley likes to play his strong safety closer to the line, this is a crucial position for the Jaguars. They need someone athletic enough to play center field, and the team doesn't have that now with Josh Evans, a sixth-round draft pick in 2013 who has started 24 games at the spot but has no interceptions and just two pass breakups. If New England's Devin McCourty hits the free-agent market the Jaguars would be very interested.

Tight end: Since Marcedes Lewis had 52 catches in 2012, Jaguars tight ends have combined for 55 receptions in 2013 and 47 this season. (For some context, 18 individual tight ends caught more than 47 passes in 2014.) Lewis, who's missed 13 games over that span, may not be back in 2015 because of his $8.3 million cap figure. The Jaguars need to add a veteran pass-catching tight end in free agency and draft one who can help QB Blake Bortles in the middle of the field.

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